Yes it will. But not for a lon_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2021-07-02

Yes it will. But not for a long time. Cyclical remember?

$100 oil? Analysts predict the outlook for crude prices after a strong rally in the first half of 2021

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Cyclical remember?","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156805231","repostId":1153654374,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153654374","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625206580,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153654374?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 14:16","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"$100 oil? Analysts predict the outlook for crude prices after a strong rally in the first half of 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153654374","media":"CNBC","summary":"LONDON — Oil prices surged more than 45% in the first six months of 2021, rallying toward $80 a barr","content":"<div>\n<p>LONDON — Oil prices surged more than 45% in the first six months of 2021, rallying toward $80 a barrel for the first time in more than two and a half years.\nAnalysts on Wall Street believe there is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/02/oil-prices-analysts-on-the-outlook-for-crude-after-strong-first-half.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$100 oil? Analysts predict the outlook for crude prices after a strong rally in the first half of 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$100 oil? Analysts predict the outlook for crude prices after a strong rally in the first half of 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 14:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/02/oil-prices-analysts-on-the-outlook-for-crude-after-strong-first-half.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>LONDON — Oil prices surged more than 45% in the first six months of 2021, rallying toward $80 a barrel for the first time in more than two and a half years.\nAnalysts on Wall Street believe there is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/02/oil-prices-analysts-on-the-outlook-for-crude-after-strong-first-half.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/02/oil-prices-analysts-on-the-outlook-for-crude-after-strong-first-half.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1153654374","content_text":"LONDON — Oil prices surged more than 45% in the first six months of 2021, rallying toward $80 a barrel for the first time in more than two and a half years.\nAnalysts on Wall Street believe there is potential for crude marketsto climb even higher in the coming months, although not everyone is convinced that's the case.\nInternational benchmark Brentcrude futures traded at $75.76 a barrel on Friday, down around 0.11%. The oil contract recorded gains of more than 45% through to the end of June, having stood at $51.80 on Jan. 1.\nU.S. West Texas Intermediatefutures traded at $74.28 during early deals in London, almost 0.1% lower. WTI posted gains of more than 51.4% during the first six months of the year.\nBrent futures rose more than 8% in June while WTI climbed over 10%, reaching their highest levels since Oct. 2018.\nAnalysts attribute the oil price rally to a combination of factors, including the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, a gradual easing of lockdown measures and massive production cuts from OPEC and non-OPEC members — an energy alliance known as OPEC+.\nWhat next for oil prices?\nLooking ahead,Goldman Sachssees Brent prices averaging above $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes \"well above\" that level as demand comes roaring back.JPMorgan, meanwhile, expects crude oil prices to \"decisively\" break into the $80s during the final three months of the year.\nAnalysts at Bank of Americaare even more bullish. They argue Brent prices could see $100 in the summer of next year. That would mark a return to triple digits for the first time since 2014.\nIt comes as all three of the world's main forecasting agencies — OPEC, the International Energy Agency and the U.S. Energy Information Administration — expect a demand-led recovery to pick up speed in the second half of 2021.\nTamas Varga, oil analyst at PVM Oil Associates, said global and regional oil inventories have been falling so far this year, supporting oil prices. \"This trend is set to continue for the rest of the year,\" he added.\nIt \"would only come to an abrupt end if central banks start increasing interest rates unexpectedly because of fear of inflation or in case OPEC raises production above demand — or they fail to accommodate extra Iranian barrels if the Persian Gulf OPEC member comes back to the market.\"\nThe prospect of OPEC+ failing to accommodate additional Iranian oil exports \"looks unlikely at the moment,\" Varga said.\n'Demand destruction'\nA number of uncertainties continue to cloud the outlook, however. The spread of the delta Covid-19 variant worldwide has exacerbated concerns of a setback to oil demand and the potential of Iranian exports returning to the market remains unclear.\nRenewed lockdown measures and rising costs have already resulted in slower factory growth in China, for example.\nMartijn Rats, chief oil analyst atMorgan Stanley, said crude markets were effectively searching for the price of oil that would start to destroy demand growth.\n\"It is a difficult thing to analyze, we put it at around about $80 a barrel or so,\" Rats told CNBC's \"Street Signs Europe\" on Thursday.\n\"Above that, we would expect quite a bit of demand destruction to kick in,\" he continued. \"That then would have implications for economic growth because if oil demand doesn't grow quite as fast anymore then an awful lot of other industrial economic processes depend on that.\"\nPump jacks are seen in the Midway Sunset oilfield, California.Lucy Nicholson | Reuters\nTo be sure, Morgan Stanley believes Brent will trade between $75 to $80 through to the middle of 2022.\nOn Thursday, OPEC and its non-OPEC partners, an energy alliance often referred to as OPEC+, opted to delay a decision on whether to ramp up oil supply. Sources told Reuters that the UAE had blocked a plan for an immediate easing of supply cuts.\nThe Middle East-dominated producer group will meet again Friday when talks will continue.\nChris Midgley, global head of analytics at S&P Global Platts, said the OPEC+ meeting would have a \"strong bearing\" on oil prices since the outcome will impact supply from next month.\n\"Platts Analytics believes prices could briefly test the high 70's before prompt European buying starts to wane at the end of July and potential return of Iranian barrels enable Brent to retrace down to low 70s,\" Midgley told CNBC via email.\n\"OPEC may look to hold prices above $70/bbl but ultimately the forward curve suggests fair value slightly below,\" he added.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":46,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/156805231"}