$蔚来汽车(NIO)_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

大哥千万别站山上

2018-11-08

$蔚来汽车(NIO)$口出狂言一下：既然我们知道了特斯拉现在的市值，那么，是否意味着我们知道了蔚来需要几年翻倍到多少钱？

是否意味着就可以对蔚来翻倍到特斯拉的市值的时间有合理预期。

-------------------------------------------------

我觉得可以简单算一下，

以现在特斯拉的产量销量毛利为标杆，预估蔚来达到这个水平需要多长时间，然后就可以有个大概的数了吧。

-------------------------------------------------

当然，这个的基础是蔚来和特斯拉的现有估值是否符合预期，再算一下这个。

好了，又给自己留作业了。不过没设ddl，哈哈哈哈～

（图片来自网络）

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

名字无所谓
2018-11-08
名字无所谓

你少算了一点

国人心中国产的都是廉价的
洋人的屁都是香的
- 6447f3d1回复清野星光:
  为你点赞为你骄傲
- 清野星光回复打不死的魔鬼:
  造的不好就是垃圾，不要戴帽子，这是地球村，我是地球人
- 打不死的魔鬼回复清野星光:
  不知道仁兄是哪个国家的，如果国外的东西中国人都不用它才是垃圾
- 大哥千万别站山上回复清野星光:
  为你点赞为你骄傲
- 清野星光回复大哥千万别站山上:
  支持国产垃圾，华为小米一样垃圾，再吹也没用
清野星光
2018-11-08
清野星光
算毛啊，国产哪能信
- 6447f3d1:
  为你点赞为你骄傲
- 大哥千万别站山上:
  为你点赞为你骄傲
团子爸爸
2018-11-08
团子爸爸
按你的方法我查了一下。特斯拉市值60b. 蔚来市值7b。9:1。特斯拉周产量6000。蔚来下个季度产量6000。 12:1。特斯拉全球市场，蔚来目前立足中国市场。特斯拉属于成长中前期，蔚来处于成长初期。怎么算呢？不知道怎么算了？
- 性感鼻毛王:
  不能这样算。特斯拉去掉马斯克信仰后才可以作为其他新能源厂商对比的一个标杆。假设马斯克突然离开特斯拉，ceo换成其他人，特斯拉还值多少钱？就现在的财务数据连通用的三分之一都没有
- 团子爸爸回复大哥千万别站山上:
  嗯嗯好👍
- 大哥千万别站山上:
  作业没设ddl，我有时间就给算。
  增长速度肯定是一个很大的变量，但是中国市场全球市场不会太多干扰，看销量，订单量。还有就是有多少资产，现在有多少收入。大概这样？估计很复杂很复杂，但是未来可期。
- 团子爸爸:
  我是真不知道，但我觉得你这个方法角度很好。如果你当是作业，写好了发给我看一下吧。谢谢。
看未来
2018-11-08
看未来
蔚来要能起来会比特斯拉市值还要高，因为中国市场巨大，加上蔚来的服务细节上的体验会更好，有机会成功的。
- 大哥千万别站山上回复FalconOne:
  喜提特斯拉车主一枚🍻🍻🍻
- FalconOne回复大哥千万别站山上:
  就我的使用体验来说，特斯拉的服务很好，提前做好预约就行
- 大哥千万别站山上回复看未来:
  同意你的看法，日后理想的格局就像现在的bba一样，不分彼此各有所长，相互竞争，这对消费者也是好事。
- 大哥千万别站山上回复FalconOne:
  特斯拉有一个致命伤：服务。服务体验很差，因为马老板追求日后让顾客自己在官网下单，所以非常不注重前端建设，更别提客户运营，这一点上，蔚来直接能把特斯拉拉爆了。
- 看未来回复FalconOne:
  我没有说特斯拉不好，我意思是说蔚来在中国会有他的客户群体，特斯拉有他的客户群体，作为本土企业有些细节不一定特斯拉会做的比蔚来好
南粤流客
2018-11-08
南粤流客
马一龙能造火箭，李斌呢？资本玩得六？
- 清野星光:
  你的观点很有道理，我支持
- 大哥千万别站山上回复南粤流客:
  你赢了，承让。
- 南粤流客回复大哥千万别站山上:
  我只想说江淮卖多少钱，奔驰卖多少钱，大家都是汽油车
- 大哥千万别站山上:
  不需要他造火箭，再说，电动车的路马老板都趟过一遍了，不然你以为蔚来小鹏威马敢做电动车？不然你以为资本敢投？
  再说，造火箭，路也已经被淌过一遍了，国内也有人在烧钱做。
  再说，这个，这个，和估值有啥关系？这就跟你老婆能生所以你能赚一样，有啥前因后果？？？
戒骄戒躁慢慢熬
2018-11-08
戒骄戒躁慢慢熬
中国企业很少能真正出海，美国企业大多带有全球属性，这就是差价和壁垒
- 大哥千万别站山上:
  蔚来这点做的还算不错吧，一起步先玩formula E，不然他拿不到高端圈子的入场券，不然他就聚不起来那么多人才。

发表看法

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