速印机
2023-09-19
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@期权侦探：
期权侦探：长期看涨短期看跌，华尔街纷纷上调标普年底目标价
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true}","description":"你想知道的期权知识都在这里，咨询期权问题@期权小助手","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672d6bc9cf055ebef009d5ee69bfef82"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba6e56f7a66a6be3ec9b0c5d22b72350","width":"2300","height":"1346"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbcfbe5a53ae8607cecaa2f2edc76f5c","width":"2298","height":"1354"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a47fff90adf6d8c754833b499cba898","width":"2300","height":"1338"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f578ba4196d4021eb1265cea43919c27","width":"2300","height":"1342"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90dfa431fcae3e1bf03ed876f33d53c9","width":"2304","height":"1342"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5287490e4d1689f3a43f7f9408dc4f3b","width":"2300","height":"1340"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba6e56f7a66a6be3ec9b0c5d22b72350","width":"2300","height":"1346"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbcfbe5a53ae8607cecaa2f2edc76f5c","width":"2298","height":"1354"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a47fff90adf6d8c754833b499cba898","width":"2300","height":"1338"}],"title":"期权侦探：长期看涨短期看跌，华尔街纷纷上调标普年底目标价","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>本周市场关注 Fed 利率决策。美国 10 年期国债利率来到 4.347 %。Fed 将在周四 (21 日) 两点公布 9 月利率决策，随后 Fed 主席鲍威尔将在两点半召开货币政策决议记者会。市场预估利率可能按兵不动，维持在 5.25%-5.5% 区间不变，不过有鉴于上周经济数据报告显示通膨加速升温、就业市场强劲，今年内可能会再加息一次。</p><p>高频经济公司 (High Frequency Economics) 首席美国经济学家法鲁奇 (Rubeela Farooqi) 表示，上周通胀报告支撑联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 本周保持利率不变。至于未来政策路径，有关通胀、就业市场以及对先前收紧货币政延后与累积的效应都要列入考量，将有助确认 Fed 是否已经完成加息还是要进一步加息。目前预估 FOMC 可能在年底前都会维持利率不变。</p><p>根据 CME 的 FedWatch 工具，市场预计 Fed 本周维持利率不变的可能性为 99%。</p><p>今年美股的涨势优于预期，促使多家华尔街大行策略师开始正视自己的错误预测，纷纷提高标准普尔 500 指数年底目标价。</p><p>法国兴业银行美国股票策略部门主管 Manish Kabra 上周将标普 500 指数的年底目标价从 4,300 点提升至 4,750 点，较他最初预测的 3,800 点高出 25%。</p><p>曾神预言 2022 年美股大跌的摩根士丹利首席美股策略师 Mike Wilson 也在 7 月份承认自己看空股市的时间太久。不过，他仍然预计美股在年底前将下跌超过 10%。</p><p><u>*每晚9:30～10:30，期权侦探实时分享独家筛选日内期权大单，欢迎点击关注订阅跟踪。</u></p><h4 id=\"id_717338648\" style=\"text-align: start;\">期权买方开仓（单腿）</h4><p>买入成交额TOP：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20240621 430.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020240621%20430.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20240621 430.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"BYD 20241115 65.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BYD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BYD%2020241115%2065.0%20PUT\">$BYD 20241115 65.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>买入成交量TOP：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BMBL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BMBL%2020231117%2012.5%20PUT\">$BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"DKNG 20231027 26.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"DKNG\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/DKNG%2020231027%2026.0%20PUT\">$DKNG 20231027 26.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>其他科技股：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PINS 20230922 25.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PINS\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PINS%2020230922%2025.5%20PUT\">$PINS 20230922 25.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"PINS 20231006 28.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PINS\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PINS%2020231006%2028.0%20CALL\">$PINS 20231006 28.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"U 20230922 37.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"U\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/U%2020230922%2037.0%20CALL\">$U 20230922 37.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"ADBE 20231020 575.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ADBE\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ADBE%2020231020%20575.0%20CALL\">$ADBE 20231020 575.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba6e56f7a66a6be3ec9b0c5d22b72350\" tg-width=\"2300\" tg-height=\"1346\"></p><p>注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大买入开仓合约。看涨期权买入代表交易者认为标的具有上涨动能，看跌期权买入代表交易者认为标的具有下跌动能。这些合约开仓通常表明标的股票的显著活动，包括交易员是否愿意积累多头或空头期权头寸。</p><h4 id=\"id_2032021718\">期权卖方开仓（单腿）</h4><p>卖出成交额TOP：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20231006 330.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020231006%20330.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20231006 330.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20230922 187.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020230922%20187.5%20PUT\">$AAPL 20230922 187.5 PUT$</a> </p><p>卖出成交量TOP：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BMBL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BMBL%2020231117%2012.5%20PUT\">$BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"F 20230929 12.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"F\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/F%2020230929%2012.0%20PUT\">$F 20230929 12.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>其他科技股：</p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA%2020230929%20442.5%20CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA 20230929 442.5 CALL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020230929%20442.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20230929 442.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260116 130.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260116%20130.0%20PUT\">$AMZN 20260116 130.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"AVGO 20240621 950.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AVGO\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AVGO%2020240621%20950.0%20CALL\">$AVGO 20240621 950.0 CALL$</a> </p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbcfbe5a53ae8607cecaa2f2edc76f5c\" tg-width=\"2298\" tg-height=\"1354\"></p><p>注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大卖出开仓合约。看涨期权卖出代表交易者认为标的趋势见顶，看跌期权卖入代表交易者认为标的趋势见底。这些合约开仓通常表明标的股票的显著活动，包括交易员是否愿意积累多头或空头期权头寸。</p><h4 id=\"id_3040144333\">期权组合开仓</h4><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a47fff90adf6d8c754833b499cba898\" tg-width=\"2300\" tg-height=\"1338\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f578ba4196d4021eb1265cea43919c27\" tg-width=\"2300\" tg-height=\"1342\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90dfa431fcae3e1bf03ed876f33d53c9\" tg-width=\"2304\" tg-height=\"1342\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5287490e4d1689f3a43f7f9408dc4f3b\" tg-width=\"2300\" tg-height=\"1340\"></p><p>注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大组合合约。组合开仓囊括各种标的趋势，需要交易者进一步掌握期权基础知识进行分析判断。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>本周市场关注 Fed 利率决策。美国 10 年期国债利率来到 4.347 %。Fed 将在周四 (21 日) 两点公布 9 月利率决策，随后 Fed 主席鲍威尔将在两点半召开货币政策决议记者会。市场预估利率可能按兵不动，维持在 5.25%-5.5% 区间不变，不过有鉴于上周经济数据报告显示通膨加速升温、就业市场强劲，今年内可能会再加息一次。</p><p>高频经济公司 (High Frequency Economics) 首席美国经济学家法鲁奇 (Rubeela Farooqi) 表示，上周通胀报告支撑联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 本周保持利率不变。至于未来政策路径，有关通胀、就业市场以及对先前收紧货币政延后与累积的效应都要列入考量，将有助确认 Fed 是否已经完成加息还是要进一步加息。目前预估 FOMC 可能在年底前都会维持利率不变。</p><p>根据 CME 的 FedWatch 工具，市场预计 Fed 本周维持利率不变的可能性为 99%。</p><p>今年美股的涨势优于预期，促使多家华尔街大行策略师开始正视自己的错误预测，纷纷提高标准普尔 500 指数年底目标价。</p><p>法国兴业银行美国股票策略部门主管 Manish Kabra 上周将标普 500 指数的年底目标价从 4,300 点提升至 4,750 点，较他最初预测的 3,800 点高出 25%。</p><p>曾神预言 2022 年美股大跌的摩根士丹利首席美股策略师 Mike Wilson 也在 7 月份承认自己看空股市的时间太久。不过，他仍然预计美股在年底前将下跌超过 10%。</p><p><u>*每晚9:30～10:30，期权侦探实时分享独家筛选日内期权大单，欢迎点击关注订阅跟踪。</u></p><h4 id=\"id_717338648\" style=\"text-align: start;\">期权买方开仓（单腿）</h4><p>买入成交额TOP：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20240621 430.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020240621%20430.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20240621 430.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"BYD 20241115 65.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BYD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BYD%2020241115%2065.0%20PUT\">$BYD 20241115 65.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>买入成交量TOP：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BMBL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BMBL%2020231117%2012.5%20PUT\">$BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"DKNG 20231027 26.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"DKNG\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/DKNG%2020231027%2026.0%20PUT\">$DKNG 20231027 26.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>其他科技股：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PINS 20230922 25.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PINS\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PINS%2020230922%2025.5%20PUT\">$PINS 20230922 25.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"PINS 20231006 28.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PINS\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PINS%2020231006%2028.0%20CALL\">$PINS 20231006 28.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"U 20230922 37.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"U\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/U%2020230922%2037.0%20CALL\">$U 20230922 37.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"ADBE 20231020 575.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ADBE\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ADBE%2020231020%20575.0%20CALL\">$ADBE 20231020 575.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba6e56f7a66a6be3ec9b0c5d22b72350\" tg-width=\"2300\" tg-height=\"1346\"></p><p>注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大买入开仓合约。看涨期权买入代表交易者认为标的具有上涨动能，看跌期权买入代表交易者认为标的具有下跌动能。这些合约开仓通常表明标的股票的显著活动，包括交易员是否愿意积累多头或空头期权头寸。</p><h4 id=\"id_2032021718\">期权卖方开仓（单腿）</h4><p>卖出成交额TOP：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20231006 330.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020231006%20330.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20231006 330.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20230922 187.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020230922%20187.5%20PUT\">$AAPL 20230922 187.5 PUT$</a> </p><p>卖出成交量TOP：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BMBL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BMBL%2020231117%2012.5%20PUT\">$BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"F 20230929 12.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"F\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/F%2020230929%2012.0%20PUT\">$F 20230929 12.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>其他科技股：</p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA%2020230929%20442.5%20CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA 20230929 442.5 CALL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020230929%20442.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20230929 442.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260116 130.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260116%20130.0%20PUT\">$AMZN 20260116 130.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"AVGO 20240621 950.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AVGO\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AVGO%2020240621%20950.0%20CALL\">$AVGO 20240621 950.0 CALL$</a> </p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbcfbe5a53ae8607cecaa2f2edc76f5c\" tg-width=\"2298\" tg-height=\"1354\"></p><p>注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大卖出开仓合约。看涨期权卖出代表交易者认为标的趋势见顶，看跌期权卖入代表交易者认为标的趋势见底。这些合约开仓通常表明标的股票的显著活动，包括交易员是否愿意积累多头或空头期权头寸。</p><h4 id=\"id_3040144333\">期权组合开仓</h4><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a47fff90adf6d8c754833b499cba898\" tg-width=\"2300\" tg-height=\"1338\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f578ba4196d4021eb1265cea43919c27\" tg-width=\"2300\" tg-height=\"1342\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90dfa431fcae3e1bf03ed876f33d53c9\" tg-width=\"2304\" tg-height=\"1342\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5287490e4d1689f3a43f7f9408dc4f3b\" tg-width=\"2300\" tg-height=\"1340\"></p><p>注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大组合合约。组合开仓囊括各种标的趋势，需要交易者进一步掌握期权基础知识进行分析判断。</p></body></html>","text":"本周市场关注 Fed 利率决策。美国 10 年期国债利率来到 4.347 %。Fed 将在周四 (21 日) 两点公布 9 月利率决策，随后 Fed 主席鲍威尔将在两点半召开货币政策决议记者会。市场预估利率可能按兵不动，维持在 5.25%-5.5% 区间不变，不过有鉴于上周经济数据报告显示通膨加速升温、就业市场强劲，今年内可能会再加息一次。 高频经济公司 (High Frequency Economics) 首席美国经济学家法鲁奇 (Rubeela Farooqi) 表示，上周通胀报告支撑联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 本周保持利率不变。至于未来政策路径，有关通胀、就业市场以及对先前收紧货币政延后与累积的效应都要列入考量，将有助确认 Fed 是否已经完成加息还是要进一步加息。目前预估 FOMC 可能在年底前都会维持利率不变。 根据 CME 的 FedWatch 工具，市场预计 Fed 本周维持利率不变的可能性为 99%。 今年美股的涨势优于预期，促使多家华尔街大行策略师开始正视自己的错误预测，纷纷提高标准普尔 500 指数年底目标价。 法国兴业银行美国股票策略部门主管 Manish Kabra 上周将标普 500 指数的年底目标价从 4,300 点提升至 4,750 点，较他最初预测的 3,800 点高出 25%。 曾神预言 2022 年美股大跌的摩根士丹利首席美股策略师 Mike Wilson 也在 7 月份承认自己看空股市的时间太久。不过，他仍然预计美股在年底前将下跌超过 10%。 *每晚9:30～10:30，期权侦探实时分享独家筛选日内期权大单，欢迎点击关注订阅跟踪。 期权买方开仓（单腿） 买入成交额TOP： $MSFT 20240621 430.0 CALL$ $BYD 20241115 65.0 PUT$ 买入成交量TOP： $BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT$ $DKNG 20231027 26.0 PUT$ 其他科技股： $PINS 20230922 25.5 PUT$ $PINS 20231006 28.0 CALL$ $U 20230922 37.0 CALL$ $ADBE 20231020 575.0 CALL$ 注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大买入开仓合约。看涨期权买入代表交易者认为标的具有上涨动能，看跌期权买入代表交易者认为标的具有下跌动能。这些合约开仓通常表明标的股票的显著活动，包括交易员是否愿意积累多头或空头期权头寸。 期权卖方开仓（单腿） 卖出成交额TOP： $MSFT 20231006 330.0 CALL$ $AAPL 20230922 187.5 PUT$ 卖出成交量TOP： $BMBL 20231117 12.5 PUT$ $F 20230929 12.0 PUT$ 其他科技股： $NVDA 20230929 442.5 CALL$ $AMZN 20260116 130.0 PUT$ $AVGO 20240621 950.0 CALL$ 注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大卖出开仓合约。看涨期权卖出代表交易者认为标的趋势见顶，看跌期权卖入代表交易者认为标的趋势见底。这些合约开仓通常表明标的股票的显著活动，包括交易员是否愿意积累多头或空头期权头寸。 期权组合开仓 注：此图片数据来自老虎国际PC端。此筛选为市场上期权合约的重大组合合约。组合开仓囊括各种标的趋势，需要交易者进一步掌握期权基础知识进行分析判断。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/221270154465336","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["AMZN 20260116 130.0 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