有人说散户最容易学的_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

我虎故我在

有人说散户最容易学的是基本面和政策面，很难想象一个散户能掌握基本面，真做到了必定是资深股民。还有解读政策面，我从来是看别人解读的，不敢揣测市场对政策面的反应，政策不同于消息，对市场的影响更深远。举个例子，当年大家对股权分置改革是看空的，然而股市却迎来了大牛市，市场反应与大家的预期反了。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

赔钱资本
2018-04-13
赔钱资本
这个市场从来都不是理性的，更多是心理间的博弈。
- 我虎故我在回复赔钱资本:
  几十年后再看吧。
- 我虎故我在回复赔钱资本:
  他这个国际学会都成立30多年了，还会存在下去。投资本来就是门派林立，当然都有理。
- 赔钱资本回复我虎故我在:
  公说公有理，婆说婆有理，这样讨论也没太大结果。成败论英雄吧。看时间成就吧。
- 我虎故我在回复赔钱资本:
  预测也不是瞎预测，我只不过按图索骥罢了。
- 我虎故我在回复赔钱资本:
  当然是周期律，我一直用这个方法。
低调稳健金融圈人士
2018-03-30
低调稳健金融圈人士
政策的解读也只有真正的专业人士做的比较可信，比如银监会最近的监管文件，有很多专业术语，如去通道等词，非专业人士也不一定懂，解读会出现偏差，另外，反映到市场上又是不一样，由于很多人是散户，并不一定是专业人士，就会出现对于政策解读大不相同，很有可能会体现在市场上就不同，所以我一般只看波动率，那是市场的反映，体现一切，股市就是股民情绪的集合。
低调稳健金融圈人士
2018-03-30
低调稳健金融圈人士
所谓基本面，在我看来是要财报等纸面材料和尽职调查相结合的，散户做不到尽职调查，所以很难了解真正的基本面。光看财报是有很大误差的
Johnliu08
2018-03-28
Johnliu08
经典的逻辑和研究框架是一切研究的核心所在
fishinglo
2018-03-28
fishinglo
政策不同于消息
keke006
2018-03-28
keke006
确实是这样的

发表看法

19

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":172206,"tweetId":"172206","gmtCreate":1522195620230,"gmtModify":1704890921423,"author":{"id":3458740006555545,"idStr":"3458740006555545","authorId":3458740006555545,"authorIdStr":"3458740006555545","name":"我虎故我在","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":19,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>有人说散户最容易学的是基本面和政策面，很难想象一个散户能掌握基本面，真做到了必定是资深股民。还有解读政策面，我从来是看别人解读的，不敢揣测市场对政策面的反应，政策不同于消息，对市场的影响更深远。举个例子，当年大家对股权分置改革是看空的，然而股市却迎来了大牛市，市场反应与大家的预期反了。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>有人说散户最容易学的是基本面和政策面，很难想象一个散户能掌握基本面，真做到了必定是资深股民。还有解读政策面，我从来是看别人解读的，不敢揣测市场对政策面的反应，政策不同于消息，对市场的影响更深远。举个例子，当年大家对股权分置改革是看空的，然而股市却迎来了大牛市，市场反应与大家的预期反了。</p></body></html>","text":"有人说散户最容易学的是基本面和政策面，很难想象一个散户能掌握基本面，真做到了必定是资深股民。还有解读政策面，我从来是看别人解读的，不敢揣测市场对政策面的反应，政策不同于消息，对市场的影响更深远。举个例子，当年大家对股权分置改革是看空的，然而股市却迎来了大牛市，市场反应与大家的预期反了。","highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":19,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172206","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1282,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":274,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":718426,"commentId":"718426","gmtCreate":1523595343100,"gmtModify":1523595343100,"authorId":3476611173335992,"author":{"id":3476611173335992,"idStr":"3476611173335992","authorId":3476611173335992,"name":"赔钱资本","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5db93abf8a407c39314cbdd0e96f7f62","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.26","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"这个市场从来都不是理性的，更多是心理间的博弈。","text":"这个市场从来都不是理性的，更多是心理间的博弈。","html":"这个市场从来都不是理性的，更多是心理间的博弈。","likeSize":0,"commentSize":11,"subComments":[{"id":721719,"commentId":"721719","gmtCreate":1523949336464,"gmtModify":1523949336464,"authorId":3458740006555545,"author":{"id":3458740006555545,"idStr":"3458740006555545","authorId":3458740006555545,"name":"我虎故我在","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3476611173335992,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3476611173335992,"idStr":"3476611173335992","authorId":3476611173335992,"name":"赔钱资本","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5db93abf8a407c39314cbdd0e96f7f62","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.26","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":718426,"supIdStr":"718426","prevId":721231,"prevIdStr":"721231","content":"几十年后再看吧。","text":"几十年后再看吧。","html":"几十年后再看吧。"},{"id":721717,"commentId":"721717","gmtCreate":1523949298733,"gmtModify":1523949298733,"authorId":3458740006555545,"author":{"id":3458740006555545,"idStr":"3458740006555545","authorId":3458740006555545,"name":"我虎故我在","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3476611173335992,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3476611173335992,"idStr":"3476611173335992","authorId":3476611173335992,"name":"赔钱资本","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5db93abf8a407c39314cbdd0e96f7f62","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.26","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":718426,"supIdStr":"718426","prevId":721231,"prevIdStr":"721231","content":"他这个国际学会都成立30多年了，还会存在下去。投资本来就是门派林立，当然都有理。","text":"他这个国际学会都成立30多年了，还会存在下去。投资本来就是门派林立，当然都有理。","html":"他这个国际学会都成立30多年了，还会存在下去。投资本来就是门派林立，当然都有理。"},{"id":721231,"commentId":"721231","gmtCreate":1523932157600,"gmtModify":1523932157600,"authorId":3476611173335992,"author":{"id":3476611173335992,"idStr":"3476611173335992","authorId":3476611173335992,"name":"赔钱资本","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5db93abf8a407c39314cbdd0e96f7f62","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.26","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3458740006555545,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3458740006555545,"idStr":"3458740006555545","authorId":3458740006555545,"name":"我虎故我在","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":718426,"supIdStr":"718426","prevId":721107,"prevIdStr":"721107","content":"公说公有理，婆说婆有理，这样讨论也没太大结果。成败论英雄吧。看时间成就吧。","text":"公说公有理，婆说婆有理，这样讨论也没太大结果。成败论英雄吧。看时间成就吧。","html":"公说公有理，婆说婆有理，这样讨论也没太大结果。成败论英雄吧。看时间成就吧。"},{"id":721115,"commentId":"721115","gmtCreate":1523921202075,"gmtModify":1523921202075,"authorId":3458740006555545,"author":{"id":3458740006555545,"idStr":"3458740006555545","authorId":3458740006555545,"name":"我虎故我在","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3476611173335992,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3476611173335992,"idStr":"3476611173335992","authorId":3476611173335992,"name":"赔钱资本","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5db93abf8a407c39314cbdd0e96f7f62","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.26","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":718426,"supIdStr":"718426","prevId":721022,"prevIdStr":"721022","content":"预测也不是瞎预测，我只不过按图索骥罢了。","text":"预测也不是瞎预测，我只不过按图索骥罢了。","html":"预测也不是瞎预测，我只不过按图索骥罢了。"},{"id":721107,"commentId":"721107","gmtCreate":1523919081750,"gmtModify":1523919081750,"authorId":3458740006555545,"author":{"id":3458740006555545,"idStr":"3458740006555545","authorId":3458740006555545,"name":"我虎故我在","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3476611173335992,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3476611173335992,"idStr":"3476611173335992","authorId":3476611173335992,"name":"赔钱资本","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5db93abf8a407c39314cbdd0e96f7f62","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.26","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":718426,"supIdStr":"718426","prevId":721022,"prevIdStr":"721022","content":"当然是周期律，我一直用这个方法。","text":"当然是周期律，我一直用这个方法。","html":"当然是周期律，我一直用这个方法。"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":703370,"commentId":"703370","gmtCreate":1522381840900,"gmtModify":1522381840900,"authorId":3482991205644023,"author":{"id":3482991205644023,"idStr":"3482991205644023","authorId":3482991205644023,"name":"低调稳健金融圈人士","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68068aa4055cd5716df9e52d8c61df70","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"政策的解读也只有真正的专业人士做的比较可信，比如银监会最近的监管文件，有很多专业术语，如去通道等词，非专业人士也不一定懂，解读会出现偏差，另外，反映到市场上又是不一样，由于很多人是散户，并不一定是专业人士，就会出现对于政策解读大不相同，很有可能会体现在市场上就不同，所以我一般只看波动率，那是市场的反映，体现一切，股市就是股民情绪的集合。","text":"政策的解读也只有真正的专业人士做的比较可信，比如银监会最近的监管文件，有很多专业术语，如去通道等词，非专业人士也不一定懂，解读会出现偏差，另外，反映到市场上又是不一样，由于很多人是散户，并不一定是专业人士，就会出现对于政策解读大不相同，很有可能会体现在市场上就不同，所以我一般只看波动率，那是市场的反映，体现一切，股市就是股民情绪的集合。","html":"政策的解读也只有真正的专业人士做的比较可信，比如银监会最近的监管文件，有很多专业术语，如去通道等词，非专业人士也不一定懂，解读会出现偏差，另外，反映到市场上又是不一样，由于很多人是散户，并不一定是专业人士，就会出现对于政策解读大不相同，很有可能会体现在市场上就不同，所以我一般只看波动率，那是市场的反映，体现一切，股市就是股民情绪的集合。","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":703364,"commentId":"703364","gmtCreate":1522381574244,"gmtModify":1522381574244,"authorId":3482991205644023,"author":{"id":3482991205644023,"idStr":"3482991205644023","authorId":3482991205644023,"name":"低调稳健金融圈人士","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68068aa4055cd5716df9e52d8c61df70","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"所谓基本面，在我看来是要财报等纸面材料和尽职调查相结合的，散户做不到尽职调查，所以很难了解真正的基本面。光看财报是有很大误差的","text":"所谓基本面，在我看来是要财报等纸面材料和尽职调查相结合的，散户做不到尽职调查，所以很难了解真正的基本面。光看财报是有很大误差的","html":"所谓基本面，在我看来是要财报等纸面材料和尽职调查相结合的，散户做不到尽职调查，所以很难了解真正的基本面。光看财报是有很大误差的","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":698434,"commentId":"698434","gmtCreate":1522204408444,"gmtModify":1522204408444,"authorId":3479274799828467,"author":{"id":3479274799828467,"idStr":"3479274799828467","authorId":3479274799828467,"name":"Johnliu08","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture152","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"经典的逻辑和研究框架是一切研究的核心所在","text":"经典的逻辑和研究框架是一切研究的核心所在","html":"经典的逻辑和研究框架是一切研究的核心所在","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":698458,"commentId":"698458","gmtCreate":1522204733929,"gmtModify":1522204733929,"authorId":3479274725915373,"author":{"id":3479274725915373,"idStr":"3479274725915373","authorId":3479274725915373,"name":"fishinglo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture56","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"政策不同于消息","text":"政策不同于消息","html":"政策不同于消息","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":698362,"commentId":"698362","gmtCreate":1522203659482,"gmtModify":1522203659482,"authorId":3479274814931736,"author":{"id":3479274814931736,"idStr":"3479274814931736","authorId":3479274814931736,"name":"keke006","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture182","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":172206,"objectIdStr":"172206","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"确实是这样的","text":"确实是这样的","html":"确实是这样的","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/172206"}