骑牛队长
2021-06-08
应该还会接着东风再创佳绩
历史上解禁高峰前后市场表现如何?
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP,发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":117996162,"tweetId":"117996162","gmtCreate":1623112578956,"gmtModify":1634036869154,"author":{"id":3578659360940575,"idStr":"3578659360940575","authorId":3578659360940575,"authorIdStr":"3578659360940575","name":"骑牛队长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aca25144da715926b016511ee468c56d","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":1,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>应该还会接着东风再创佳绩</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>应该还会接着东风再创佳绩</p></body></html>","text":"应该还会接着东风再创佳绩","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117996162","repostId":1150924406,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150924406","pubTimestamp":1623073142,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150924406?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-07 21:39","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"历史上解禁高峰前后市场表现如何?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150924406","media":"招商策略研究","summary":"历史上解禁高峰前后市场表现如何?\n2021年6月市场解禁规模9056.6亿元,是近三年单月解禁规模最大值,其中本周解禁规模4705.9亿元,为解禁高峰。从解禁类型来看,本周解禁规模中,4474.8亿元","content":"<p><b>历史上解禁高峰前后市场表现如何?</b></p>\n<p>2021年6月市场解禁规模9056.6亿元,是近三年单月解禁规模最大值,其中本周解禁规模4705.9亿元,为解禁高峰。从解禁类型来看,本周解禁规模中,4474.8亿元首发原股东限售股解禁,占比超过95%;首发一般股份解禁2.1亿元,定增股份解禁22亿元和其他8亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d28b697ba23c3f24167adacc588126\" tg-width=\"1012\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>具体到个股来看,解禁规模最高的是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>,解禁市值4116.3亿元,解禁股份占总股本40.9%,是本周解禁规模激增的主要原因,其次为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSL\">天合光能</a>,解禁市值165.9亿元,解禁股份占总股本44.1%,上述两只个股均属首发原股东限售股解禁,其余个股的解禁规模均小于100亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0423bd1517c8d27da689a3c3188e2b6\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"505\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>那么,历史上的解禁高峰,市场表现如何呢?这里选取2012年以来解禁规模最高的前十周,从统计结果来看,高解禁规模并未对解禁前后短期市场整体表现造成明显的冲击。</b>解禁前一周和解禁当周万得全A指数涨跌参半;解禁后一周市场下跌占比40%;解禁后一个月和解禁后3个月市场下跌占比分别30%和40%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8024c75731162113eca8a323ff02050e\" tg-width=\"1004\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>进一步的,从不同类型解禁的股票表现来看,定增机构配售股份解禁对个股表现的负面影响更明显。</b>以2010年以来限售股份解禁明细数据为基础进行统计,从股票超额收益的中位数来看,解禁当天、解禁后1周和解禁后一个月解禁的股票超额收益基本为负,其中定增机构配售股份解禁的股票表现更差。如果从平均超额收益来看,首发原股东股份和股权激励股份解禁的时候,个股有正的超额收益;而定向增发机构配售股份超额收益基本为负。由此来看,定增配售股份解禁对股票的负面影响更大。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/662708cd8634e2f6afc09654424ee129\" tg-width=\"1004\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"zsclyj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>历史上解禁高峰前后市场表现如何?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n历史上解禁高峰前后市场表现如何?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 21:39 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzA4MzI2NjEwMQ==&mid=2653130286&idx=1&sn=2f0b4f3c2dc7162729825d48d6dc3e15&chksm=842e3174b359b862d77dbf37fe1b4a3e143169e95bba0b3afe13fe0e622c510e79e466862ef6&scene=0&xtrack=1><strong>招商策略研究</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>历史上解禁高峰前后市场表现如何?\n2021年6月市场解禁规模9056.6亿元,是近三年单月解禁规模最大值,其中本周解禁规模4705.9亿元,为解禁高峰。从解禁类型来看,本周解禁规模中,4474.8亿元首发原股东限售股解禁,占比超过95%;首发一般股份解禁2.1亿元,定增股份解禁22亿元和其他8亿元。\n\n具体到个股来看,解禁规模最高的是宁德时代,解禁市值4116.3亿元,解禁股份占总股本40.9%,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzA4MzI2NjEwMQ==&mid=2653130286&idx=1&sn=2f0b4f3c2dc7162729825d48d6dc3e15&chksm=842e3174b359b862d77dbf37fe1b4a3e143169e95bba0b3afe13fe0e622c510e79e466862ef6&scene=0&xtrack=1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{"300750":"宁德时代"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzA4MzI2NjEwMQ==&mid=2653130286&idx=1&sn=2f0b4f3c2dc7162729825d48d6dc3e15&chksm=842e3174b359b862d77dbf37fe1b4a3e143169e95bba0b3afe13fe0e622c510e79e466862ef6&scene=0&xtrack=1","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150924406","content_text":"历史上解禁高峰前后市场表现如何?\n2021年6月市场解禁规模9056.6亿元,是近三年单月解禁规模最大值,其中本周解禁规模4705.9亿元,为解禁高峰。从解禁类型来看,本周解禁规模中,4474.8亿元首发原股东限售股解禁,占比超过95%;首发一般股份解禁2.1亿元,定增股份解禁22亿元和其他8亿元。\n\n具体到个股来看,解禁规模最高的是宁德时代,解禁市值4116.3亿元,解禁股份占总股本40.9%,是本周解禁规模激增的主要原因,其次为天合光能,解禁市值165.9亿元,解禁股份占总股本44.1%,上述两只个股均属首发原股东限售股解禁,其余个股的解禁规模均小于100亿元。\n\n那么,历史上的解禁高峰,市场表现如何呢?这里选取2012年以来解禁规模最高的前十周,从统计结果来看,高解禁规模并未对解禁前后短期市场整体表现造成明显的冲击。解禁前一周和解禁当周万得全A指数涨跌参半;解禁后一周市场下跌占比40%;解禁后一个月和解禁后3个月市场下跌占比分别30%和40%。\n\n进一步的,从不同类型解禁的股票表现来看,定增机构配售股份解禁对个股表现的负面影响更明显。以2010年以来限售股份解禁明细数据为基础进行统计,从股票超额收益的中位数来看,解禁当天、解禁后1周和解禁后一个月解禁的股票超额收益基本为负,其中定增机构配售股份解禁的股票表现更差。如果从平均超额收益来看,首发原股东股份和股权激励股份解禁的时候,个股有正的超额收益;而定向增发机构配售股份超额收益基本为负。由此来看,定增配售股份解禁对股票的负面影响更大。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":676,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":24,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/117996162"}
精彩评论