上涨周期何时到头？反正，华尔街不知道

啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 2007年，次贷危机持续发酵，08年9月15日，雷曼兄弟垮台，引发多米诺骨牌效应，历史重演--在华尔街的一脸懵逼中金融危机爆发。
八年过去了，伴随着艰难的经济复苏美股一路上扬，这是美股历史上第二长的上涨周期，三大股指约为09年三月最低点的三到五倍。这一切看起来欣欣向荣，但是我真的很困惑，在美国还未扔掉经济复苏口号的时候，股指已悄然越过08年最高点。如今，约为08年最高点1.3倍，那么，危机还有多远？几乎没有“专家”考虑，你们怎么看呢？

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦
2017-03-30
啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦
很高兴收到你的看法。第一，分析基本面华尔街已经干了，然而这并不能让分析师察觉到金融危机预兆。第二，股市增速远超经济增速，股市整体被高估是毋庸置疑的。第三，我所在意的是股市泡沫会在膨胀到何种程度时破裂，这很大程度上取决于人心
九格
2017-03-30
九格
什么鬼？股市有没有高估要看经济基本面，谁告诉你比08年高就叫做危险了？敢情这几年美国经济都不涨的？
亏成狗的Todd
2017-03-30
亏成狗的Todd
都要怪QE……
72fcdf9a
2017-03-29
72fcdf9a
一切价格涨跌都是货币现像
72fcdf9a
2017-03-29
72fcdf9a
钱印多了啊
西伯利亚_热狗
2017-03-29
西伯利亚_热狗
所以要有对冲

发表看法

7

20

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":51564,"tweetId":"51564","gmtCreate":1490777758276,"gmtModify":1704875972545,"author":{"id":3450741861932566,"idStr":"3450741861932566","authorId":3450741861932566,"authorIdStr":"3450741861932566","name":"啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17972c49e6ddf0d74c94b8bfde516e81","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":5,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"上涨周期何时到头？反正，华尔街不知道","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 2007年，次贷危机持续发酵，08年9月15日，雷曼兄弟垮台，引发多米诺骨牌效应，历史重演--在华尔街的一脸懵逼中金融危机爆发。<br> 八年过去了，伴随着艰难的经济复苏美股一路上扬，这是美股历史上第二长的上涨周期，三大股指约为09年三月最低点的三到五倍。这一切看起来欣欣向荣，但是我真的很困惑，在美国还未扔掉经济复苏口号的时候，股指已悄然越过08年最高点。如今，约为08年最高点1.3倍，那么，危机还有多远？几乎没有“专家”考虑，你们怎么看呢？</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 2007年，次贷危机持续发酵，08年9月15日，雷曼兄弟垮台，引发多米诺骨牌效应，历史重演--在华尔街的一脸懵逼中金融危机爆发。<br> 八年过去了，伴随着艰难的经济复苏美股一路上扬，这是美股历史上第二长的上涨周期，三大股指约为09年三月最低点的三到五倍。这一切看起来欣欣向荣，但是我真的很困惑，在美国还未扔掉经济复苏口号的时候，股指已悄然越过08年最高点。如今，约为08年最高点1.3倍，那么，危机还有多远？几乎没有“专家”考虑，你们怎么看呢？</p></body></html>","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 2007年，次贷危机持续发酵，08年9月15日，雷曼兄弟垮台，引发多米诺骨牌效应，历史重演--在华尔街的一脸懵逼中金融危机爆发。 八年过去了，伴随着艰难的经济复苏美股一路上扬，这是美股历史上第二长的上涨周期，三大股指约为09年三月最低点的三到五倍。这一切看起来欣欣向荣，但是我真的很困惑，在美国还未扔掉经济复苏口号的时候，股指已悄然越过08年最高点。如今，约为08年最高点1.3倍，那么，危机还有多远？几乎没有“专家”考虑，你们怎么看呢？","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":20,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/51564","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1415,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[".DJI"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":408,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":263984,"commentId":"263984","gmtCreate":1490857357214,"gmtModify":1490857357214,"authorId":3450741861932566,"author":{"id":3450741861932566,"idStr":"3450741861932566","authorId":3450741861932566,"name":"啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17972c49e6ddf0d74c94b8bfde516e81","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":51564,"objectIdStr":"51564","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"很高兴收到你的看法。第一，分析基本面华尔街已经干了，然而这并不能让分析师察觉到金融危机预兆。第二，股市增速远超经济增速，股市整体被高估是毋庸置疑的。第三，我所在意的是股市泡沫会在膨胀到何种程度时破裂，这很大程度上取决于人心","text":"很高兴收到你的看法。第一，分析基本面华尔街已经干了，然而这并不能让分析师察觉到金融危机预兆。第二，股市增速远超经济增速，股市整体被高估是毋庸置疑的。第三，我所在意的是股市泡沫会在膨胀到何种程度时破裂，这很大程度上取决于人心","html":"很高兴收到你的看法。第一，分析基本面华尔街已经干了，然而这并不能让分析师察觉到金融危机预兆。第二，股市增速远超经济增速，股市整体被高估是毋庸置疑的。第三，我所在意的是股市泡沫会在膨胀到何种程度时破裂，这很大程度上取决于人心","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":263785,"commentId":"263785","gmtCreate":1490810706986,"gmtModify":1490810706986,"authorId":16180209980775,"author":{"id":16180209980775,"idStr":"16180209980775","authorId":16180209980775,"name":"九格","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b7351b7dca167cbf31dfae7714bb158","vip":2,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.04.21","exceedPercentage":"93.91%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/306aa047bc14b6942cda1aed925cf8c3","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":51564,"objectIdStr":"51564","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"什么鬼？股市有没有高估要看经济基本面，谁告诉你比08年高就叫做危险了？敢情这几年美国经济都不涨的？","text":"什么鬼？股市有没有高估要看经济基本面，谁告诉你比08年高就叫做危险了？敢情这几年美国经济都不涨的？","html":"什么鬼？股市有没有高估要看经济基本面，谁告诉你比08年高就叫做危险了？敢情这几年美国经济都不涨的？","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":263825,"commentId":"263825","gmtCreate":1490829962933,"gmtModify":1490829962933,"authorId":176158328096511,"author":{"id":176158328096511,"idStr":"176158328096511","authorId":176158328096511,"name":"亏成狗的Todd","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/c05643d849c5cfff46153014e7a871ff","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":51564,"objectIdStr":"51564","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"都要怪QE……","text":"都要怪QE……","html":"都要怪QE……","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":263722,"commentId":"263722","gmtCreate":1490801822898,"gmtModify":1490801822898,"authorId":312952929322657,"author":{"id":312952929322657,"idStr":"312952929322657","authorId":312952929322657,"name":"72fcdf9a","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":51564,"objectIdStr":"51564","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"一切价格涨跌都是货币现像","text":"一切价格涨跌都是货币现像","html":"一切价格涨跌都是货币现像","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":263719,"commentId":"263719","gmtCreate":1490801781307,"gmtModify":1490801781307,"authorId":312952929322657,"author":{"id":312952929322657,"idStr":"312952929322657","authorId":312952929322657,"name":"72fcdf9a","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":51564,"objectIdStr":"51564","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"钱印多了啊","text":"钱印多了啊","html":"钱印多了啊","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":263644,"commentId":"263644","gmtCreate":1490797427235,"gmtModify":1490797427235,"authorId":139002345248559,"author":{"id":139002345248559,"idStr":"139002345248559","authorId":139002345248559,"name":"西伯利亚_热狗","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/c7adb852b9fdd620c12ff1b8a65aeb10","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.78%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":51564,"objectIdStr":"51564","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"所以要有对冲","text":"所以要有对冲","html":"所以要有对冲","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/51564"}