YueHean
2021-03-24
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After a Record Year for IPOs, What’s Next?
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Whether the streak will con","content":"<p>This year is on pace to set another record for initial public offerings. Whether the streak will continue depends on how high and quickly interest rates rise—and how quickly the quality of the issuers deteriorates and then fail to rally once they begin trading.</p>\n<p>Last year, 457 IPOs raised $168 billion—a new high. Through March 10 of this year, 310 U.S. IPOs raised $102 billion—on pace for a potential $400 billion-plus. By comparison, during the dot-com bubble in 1999, 547 offerings raised $108 billion.</p>\n<p>Approximately 80% of this year’s crop usedspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs,to go public, compared with just 13 last year.</p>\n<p>In the face of a record issuance of new issues, how is the sector doing? Let’s look at the broadest index of new issues—the Renaissance IPO index,which measures the float of newly listed companies for two years, limiting the exposure of any one company to 10% of the index.</p>\n<p>After consolidating for two years, the index broke out last May and then doubled to its recent February high of 840. It then corrected quickly, falling 25% to 625, where it met the up-trending 34-week moving average. Price and moving average resistance is in the 750-770 area, with price and moving average support at 625-640.</p>\n<p>We now have clear parameters. The IPO index would project to new highs if hurdled 775 resistance. But breaking below 620 would lead to a decline to the low 500s.</p>\n<p>The IPO index began its bull market versus the S&P 500 index when it broke out of a six-year base last May. While still early in its bull market, the IPO Index would weaken further if it broke below support (see dashed trendlines in chart above). If relative strength pulled back further, it would create an oversold condition. And as long as relative strength doesn’t forfeit more than half of its gains, then an oversold condition would set the stage for a resumption of the IPO bull market.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>After a Record Year for IPOs, What’s Next?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfter a Record Year for IPOs, What’s Next?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-24 21:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/whats-next-for-ipos-51616530467?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This year is on pace to set another record for initial public offerings. Whether the streak will continue depends on how high and quickly interest rates rise—and how quickly the quality of the issuers...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/whats-next-for-ipos-51616530467?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/whats-next-for-ipos-51616530467?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129479850","content_text":"This year is on pace to set another record for initial public offerings. Whether the streak will continue depends on how high and quickly interest rates rise—and how quickly the quality of the issuers deteriorates and then fail to rally once they begin trading.\nLast year, 457 IPOs raised $168 billion—a new high. Through March 10 of this year, 310 U.S. IPOs raised $102 billion—on pace for a potential $400 billion-plus. By comparison, during the dot-com bubble in 1999, 547 offerings raised $108 billion.\nApproximately 80% of this year’s crop usedspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs,to go public, compared with just 13 last year.\nIn the face of a record issuance of new issues, how is the sector doing? Let’s look at the broadest index of new issues—the Renaissance IPO index,which measures the float of newly listed companies for two years, limiting the exposure of any one company to 10% of the index.\nAfter consolidating for two years, the index broke out last May and then doubled to its recent February high of 840. It then corrected quickly, falling 25% to 625, where it met the up-trending 34-week moving average. Price and moving average resistance is in the 750-770 area, with price and moving average support at 625-640.\nWe now have clear parameters. The IPO index would project to new highs if hurdled 775 resistance. But breaking below 620 would lead to a decline to the low 500s.\nThe IPO index began its bull market versus the S&P 500 index when it broke out of a six-year base last May. While still early in its bull market, the IPO Index would weaken further if it broke below support (see dashed trendlines in chart above). If relative strength pulled back further, it would create an oversold condition. And as long as relative strength doesn’t forfeit more than half of its gains, then an oversold condition would set the stage for a resumption of the IPO bull market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":28,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/351693785"}
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