做出一个假设

$Facebook(FB)$ 扎克伯格在2017九月宣布在未来18个月内将抛售3500万至7000万的fb股票，最高值130亿美金。之前也说过要抛售99%的股票。因此我觉得很有可能在此期间一直是震荡，如果我们直接做空180的call和put期权，赌fb会有很长一段时间的震荡来消耗期权，不知可不可以！@gugu @机构猎杀者 @九格 @我是股神的小腿毛 @美股江恩

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精彩评论

gugu
2018-03-07
gugu
震荡走势做期权，风险太大了。形势不明朗拿着有时间耗损的衍生品，我个人会回避。
- gugu回复木城都市:
  你算完后，持仓周期多少？预期收益多少？
- 木城都市回复gugu:
  32%的年化率太难了吧
- gugu回复木城都市:
  那就看单位时间的预期收益率（收益*概率-风险*概率）/投入时间成本
- gugu回复木城都市:
  预期收益率200%*0.6（6成把握）-心理止损位30%*0.4，交易时间3月，预计32%年化。类似毛估估
- 木城都市回复木城都市:
  而且是做空，就是挣取它的消耗
机构猎杀者
2018-03-07
机构猎杀者
怎么操作在于你的内心，你既然都知道2018年会有剧烈震动，就要相信自己。只是期权买入时机，和价格很重要。
美股江恩
2018-03-08
美股江恩
最简单的方法就是参考同类股票走势。而期权未来最好的标的之一是股指。

发表看法

9

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