xx76795968
2021-06-29
[思考]
@小虎周报:
港股策略点评:上半年回顾,自印花税调控后,港股已进入慢牛行情
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/363490300\" target=\"_blank\">提高印花税税率,对港股潜在影响有多大?多久?</a>》20210224)</p> <p>包括从资金面的角度看,港股两大主要资金,南下资金和海外资金又分别受到国内经济,还有海外美元流动性的影响,目前国内常态化、进退有序的货币政策,加上美联储QE减量前,上半年海外流动性压力尚不大,也包括海外通胀峰值过后,明年美国通胀问题可能因为高基数缓解,同样会给货币政策预期预留出了喘息的时间。这些都为当下的港股提供了更友好的环境。</p> <p>上半年,海外通胀引发的能源价格上涨、还有国内监管成为影响中资股表现的主要因素,也增大了选股难度。如果从资金层面来看,上半年共有58家公司纳入港股通成分股,其中32家公司纳入后30天录得正收益。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e10e84ef5db366850edaf16175c83d6\" tg-width=\"1159\" tg-height=\"807\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c7115b2f5f3fb4c89a358f330ed2d4\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"730\">以纳入后30天计算,58家成分股自纳入后平均涨幅为4.4%;<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dc5d11d6500eb550322331f4be4d425\" tg-width=\"1210\" tg-height=\"848\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d9084f761c131eae47ae5110f57208\" tg-width=\"1147\" tg-height=\"671\">6家公司纳入恒生指数成分股,4家纳入后录得正收益,以纳入后30天计算,这6家成分股自纳入后平均涨幅为7%。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00968\">$信义光能(00968)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">$比亚迪股份(01211)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06098\">$碧桂园服务(06098)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">$阿里健康(00241)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">$龙湖地产(00960)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/019c3cc715c6bad4a351522edb04b8c3\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"485\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ddd0b6f5dc9cd138d1c9c2c030c3cb0\" tg-width=\"1169\" tg-height=\"785\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/940c1630a33bbcf3537d91fc59b031d8\" tg-width=\"1155\" tg-height=\"793\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSCEI\">$国企指数(HSCEI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSCCI\">$红筹指数(HSCCI)$</a></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>恒生指数上半年以7%的涨幅紧随欧美市场,这样的表现也略优于A股。上半年,在国内相对低的通胀预期压力,还有货币政策常态化约束性下,港A市场涨幅虽不及海外,但积累的风险也相对较小,尤其是印花税调控之后,行情更多以慢牛的方式盘整抬升。(《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/363490300\" target=\"_blank\">提高印花税税率,对港股潜在影响有多大?多久?</a>》20210224)</p> <p>包括从资金面的角度看,港股两大主要资金,南下资金和海外资金又分别受到国内经济,还有海外美元流动性的影响,目前国内常态化、进退有序的货币政策,加上美联储QE减量前,上半年海外流动性压力尚不大,也包括海外通胀峰值过后,明年美国通胀问题可能因为高基数缓解,同样会给货币政策预期预留出了喘息的时间。这些都为当下的港股提供了更友好的环境。</p> <p>上半年,海外通胀引发的能源价格上涨、还有国内监管成为影响中资股表现的主要因素,也增大了选股难度。如果从资金层面来看,上半年共有58家公司纳入港股通成分股,其中32家公司纳入后30天录得正收益。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e10e84ef5db366850edaf16175c83d6\" tg-width=\"1159\" tg-height=\"807\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69c7115b2f5f3fb4c89a358f330ed2d4\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"730\">以纳入后30天计算,58家成分股自纳入后平均涨幅为4.4%;<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dc5d11d6500eb550322331f4be4d425\" tg-width=\"1210\" tg-height=\"848\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d9084f761c131eae47ae5110f57208\" tg-width=\"1147\" tg-height=\"671\">6家公司纳入恒生指数成分股,4家纳入后录得正收益,以纳入后30天计算,这6家成分股自纳入后平均涨幅为7%。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00968\">$信义光能(00968)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">$比亚迪股份(01211)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06098\">$碧桂园服务(06098)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">$阿里健康(00241)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">$龙湖地产(00960)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/019c3cc715c6bad4a351522edb04b8c3\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"485\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ddd0b6f5dc9cd138d1c9c2c030c3cb0\" tg-width=\"1169\" tg-height=\"785\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/940c1630a33bbcf3537d91fc59b031d8\" tg-width=\"1155\" tg-height=\"793\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSCEI\">$国企指数(HSCEI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSCCI\">$红筹指数(HSCCI)$</a></p></body></html>","text":"恒生指数上半年以7%的涨幅紧随欧美市场,这样的表现也略优于A股。上半年,在国内相对低的通胀预期压力,还有货币政策常态化约束性下,港A市场涨幅虽不及海外,但积累的风险也相对较小,尤其是印花税调控之后,行情更多以慢牛的方式盘整抬升。(《提高印花税税率,对港股潜在影响有多大?多久?》20210224) 包括从资金面的角度看,港股两大主要资金,南下资金和海外资金又分别受到国内经济,还有海外美元流动性的影响,目前国内常态化、进退有序的货币政策,加上美联储QE减量前,上半年海外流动性压力尚不大,也包括海外通胀峰值过后,明年美国通胀问题可能因为高基数缓解,同样会给货币政策预期预留出了喘息的时间。这些都为当下的港股提供了更友好的环境。 上半年,海外通胀引发的能源价格上涨、还有国内监管成为影响中资股表现的主要因素,也增大了选股难度。如果从资金层面来看,上半年共有58家公司纳入港股通成分股,其中32家公司纳入后30天录得正收益。以纳入后30天计算,58家成分股自纳入后平均涨幅为4.4%;6家公司纳入恒生指数成分股,4家纳入后录得正收益,以纳入后30天计算,这6家成分股自纳入后平均涨幅为7%。 $信义光能(00968)$ $比亚迪股份(01211)$ $碧桂园服务(06098)$ $阿里健康(00241)$ $龙湖地产(00960)$ $海底捞(06862)$$恒生指数(HSI)$ $国企指数(HSCEI)$ 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