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2021-03-29
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SPDR S&P 500: Without thrust, can there be trust?
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You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com</p>\n<p>SPDR S&P 500: WITHOUT THRUST, CAN THERE BE TRUST?</p>\n<p>As the end of March nears, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is on track for a record high monthly close. With this, raw monthly SPY volume is on pace for its highest reading since June of last year.</p>\n<p>That said, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> measure that incorporates both price and volume, the Money Flow index <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MFI\">$(MFI)$</a>, may be casting some doubt over the underlying thrust behind the SPY's record highs:</p>\n<p>Recently, in December, on a monthly basis, this oscillator neared the 80 overbought threshold, but it has since backed away, even with the SPY poised for another all-time high monthly close this month.</p>\n<p>Of note, since 2007, SPY declines of varying degree have been preceded by protracted monthly MFI divergence. Just in terms of more recent history, despite new SPY highs in late 2018 and early 2020, MFI failed to confirm strength, and in both instances, ultimately, the SPY suffered a major sell off.</p>\n<p>Additionally, the 80 barrier may be another issue in itself, because pushing above this level, let alone pegging above it, has proved to be no easy feat for this measure. In the 329 months since readings began in late 1993, the MFI has only ended a month above 80 around 9% of the time. The average reading has been about 58.</p>\n<p>Therefore, December's reading, just over 77, may mark another high, and with further deterioration, the SPY may become increasingly vulnerable to another sharp drawdown.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPDR S&P 500: Without thrust, can there be trust?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPDR S&P 500: Without thrust, can there be trust?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-29 21:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>U.S. equity index futures suggest opening weakness</li>\n <li>Banks fall on hedge fund default concerns</li>\n <li>Europe STOXX 600 up ~0.1%</li>\n <li>Dollar ~flat; gold down, crude gains</li>\n <li>U.S. 10-YEar Treasury yield ~1.65%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>March 29 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com</p>\n<p>SPDR S&P 500: WITHOUT THRUST, CAN THERE BE TRUST?</p>\n<p>As the end of March nears, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is on track for a record high monthly close. With this, raw monthly SPY volume is on pace for its highest reading since June of last year.</p>\n<p>That said, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> measure that incorporates both price and volume, the Money Flow index <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MFI\">$(MFI)$</a>, may be casting some doubt over the underlying thrust behind the SPY's record highs:</p>\n<p>Recently, in December, on a monthly basis, this oscillator neared the 80 overbought threshold, but it has since backed away, even with the SPY poised for another all-time high monthly close this month.</p>\n<p>Of note, since 2007, SPY declines of varying degree have been preceded by protracted monthly MFI divergence. Just in terms of more recent history, despite new SPY highs in late 2018 and early 2020, MFI failed to confirm strength, and in both instances, ultimately, the SPY suffered a major sell off.</p>\n<p>Additionally, the 80 barrier may be another issue in itself, because pushing above this level, let alone pegging above it, has proved to be no easy feat for this measure. In the 329 months since readings began in late 1993, the MFI has only ended a month above 80 around 9% of the time. The average reading has been about 58.</p>\n<p>Therefore, December's reading, just over 77, may mark another high, and with further deterioration, the SPY may become increasingly vulnerable to another sharp drawdown.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2123253564","content_text":"U.S. equity index futures suggest opening weakness\nBanks fall on hedge fund default concerns\nEurope STOXX 600 up ~0.1%\nDollar ~flat; gold down, crude gains\nU.S. 10-YEar Treasury yield ~1.65%\n\nMarch 29 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com\nSPDR S&P 500: WITHOUT THRUST, CAN THERE BE TRUST?\nAs the end of March nears, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is on track for a record high monthly close. With this, raw monthly SPY volume is on pace for its highest reading since June of last year.\nThat said, one measure that incorporates both price and volume, the Money Flow index $(MFI)$, may be casting some doubt over the underlying thrust behind the SPY's record highs:\nRecently, in December, on a monthly basis, this oscillator neared the 80 overbought threshold, but it has since backed away, even with the SPY poised for another all-time high monthly close this month.\nOf note, since 2007, SPY declines of varying degree have been preceded by protracted monthly MFI divergence. Just in terms of more recent history, despite new SPY highs in late 2018 and early 2020, MFI failed to confirm strength, and in both instances, ultimately, the SPY suffered a major sell off.\nAdditionally, the 80 barrier may be another issue in itself, because pushing above this level, let alone pegging above it, has proved to be no easy feat for this measure. In the 329 months since readings began in late 1993, the MFI has only ended a month above 80 around 9% of the time. The average reading has been about 58.\nTherefore, December's reading, just over 77, may mark another high, and with further deterioration, the SPY may become increasingly vulnerable to another sharp drawdown.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/355969132"}
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