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2023-12-15
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Avoid NIO Stock: The Struggling EV Maker Is Grasping at Straws
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First, persistent unprofitability and sales growth challenges needs to be solved. Second, and related to the first challenge, Nio’s management needs to win back the market’s past high enthusiasm for NIO stock.</p><p>Shares have experienced more modest price declines this year compared to 2022. However, much like with profitability and growth, investor sentiment is trending in the wrong direction. This needs to be corrected, and fast.</p><p>Taking this into account, it’s not a mystery as to why the company seems to be pulling all the stops lately to fast-track a turnaround (more below). Yet while Nio’s top brass may be giving 110% to fix the issues hurting both the company and the stock, should you count on a big payoff for these efforts?</p><p>Not so fast, as I’ll explain below.</p><h2 id=\"id_2477021023\">NIO Stock, its Big Problems, and its Planned Big Solutions</h2><p>In its latest monthly deliveries report, Nio talked up a big game, touting 12.6% year-over-year deliveries growth for November, as well as stating that year-to-date sales were up 33.1% compared to January-November 2022. At first glance, these numbers seem reliable.</p><p>However, as <em>MarketWatch</em> reported that same day, these figures represented an underperformance compared to the company’s main China-based peers. The same “sounds good only on the surface” dynamic can also be said to apply with Nio’s latest quarterly results, which came out on Dec. 5.</p><p>Although results came in ahead of expectations, and NIO stock briefly surged following the release, the market quickly wised up. Adjusted net losses for the quarter ($542 million) were less than expected, but only slightly (forecasts called for adjusted net losses of $600 million).</p><p>Vehicle margins for Q3 2023 (11%) were much better than margins reported in Q2 (6.2%). They were still down on a year-over-year basis.</p><p>In short, the big same problems that have kept knocking NIO lower (underwhelming growth, heavy losses) have not gone away. Again, the company has big solutions in the works, yet these hardly guarantee a massive comeback lies ahead.</p><h2 id=\"id_3019235619\">Why Layoffs and a Spinoff May Not Save the Day</h2><p>Alongside the release of the latest deliveries and financial data, there’s been quite a bit of news lately with NIO stock regarding the company’s turnaround plans. First, after announcing last month plans to lay off 10% of its workforce, there are rumors that Nio is considering another round of layoffs.</p><p>Second, as <em>Reuters</em> reported in a Dec. 6 exclusive, the company may be pursuing another actions in its efforts to become profitable: spin off its battery segment. Nio refused to address the spin-off rumors, but this plan, along with past and potential layoffs, may reduce cash burn. Or will it?</p><p>Although cost cutting may enable Nio to report “less bad” results in subsequent quarters, don’t assume that these cuts mean a quick trip to profitability. Nio has previously noted that its cost reduction efforts could save it around 2 billion yuan next year. That’s around $280.4 million.</p><p>While nothing to sneeze at, such cost savings are well below the aforementioned big losses from last quarter alone. If that’s not bad enough, these aggressive cost-cutting measures may also worsen its competitive disadvantage.</p><h2 id=\"id_641445388\">The Verdict: Investor Patience Wears Thin</h2><p>Failing to plan is planning to fail, the saying goes, but just because Nio has formulated a turnaround plan doesn’t mean success will be a cinch. High competition in the Chinese EV space could continue to make it difficult for Nio to re-accelerate growth, as I have argued previously.</p><p>In fact, Nio’s possible pivot from free-spending to penny-pinching could make matters worse. While perhaps intending to cut the fat out of its operating expenses, it may be cutting bone and vital organs instead. Larger, better capitalized rivals could gain a greater edge.</p><p>At the same time Nio’s turnaround appears very questionable, the patience of investors keeps wearing thin. Sentiment for EV stocks across the board keeps turning bearish, as headwinds for the industry intensify globally.</p><p>With this, the verdict remains clear: continue to avoid NIO stock.</p><p>NIO stock earns a D rating in <em>Portfolio Grader</em>.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Avoid NIO Stock: The Struggling EV Maker Is Grasping at Straws</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAvoid NIO Stock: The Struggling EV Maker Is Grasping at Straws\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-12-15 21:26 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/market360/2023/12/avoid-nio-stock-the-struggling-ev-maker-is-grasping-at-straws/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As unprofitability persists, and its shares keep sliding, Nio (NIO) is pulling out all the stops to reverse these disheartening trends.Making efforts may not be enough to save the day for struggling ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/market360/2023/12/avoid-nio-stock-the-struggling-ev-maker-is-grasping-at-straws/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","09866":"蔚来-SW","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","NIO":"蔚来","NIO.SI":"蔚来","BK4509":"腾讯概念","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/market360/2023/12/avoid-nio-stock-the-struggling-ev-maker-is-grasping-at-straws/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2391671306","content_text":"As unprofitability persists, and its shares keep sliding, Nio (NIO) is pulling out all the stops to reverse these disheartening trends.Making efforts may not be enough to save the day for struggling EV makers.Investor patience is wearing thin, best to avoid NIO stock.Source: Piotr Swat / Shutterstock.comThe management at China-based EV maker Nio (NYSE:NIO) faces a twofold challenge. First, persistent unprofitability and sales growth challenges needs to be solved. Second, and related to the first challenge, Nio’s management needs to win back the market’s past high enthusiasm for NIO stock.Shares have experienced more modest price declines this year compared to 2022. However, much like with profitability and growth, investor sentiment is trending in the wrong direction. This needs to be corrected, and fast.Taking this into account, it’s not a mystery as to why the company seems to be pulling all the stops lately to fast-track a turnaround (more below). Yet while Nio’s top brass may be giving 110% to fix the issues hurting both the company and the stock, should you count on a big payoff for these efforts?Not so fast, as I’ll explain below.NIO Stock, its Big Problems, and its Planned Big SolutionsIn its latest monthly deliveries report, Nio talked up a big game, touting 12.6% year-over-year deliveries growth for November, as well as stating that year-to-date sales were up 33.1% compared to January-November 2022. At first glance, these numbers seem reliable.However, as MarketWatch reported that same day, these figures represented an underperformance compared to the company’s main China-based peers. The same “sounds good only on the surface” dynamic can also be said to apply with Nio’s latest quarterly results, which came out on Dec. 5.Although results came in ahead of expectations, and NIO stock briefly surged following the release, the market quickly wised up. Adjusted net losses for the quarter ($542 million) were less than expected, but only slightly (forecasts called for adjusted net losses of $600 million).Vehicle margins for Q3 2023 (11%) were much better than margins reported in Q2 (6.2%). They were still down on a year-over-year basis.In short, the big same problems that have kept knocking NIO lower (underwhelming growth, heavy losses) have not gone away. Again, the company has big solutions in the works, yet these hardly guarantee a massive comeback lies ahead.Why Layoffs and a Spinoff May Not Save the DayAlongside the release of the latest deliveries and financial data, there’s been quite a bit of news lately with NIO stock regarding the company’s turnaround plans. First, after announcing last month plans to lay off 10% of its workforce, there are rumors that Nio is considering another round of layoffs.Second, as Reuters reported in a Dec. 6 exclusive, the company may be pursuing another actions in its efforts to become profitable: spin off its battery segment. Nio refused to address the spin-off rumors, but this plan, along with past and potential layoffs, may reduce cash burn. Or will it?Although cost cutting may enable Nio to report “less bad” results in subsequent quarters, don’t assume that these cuts mean a quick trip to profitability. Nio has previously noted that its cost reduction efforts could save it around 2 billion yuan next year. That’s around $280.4 million.While nothing to sneeze at, such cost savings are well below the aforementioned big losses from last quarter alone. If that’s not bad enough, these aggressive cost-cutting measures may also worsen its competitive disadvantage.The Verdict: Investor Patience Wears ThinFailing to plan is planning to fail, the saying goes, but just because Nio has formulated a turnaround plan doesn’t mean success will be a cinch. High competition in the Chinese EV space could continue to make it difficult for Nio to re-accelerate growth, as I have argued previously.In fact, Nio’s possible pivot from free-spending to penny-pinching could make matters worse. While perhaps intending to cut the fat out of its operating expenses, it may be cutting bone and vital organs instead. Larger, better capitalized rivals could gain a greater edge.At the same time Nio’s turnaround appears very questionable, the patience of investors keeps wearing thin. Sentiment for EV stocks across the board keeps turning bearish, as headwinds for the industry intensify globally.With this, the verdict remains clear: continue to avoid NIO stock.NIO stock earns a D rating in Portfolio Grader.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":17,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/252489749848072"}
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