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2021-06-11

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JPMorgan says there’s weak bitcoin demand from big investors and a crypto bear market could be on the way

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This is happening for the first time since 2018, the quantitative analyst said, and is a signal of the lack of interest from the institutional buyer.\n“This is an unusual development and a reflection of how weak bitcoin demand is at the moment from institutional investors that tend to use regulated CME futures contracts to gain exposure to bitcoin,” he said, referring to the derivatives marketplace.\nIn a normal environment, bitcoin futures trade at a higher, positive spread over current or spot prices.\n“We believe that the return to backwardation in recent weeks has been a negative signal pointing to a bear market,” the analyst said.\nEven with the introduction of crypto-related funds and the increasing participation in the futures market by institutional investors, they haven’t caused a normalization of the futures to spot spread and the market is still “crypto rich and cash poor,” Panigirtzoglou said.\nThe price of bitcoin is down more than 40% from its all-time high above $64,000 reached in April. The cryptocurrency fell to almost $30,000 during a 30% intraday crash last month. It has since rebounded to above $36,000, raising hopes a bottom could be in.\nPanigirtzoglou’s analysis of investor flows in bitcoin is being widely followed on Wall Street. Sometraders believe his report indicating big investors dumping bitcoinhad a hand in May’s aggressive pullback.\nThe largest cryptocurrency by market cap needs to regain its dominance in the total crypto market for it to bounce, JPMorgan said in the note. It currently comprises about 31.5% of total crypto market volume, according to Coin Gecko. Panigirtzoglou said it would have to move to more than 50% for the bank to change its negative outlook.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/181580755"}