为什么美股均线失效了?
ivanjoy42
2019-03-30
对纳指做均线回测,测试1-200天ema双均线组合,筛选出最优均线参数。
结论是美股均线效果越来越差,80年代效果最好,90-00年代还凑合,2010年以后跑不赢基准指数。
另外,还测试了上证指数,90年代效果非常好,2000年以后也还凑合,两次成功逃顶。
接下来,准备测试百年道指。
为什么美股均线失效了?是10年期的偶然事件吗?只是因为近10年波动太小吗?这是成熟股市的发展方向吗?a股均线也会逐渐失效吗?如果均线理论失效该如何操作?怎样才能跑赢大盘指数?
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$
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机构猎杀者
2019-03-30
机构猎杀者
散户用均线成功炒股,机构还赚什么钱。股市是变化莫测的。
jesson518
2019-03-30
jesson518
回测五均线试试
什么也没有了~
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