沃金大通
03-08
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@狮子做趋势交易:
利率正常化
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">$纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$ </a></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>昨晚老鲍没讲什么新东西,不过一句翻译过来的适时考虑降息,引出很多帖子欢呼美帝撑不下去了,也欢呼大A要解放了。</p>\n<p>美国市场上越来越多的讨论开始谈到—美元利率正常化。</p>\n<p>什么是正常化?</p>\n<p>我们大多数人接触美股都是在近十多年,09年次贷危机之后,伯南克祭出QE法宝,美元从此就一直处在极低利率环境下,所以美股市场上很多人认为低利率甚至零利率是常态。</p>\n<p>其实真正的正常化是有利率,而且不低的利率,就好比现在5.25的利率,这在2000年前,就是常态。</p>\n<p>人民币也是这样,以前存银行是有利息的,5、6、8这样的利率是正常的。</p>\n<p>所以,越来越不能排除美元保持High for Longer,而降息也成为第二只靴子,迟迟不肯落地。</p>\n<p>当然这里同样有老鲍作为GOP老党员的一颗忠诚之心。</p>\n<p>美帝还很能撑,压在大A大锅上的盖子,也不是那么轻易会被揭掉的。</p>\n<p>股票方面,没有消息就是好消息,显示出市场已经消化了不降息的预期。昨天小票表现稳定,在不降息的预期下,就慢慢涨,降息了,就快快涨,反正一个字,要涨。</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">$纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$ 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