【讨论】双十一对电商的影响
OneRep.
2015-11-06
双十一无疑是电商的狂欢,但实际对股价的拉动未必有效。阿里今年才上市,暂时没有历史数据,所以我只考察了京东的情况。
从图中可以看到,14年双十一和15年618(京东自己的大促),京东的股价都有一个明显的峰值,但峰值之后都会很快回落。
所以我估计,双十一期间京东和阿里的股价变化也会与此类似,甚至如果成交额度增长不够大的话,可能跌的会更狠。
各位觉得双十一对电商的影响会是怎样的?都聊聊呗。$(JD)$
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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纳斯达克女神经
2015-11-06
纳斯达克女神经
我一直很好奇双十一销量里到底多少是真正的增量,多少只是把其他时间段的销量集中到了这几天。 就个人经验来说,我觉得这回我可能只会在京东买买,因为双11的时候基本只有品牌商家是真的打折,很多淘宝小店都是临时上调价格再假装打折。我去年买了几样东西,然后11月底我再去看,价格比双11还低。 题外话:以前和快递小哥聊过,他说双十一给快递公司带来很大压力,很反感。快递公司要为了双11临时增派人手车辆和场地,而且最后因为增加了这些成本,导致他们其实没有从双11里挣到多少,就是让快递员更累了而已。
萌萌哒无名氏
:
非常非常同意,双11就是个骗局
小虎HR瑶瑶
:
嗯,为啥非要挤在那一天,很多网站都已经延长到半个月之类的,类似春节打折季之类,收货也不会那么慢了
讲股堂
2015-11-10
讲股堂
在京东上查看了一些买家评论,发现双11的价钱居然高过之前的价格,明显的欺诈啊,坚决看空!
OneRep.
2015-11-06
OneRep.
对不起脑子不好用了,阿里去年双十一有数据,行情是一样的,达到巅峰之后一路下跌
阿曼曼
2015-11-06
阿曼曼
去年双十一前一天11月10日阿里股价达到最高位120刀,至今没有突破过
果尔德
2015-11-06
果尔德
双十一透支了销量 所以双十一看空
叫球总
2015-11-06
叫球总
严重同意!
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所以双十一看空","text":"双十一透支了销量 所以双十一看空","html":"双十一透支了销量 所以双十一看空","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":100249,"commentId":"100249","gmtCreate":1446805532111,"gmtModify":1446805532111,"authorId":707446337004,"author":{"id":707446337004,"idStr":"707446337004","authorId":707446337004,"name":"叫球总","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/tiger_upload_file_1446515670.png","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":5263,"objectIdStr":"5263","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"严重同意!","text":"严重同意!","html":"严重同意!","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/5263"}
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