modder1440
2022-05-03
Elon will win
@OptionPlus:
Twitter:年度最确定的期权机会再现!
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a> 怂了!短短10天从释放毒丸计划到同意MUSK的收购。都可以想象这个画面,Twitter股东们急了,要是MUSK放弃了收购,那Twitter可能再也没机会见$50之上的价格。</p> <p>在收购没有落地之前的期权策略,请参考我上一篇文章:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/611925601\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter期权交易的复盘与思考</a></p> <p>既然收购意向达成了,那么就剩下时间问题,在这个等待过程中,卖Twitter的期权成为近期波动市场当中最好的交易策略,可以即卖CALL也卖PUT,即卖跨式期权,其实就是赚IV衰减的钱。</p> <p>昨天盘前传出即将达成协议,空穴不来风,下图是我昨晚开仓的卖$55 CALL,其实昨晚开盘给别的事儿耽误了,没有卖在价格最好的价格。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10162ffcb0a20d6f2a820d1204de1451\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">卖CALL的价格选择,收购价格在$54.2,最安全的当然是$55,但是$54也一点问题都没有,我之前说过,在收购正式成功钱市场价格对比收购价格会有一个折扣。就算极端情况,以闪电的速度完成收购,卖$54的CALL不巧被行权相当于$54做空了Twitter,收购价格$54.2,正股每股亏$0.2,但是权利金一定是能补回这个损失。</p> <p>展示TWTR后面两周到期的行权价$54和$55的CALL 权利金。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a248cc65413dffb6b3fe020041e567b9\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/408aa327384468fc3c0e5923875c385d\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">以上是卖CALL的一侧,当然可以同时也卖PUT。卖多少钱的PUT呢?</p> <p>按照$54.2 *0.9 = $48.78,就是$49以内的PUT,如果因为市场暴跌而行权就接盘坐等收购完成不会亏损,如果真不想行权就卖再低一点,比如打8折到$46。</p> <p>以下展示未来两周到期的TWTR $46 - $49的PUT的权利金。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9c8ff6f5dfc28235f5d5346fe18b10d\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67c0cf691b0301d9dfe255d106378f78\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">作为愿意承担一定被行权风险的我,会选择卖$55CALL+卖$48的PUT,如果都选择5月6日到期的话,各卖1手的收益是$68,由于Twitter单价已经很低了,我会各5手开仓。11天的收益是$680其实很不错。每个人的风险偏好不同,大家可以根据各自资金和风险偏好自行调整策略,希望对大家有帮助。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p> <p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a> 怂了!短短10天从释放毒丸计划到同意MUSK的收购。都可以想象这个画面,Twitter股东们急了,要是MUSK放弃了收购,那Twitter可能再也没机会见$50之上的价格。</p> <p>在收购没有落地之前的期权策略,请参考我上一篇文章:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/611925601\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter期权交易的复盘与思考</a></p> <p>既然收购意向达成了,那么就剩下时间问题,在这个等待过程中,卖Twitter的期权成为近期波动市场当中最好的交易策略,可以即卖CALL也卖PUT,即卖跨式期权,其实就是赚IV衰减的钱。</p> <p>昨天盘前传出即将达成协议,空穴不来风,下图是我昨晚开仓的卖$55 CALL,其实昨晚开盘给别的事儿耽误了,没有卖在价格最好的价格。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10162ffcb0a20d6f2a820d1204de1451\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">卖CALL的价格选择,收购价格在$54.2,最安全的当然是$55,但是$54也一点问题都没有,我之前说过,在收购正式成功钱市场价格对比收购价格会有一个折扣。就算极端情况,以闪电的速度完成收购,卖$54的CALL不巧被行权相当于$54做空了Twitter,收购价格$54.2,正股每股亏$0.2,但是权利金一定是能补回这个损失。</p> <p>展示TWTR后面两周到期的行权价$54和$55的CALL 权利金。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a248cc65413dffb6b3fe020041e567b9\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/408aa327384468fc3c0e5923875c385d\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">以上是卖CALL的一侧,当然可以同时也卖PUT。卖多少钱的PUT呢?</p> <p>按照$54.2 *0.9 = $48.78,就是$49以内的PUT,如果因为市场暴跌而行权就接盘坐等收购完成不会亏损,如果真不想行权就卖再低一点,比如打8折到$46。</p> <p>以下展示未来两周到期的TWTR $46 - $49的PUT的权利金。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9c8ff6f5dfc28235f5d5346fe18b10d\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67c0cf691b0301d9dfe255d106378f78\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">作为愿意承担一定被行权风险的我,会选择卖$55CALL+卖$48的PUT,如果都选择5月6日到期的话,各卖1手的收益是$68,由于Twitter单价已经很低了,我会各5手开仓。11天的收益是$680其实很不错。每个人的风险偏好不同,大家可以根据各自资金和风险偏好自行调整策略,希望对大家有帮助。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p> <p></p></body></html>","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$ 怂了!短短10天从释放毒丸计划到同意MUSK的收购。都可以想象这个画面,Twitter股东们急了,要是MUSK放弃了收购,那Twitter可能再也没机会见$50之上的价格。 在收购没有落地之前的期权策略,请参考我上一篇文章:Twitter期权交易的复盘与思考 既然收购意向达成了,那么就剩下时间问题,在这个等待过程中,卖Twitter的期权成为近期波动市场当中最好的交易策略,可以即卖CALL也卖PUT,即卖跨式期权,其实就是赚IV衰减的钱。 昨天盘前传出即将达成协议,空穴不来风,下图是我昨晚开仓的卖$55 CALL,其实昨晚开盘给别的事儿耽误了,没有卖在价格最好的价格。卖CALL的价格选择,收购价格在$54.2,最安全的当然是$55,但是$54也一点问题都没有,我之前说过,在收购正式成功钱市场价格对比收购价格会有一个折扣。就算极端情况,以闪电的速度完成收购,卖$54的CALL不巧被行权相当于$54做空了Twitter,收购价格$54.2,正股每股亏$0.2,但是权利金一定是能补回这个损失。 展示TWTR后面两周到期的行权价$54和$55的CALL 权利金。以上是卖CALL的一侧,当然可以同时也卖PUT。卖多少钱的PUT呢? 按照$54.2 *0.9 = 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