美股肯定崩盘但不是近期

2018-02-10

$标普500(.INX)$2016年中美元走强，人民币对美元大幅贬值，市场预计人民币对美元继续贬值。国外金融机构全力做空人民币，结果17年初人民币不降反升，做空者被爆仓。去年至今美联储加息缩表，美元进入强势通道，美国佬故技重施依托强势美元洗劫全球财富。市场预计美元大幅升值，可是又猜错了。美元不升反降，造成大量资金换汇离场，美股随之大跌。最近一周全球股市哀鸿遍野一地鸡毛，恐慌情绪越演越烈。几乎所有媒体、金融机构、投资者都一致认为股灾来了。难倒这次就能猜对吗？如果行情都这么好猜，岂不人人都是股神人人都是百万富翁！美国佬不会坐以待毙，眼睁睁看着美股崩盘。即使崩盘也要拖别人下水，大家一起难过，2008年次贷危机就是最好的例子。美股崩盘是大趋势，具体时间只有天知道，但绝不会是近期。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

安静不急躁
2018-02-10
安静不急躁
你这话有说跟没说一样，好比人都会死，但不知道啥时候死一样道理。。。。
- 诠释张扬回复Tonymei:
  啥意思？看不懂英文。是不是“拭目以待”？
- Tonymei回复诠释张扬:
  lets go and see
- Tonymei回复诠释张扬:
  这个逻辑有问题，股市和债市是互斥的。央行通胀加息预期强烈，10年期债券收益看涨，政府债务上限调通过，债券抛售价格下降。股市强烈波动下，资金会从股市流向债市，加剧股市波动。
- 诠释张扬:
  美国会拉升美元救市，吸引资金回流美国，大量的资金回来不会躺在银行里吃那少的可怜的利息。会进入债市或者股市，未来美股有可能还会破新高。现在所以人预计股灾将到来，反而会更小心谨慎理性投资，结果股灾爆发会被推迟。理解了这个逻辑，套牢的股票不会割肉抛售，也不会做空股票。
你哥石头
2018-02-15
你哥石头
不止要知道别人怎么说，还要明白别人为什么这么说。

发表看法

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