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2021-04-28
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Biden’s First 100 Days Have Been Great for the Stock Market. What History Says Happens Next.
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What History Says Happens Next.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192239345","media":"Barrons","summary":"Joe Biden’s100th day in officeis this Thursday, and the stock market is on pace to record its best s","content":"<p>Joe Biden’s100th day in officeis this Thursday, and the stock market is on pace to record its best start to a president’s term since that of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1945. TheS&P 500 indexis up nearly 9% since inauguration day, trailing FDR’s fourth term by about a percentage point.</p><p>Of course, there are a multitude of influences that determinewhat the stock market doesover any period, and the impact of any particular president or another is debatable. Continued easy monetary policy, the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, and a string of strong economic data and corporate earnings reports areamong the bullish forcesthat have underpinned the rally in recent months.</p><p>The S&P 500 index has climbed an average of 3.8% in the first 100 days of the 24 presidential terms since 1929, according to Dow Jones Market Data. That’s an annualized rate of about 14.5%—well ahead of the S&P 500’s 6% average annual rise since its inception.</p><p>The first few months of the year tend to be a better time for stock returns in general, as corporate management teams give guidance for the year ahead and investors price stocks on higher estimates. In a new presidential term, the administration’s to-be-realized plans might inspire a bit more investor optimism.</p><p>The S&P 500’s historical track record for the next 100 days of presidential terms is even better: The index has gained 4.8% on average in that time frame. Its returns in that period have been similar on average whether the S&P 500 rose or fell in the president’s first 100 days.</p><p>The S&P 500 has been up 14 of 24 first 100 days of a president’s term since its inception, including 9 of 13 Democrats and 5 of 11 Republicans. The index has risen an average of 7.3% under Democrats’ first 100 days and slipped 0.4% under Republicans’.</p><p>FDR died in April 1945, before the 100th day of his fourth term in office, when the S&P 500 had gained just over 10%. That rise pales in comparison with FDR’s first term in 1933, with the index up nearly 80% in 100 days. The market was rebounding from successive selloffs to start the 1930s, but it still wouldn’t regain its pre-Great Depression high until the early 1950s.</p><p>The S&P 500’s worst start to a presidential term also came during FDR’s presidency, in 1941. It lost 10.1% in the first 100 days of his third term.</p><p>The index is on a winning streak among new presidents. It rose 2.8% and 7.5% in the first 100 days of Barack Obama’s first and second terms, respectively, and 5.3% to start Donald Trump’s presidency in 2017.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Biden’s First 100 Days Have Been Great for the Stock Market. 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What History Says Happens Next.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-28 16:59 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-soared-during-bidens-first-100-days-what-history-says-happens-next-51619479357?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Joe Biden’s100th day in officeis this Thursday, and the stock market is on pace to record its best start to a president’s term since that of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1945. TheS&P 500 indexis up nearly...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-soared-during-bidens-first-100-days-what-history-says-happens-next-51619479357?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-soared-during-bidens-first-100-days-what-history-says-happens-next-51619479357?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192239345","content_text":"Joe Biden’s100th day in officeis this Thursday, and the stock market is on pace to record its best start to a president’s term since that of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1945. TheS&P 500 indexis up nearly 9% since inauguration day, trailing FDR’s fourth term by about a percentage point.Of course, there are a multitude of influences that determinewhat the stock market doesover any period, and the impact of any particular president or another is debatable. Continued easy monetary policy, the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, and a string of strong economic data and corporate earnings reports areamong the bullish forcesthat have underpinned the rally in recent months.The S&P 500 index has climbed an average of 3.8% in the first 100 days of the 24 presidential terms since 1929, according to Dow Jones Market Data. That’s an annualized rate of about 14.5%—well ahead of the S&P 500’s 6% average annual rise since its inception.The first few months of the year tend to be a better time for stock returns in general, as corporate management teams give guidance for the year ahead and investors price stocks on higher estimates. In a new presidential term, the administration’s to-be-realized plans might inspire a bit more investor optimism.The S&P 500’s historical track record for the next 100 days of presidential terms is even better: The index has gained 4.8% on average in that time frame. Its returns in that period have been similar on average whether the S&P 500 rose or fell in the president’s first 100 days.The S&P 500 has been up 14 of 24 first 100 days of a president’s term since its inception, including 9 of 13 Democrats and 5 of 11 Republicans. The index has risen an average of 7.3% under Democrats’ first 100 days and slipped 0.4% under Republicans’.FDR died in April 1945, before the 100th day of his fourth term in office, when the S&P 500 had gained just over 10%. That rise pales in comparison with FDR’s first term in 1933, with the index up nearly 80% in 100 days. The market was rebounding from successive selloffs to start the 1930s, but it still wouldn’t regain its pre-Great Depression high until the early 1950s.The S&P 500’s worst start to a presidential term also came during FDR’s presidency, in 1941. It lost 10.1% in the first 100 days of his third term.The index is on a winning streak among new presidents. It rose 2.8% and 7.5% in the first 100 days of Barack Obama’s first and second terms, respectively, and 5.3% to start Donald Trump’s presidency in 2017.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/100612615"}
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