$纳斯达克(.IXI_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$这一波就是庄家渲染的恐慌，为了低洗，现在啥十年利率变化还有加息通胀压根不叫啥问题，买国债能跑赢通胀?庄家坏的很[开心]

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未见花满楼
2021-03-06
未见花满楼
同意华尔街刻意放大制造恐慌，国债票面利率没有变化，收益率变高的原因是抛国债的人多了，因为觉得国债利率跑不赢通胀，抛盘多了把成交价打下去了，显得收益率高，那么问题来了，抛了国债的钱去哪里呢？去哪里跑赢通胀呢？股市吧。国债利空股市这里有一个悖论，如果大家觉得国债利息比标普和纳斯达克股息高，把钱从股市撤退去买国债，那么国债买盘多，成交价格会推高，收益率会迅速下来。只是收益率影响企业融资利率这个比较无解
- 未见花满楼回复老铁来了:
  不知道，给不了建议，看市场情绪吧，成长型公司都亏损，看市场的容忍度
- 老铁来了回复未见花满楼:
  有些公司更看重用户扩张，利润是个亏损，也不怎么看，这种公司是不是能拿住呢？
- 未见花满楼回复韭菜突击者:
  是利空不假，但是流动性依然宽松，一直在印钱，暂时不会缩表，1.9万亿还即将撒出来，经济强势复苏，这些都是利好股市呀，目前走熊市回到20年3眼泪看月吗，不可能，美帝等于自杀。纳斯达克怎么看，这个行情流着眼泪看
- 韭菜突击者回复未见花满楼:
  通胀预期或者是实际利率上升，都是实实在在的股市利空吧，朋友怎么看纳斯达克最近的走法，还会进一步下挫吗
- 未见花满楼回复老铁来了:
  不是从股市跑去买美债，很多国家持有美债，大陆和日本都持有上万亿美债，欧洲五强也各持有几千亿美债，最近是沙特和美国闹矛盾狂抛美债，沙特也不支持石油增产……市场忧虑的不是从股市跑去买美债，而是美债收益提高会推高企业融资成本，尤其是科技公司，会降低科技公司的利润，同时通胀上升会降低未来利润的贴现率，影响实际真实利润

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