HunterRen
04-22
遏制不住黄金上涨，美股七姐妹也扛不住，要想遏制黄金上涨，就得最大限度的消灭美元的流动性，可是购买美债的几个大户都在抛售美债，瘟疫、暗杀、战争得齐上阵……
华尔街“最准预言家”：美股抛售潮即将结束！
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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HunterRen
04-22
HunterRen
因为大家不再相信美元和美股
XYZ880
04-22
XYZ880
那咋还在跌
什么也没有了～
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href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=137033&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16ca3d6cd1655a1b112d04ef0fa0a894","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=137033&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2429999081","content_text":"华尔街知名大多头认为，多个指标显示美股抛售潮即将结束，年底前美股将触及新高……华尔街知名大多头、美国投资机构Fundstrat Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管汤姆·李（Tom Lee）认为，始于月初、已持续数周的美股抛售潮即将结束。拥有华尔街“最准预言家”之称的李表示，“美股在2024年第一季度表现强劲，因此美股正在盘整甚至下跌的事实并不完全令人意外。我们目前的看法不同之处在于，我们认为未来美股不会出现更大幅度的下跌。”外媒表示，美股下跌是由投资者对近期通胀趋势和中东地缘政治风险加剧感到担忧的双重避险反应推动的。但李预计这些风险最终将消散，为美股恢复上行趋势铺平道路，并在年底前触及新高。李在给客户的笔记中指出，尽管近期美股波动，但衡量恐慌情绪的VIX指数保持相对克制。在整个下跌过程中，VIX指数一直低于重要的风险偏好转折点20。李认为，若VIX指数降至18以下，将是美股价格重新上涨的看涨信号。上周早些时候，VIX期货的4个月与1个月期限结构发生了倒挂，随后迅速恢复正常。李表示，VIX期限结构的这种快速反转表明“市场认为短期内发生高波动性事件的概率降低”。上次出现类似VIX倒挂随后恢复正常的情形是在2023年3月，这一情形的出现标志着当时美股迎来局部底部，并随之开启了一年的大涨行情。此外，过去一周美股的加速下跌看似反常，实则可能意味着投资者去杠杆化进程接近尾声。李表示，（上周五）标普500指数的5天跌幅为3.6%，自2022年10月以来，这种下跌速度共出现过七次，其中五次立即形成了可交易的低点。看跌期权与看涨期权的比率上升，其最近读数为1.13，这一高水平在过去常标志着可交易的低点。自2022年10月以来，该比率七次达到1.13，其中有六次代表了股市的底部。李引用了Fundstrat技术策略师马克·牛顿（Mark 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