SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704)：BTC跌破6W

SignalPlus专家

尽管周二鲍威尔在谈话时有意回避了 9 月是否要降息的问题，强调了调整货币政策的双向风险，但昨天疲软的经济数据仍然提振了市场对降息的信心，美债收益率普遍下跌，道指微跌 0.06% ，纳指收涨 0.88% ，标普上涨 0.5% 再度突破历史新高。

Source: SignalPlus, Econimic Calendar

数字货币方面，宏观层面释放的短暂利好并未能拨开笼罩在 BTC 币价上方的阴霾。据报道，德国政府从钱包里转出了价值$ 172 M 的比特币到 Coinbase, Kraken 和 Bitstamp 这三个交易所里，加上前段时间美国政府也做出了类似的举动（出售丝绸之路的缴款），以及近期 Mt. Gox 将要进行的偿还，都为市场带来了强劲的抛压。

BTC 币价也在今日跌下了 60000 美元这道极为重要的心里支撑位，一度跌穿 57000 后反弹回到 58000 ，导致 5 JUL 和 12 JUL 的短期看跌期权供不应求，推动了 IV 曲线摆脱了近期的超低位，一路走平走高，同时 26 JUL 看涨期权也遭到大量抛售，市场短期内的情绪相当不乐观。

Source: Deribit （截至 4 JUL 16: 00 UTC+ 8）

Source: SignalPlus

Data Source: Deribit，BTC 交易总体分布

Data Source: Deribit，ETH 交易总体分布

Source: Deribit Block Trade

Source: Deribit Block Trade

$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$

聊聊我的期权交易心得

欢迎各位虎友说说你的期权交易心得，无论是赚钱的心得还是亏钱的经验，都有助于共同成长。我们会选取有价值的分析，赠予期权免佣卡。另外还会随机3位虎友赠予老虎心动周边

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

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Gox&nbsp;将要进行的偿还，都为市场带来了强劲的抛压。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">BTC&nbsp;币价也在今日跌下了&nbsp;60000&nbsp;美元这道极为重要的心里支撑位，一度跌穿&nbsp;57000&nbsp;后反弹回到&nbsp;58000&nbsp;，导致&nbsp;5&nbsp;JUL&nbsp;和&nbsp;12&nbsp;JUL&nbsp;的短期看跌期权供不应求，推动了&nbsp;IV&nbsp;曲线摆脱了近期的超低位，一路走平走高，同时&nbsp;26&nbsp;JUL&nbsp;看涨期权也遭到大量抛售，市场短期内的情绪相当不乐观。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc97439e9eb269a509577c9d5236ed9b\" tg-width=\"1057\" tg-height=\"370\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Deribit （截至 4&nbsp;JUL 16:&nbsp;00 UTC+&nbsp;8）</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2229ad567823501eb762503b6bf6550b\" tg-width=\"1070\" tg-height=\"702\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: SignalPlus</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9757ff0b0ba80817fa7f82b2c34494f\" tg-width=\"903\" tg-height=\"594\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data Source: Deribit，BTC 交易总体分布</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/976d167dc9b9ed79ae943797c3a7ac5c\" tg-width=\"890\" tg-height=\"587\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data Source: Deribit，ETH 交易总体分布</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d08afa5570fb1cc3b591b8d54abcf9\" tg-width=\"1300\" tg-height=\"391\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Deribit Block Trade</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2149a3652adc7e2a6d5084211ef6ff10\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"657\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Deribit Block Trade</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e277303959671fcac4d8847b3a24e8\" tg-width=\"1466\" tg-height=\"230\"></p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GBTC\">$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$</a> </p>\n<p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6095dd6fc0331736f69cb6b5068f7d86\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5c430892d7e85b4888c8c9fd8e23441\" tg-width=\"961\" tg-height=\"846\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">尽管周二鲍威尔在谈话时有意回避了&nbsp;9&nbsp;月是否要降息的问题，强调了调整货币政策的双向风险，但昨天疲软的经济数据仍然提振了市场对降息的信心，美债收益率普遍下跌，道指微跌&nbsp;0.06%&nbsp;，纳指收涨&nbsp;0.88%&nbsp;，标普上涨&nbsp;0.5%&nbsp;再度突破历史新高。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17f4eeb16b15cd096cb188447f2c3976\" tg-width=\"659\" tg-height=\"435\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: SignalPlus, Econimic Calendar</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">数字货币方面，宏观层面释放的短暂利好并未能拨开笼罩在&nbsp;BTC&nbsp;币价上方的阴霾。据报道，德国政府从钱包里转出了价值$&nbsp;172&nbsp;M&nbsp;的比特币到&nbsp;Coinbase, Kraken&nbsp;和&nbsp;Bitstamp&nbsp;这三个交易所里，加上前段时间美国政府也做出了类似的举动（出售丝绸之路的缴款），以及近期&nbsp;Mt. Gox&nbsp;将要进行的偿还，都为市场带来了强劲的抛压。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">BTC&nbsp;币价也在今日跌下了&nbsp;60000&nbsp;美元这道极为重要的心里支撑位，一度跌穿&nbsp;57000&nbsp;后反弹回到&nbsp;58000&nbsp;，导致&nbsp;5&nbsp;JUL&nbsp;和&nbsp;12&nbsp;JUL&nbsp;的短期看跌期权供不应求，推动了&nbsp;IV&nbsp;曲线摆脱了近期的超低位，一路走平走高，同时&nbsp;26&nbsp;JUL&nbsp;看涨期权也遭到大量抛售，市场短期内的情绪相当不乐观。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc97439e9eb269a509577c9d5236ed9b\" tg-width=\"1057\" tg-height=\"370\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Deribit （截至 4&nbsp;JUL 16:&nbsp;00 UTC+&nbsp;8）</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2229ad567823501eb762503b6bf6550b\" tg-width=\"1070\" tg-height=\"702\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: SignalPlus</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9757ff0b0ba80817fa7f82b2c34494f\" tg-width=\"903\" tg-height=\"594\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data Source: Deribit，BTC 交易总体分布</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/976d167dc9b9ed79ae943797c3a7ac5c\" tg-width=\"890\" tg-height=\"587\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data Source: Deribit，ETH 交易总体分布</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d08afa5570fb1cc3b591b8d54abcf9\" tg-width=\"1300\" tg-height=\"391\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Deribit Block Trade</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2149a3652adc7e2a6d5084211ef6ff10\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"657\"></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Deribit Block Trade</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e277303959671fcac4d8847b3a24e8\" tg-width=\"1466\" tg-height=\"230\"></p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GBTC\">$Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$</a> </p>\n<p></p></body></html>","text":"尽管周二鲍威尔在谈话时有意回避了 9 月是否要降息的问题，强调了调整货币政策的双向风险，但昨天疲软的经济数据仍然提振了市场对降息的信心，美债收益率普遍下跌，道指微跌 0.06% ，纳指收涨 0.88% ，标普上涨 0.5% 再度突破历史新高。 Source: SignalPlus, Econimic Calendar 数字货币方面，宏观层面释放的短暂利好并未能拨开笼罩在 BTC 币价上方的阴霾。据报道，德国政府从钱包里转出了价值$ 172 M 的比特币到 Coinbase, Kraken 和 Bitstamp 这三个交易所里，加上前段时间美国政府也做出了类似的举动（出售丝绸之路的缴款），以及近期 Mt. Gox 将要进行的偿还，都为市场带来了强劲的抛压。 BTC 币价也在今日跌下了 60000 美元这道极为重要的心里支撑位，一度跌穿 57000 后反弹回到 58000 ，导致 5 JUL 和 12 JUL 的短期看跌期权供不应求，推动了 IV 曲线摆脱了近期的超低位，一路走平走高，同时 26 JUL 看涨期权也遭到大量抛售，市场短期内的情绪相当不乐观。 Source: Deribit （截至 4 JUL 16: 00 UTC+ 8） Source: SignalPlus Data Source: Deribit，BTC 交易总体分布 Data Source: Deribit，ETH 交易总体分布 Source: Deribit Block Trade Source: Deribit Block Trade $MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323939507204320","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["GBTC","MSTR","COIN"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":989,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/323939507204320"}