为什么美股均线失效了？

2019-03-30

对纳指做均线回测，测试1-200天ema双均线组合，筛选出最优均线参数。

结论是美股均线效果越来越差，80年代效果最好，90-00年代还凑合，2010年以后跑不赢基准指数。

另外，还测试了上证指数，90年代效果非常好，2000年以后也还凑合，两次成功逃顶。

接下来，准备测试百年道指。

为什么美股均线失效了？是10年期的偶然事件吗？只是因为近10年波动太小吗？这是成熟股市的发展方向吗？a股均线也会逐渐失效吗？如果均线理论失效该如何操作？怎样才能跑赢大盘指数？

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

机构猎杀者
2019-03-30
机构猎杀者
散户用均线成功炒股，机构还赚什么钱。股市是变化莫测的。
jesson518
2019-03-30
jesson518
回测五均线试试

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