高盛CEO Solomon：美国经济衰退的可能性有所增加

华尔街见闻2025-04-15

高盛CEO David Solomon警告称，在贸易政策不确定性加剧、许多CEO对如何规划未来感到迷茫之际，美国经济衰退的可能性正在上升。他指出，政府近期展现更渐进谈判姿态值得肯定，但在具体政策落地前，市场波动仍将持续。此前，摩根大通、贝莱德、摩根士丹利等多位华尔街CEO也发出类似警告，指出美国未来经济前景面临高度不确定性。高盛首席执行官David Solomon周一表示，在贸易政策不确定性加剧、...

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Solomon警告称，在贸易政策不确定性加剧、许多CEO对如何规划未来感到迷茫之际，美国经济衰退的可能性正在上升。他指出，政府近期展现更渐进谈判姿态值得肯定，但在具体政策落地前，市场波动仍将持续。此前，摩根大通、贝莱德、摩根士丹利等多位华尔街CEO也发出类似警告，指出美国未来经济前景面临高度不确定性。高盛首席执行官David Solomon周一表示，在贸易政策不确定性加剧、...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-04-15/doc-inetefef7949956.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1868836757.USD","symbol_name":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"2\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-04-15/doc-inetefef7949956.shtml","article_id":"2527797113","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-04-15/doc-inetefef7949956.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, 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Solomon周一表示，在贸易政策不确定性加剧、许多CEO对如何规划未来感到迷茫之际，美国经济衰退的可能性正在上升。他在高盛一季度财报电话会上指出，未来将面临更多挑战，新一轮关税政策给企业带来的诸多未知因素：“我们进入第二季度时，所面临的经营环境与年初相比已经明显不同。”Solomon称，未来道路的不确定性对美国和全球经济构成了重大风险。即便在关税升级前，全球经济增长就已放缓，而新政策几乎“重置”了全球对未来增长的预期。他指出，高盛的企业与投资客户普遍担忧短期与长期的不确定性正在限制他们做出关键决策的能力。Solomon认为，政府近期展现更渐进谈判姿态值得肯定，这可为与多国谈判提供空间，但在具体政策落地前，市场波动仍将持续。高盛财报好坏参半Solomon是在高盛发布第一季度财报后在财报电话会上发表上述言论的。业绩显示，市场交易波动帮助提升了整体收入和利润，而投资银行费用则有所下降。高盛一季度净利润同比增长15%至47.4亿美元。营收增长6%至150亿美元。其中，受益于关税引发的市场波动，交易部门表现强劲，股票交易收入增长27%，整体交易收入达85.9亿美元，创下2009年以来最佳单季成绩。不过，投行业务承压，银行手续费收入同比下降8%，并购咨询收入更是大跌22%，低于分析师预期。华尔街CEO纷纷预警Solomon并非唯一发声的高管。上周，摩根大通、贝莱德、摩根士丹利等华尔街巨头CEO陆续表达对经济前景的担忧。摩根大通首席执行官戴蒙表示，当前经济面临相当大的动荡，由于地缘政治和贸易紧张局势导致市场波动加剧，投行业务的客户变得更加谨慎。贝莱德首席执行官Larry Fink称，新一轮关税措施升级程度“远超我49年金融生涯所见”，关于市场和经济未来的不确定性与焦虑，已经主导了我们与客户的几乎所有对话。摩根士丹利CEO Ted Pick认为，我们还处于暂停状态，交易周期正在拉长，我们不知道通胀会如何演变，也无法判断经济是否会收缩。过去一周，华尔街压力陡增，IPO与并购交易被搁置、杠杆贷款与债券发行纷纷暂停。更为甚者，据《金融时报》报道，对冲基金面临自2020年疫情以来最大规模的追加保证金要求，这可能引发了更多止损式抛售，加剧市场动荡。风险提示及免责条款            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