宁德时代、比亚迪的“小伙伴”明日上市，能否达到新股首日平均涨幅？

每日经济新闻2025-04-16

每经记者闫峰峰每经编辑吴永久今日（4月16日）A股跌多涨少，但上市的新股依旧亮眼，今日上市的肯特催化盘中最高涨幅300%，收盘上涨226%。而明日将又迎来一只新股，那就是在创业板上市的宏工科技，其深耕锂电行业自动化处理产线及设备，同时也是宁德时代、比亚迪等知名企业的小伙伴。那么，宏工科技明日上市会有怎样的表现？公开资料显示，宏工科技主营业务为粉料、粒料、液料...

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Can they reach the average increase on the first day of new shares?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"81211":0.6,"300750":1,"002594":1,"EVS.SI":0.6,"JKS":1,"BYDDY":0.6,"01211":1,"HYDD.SI":0.6},"content_text":"每经记者 闫峰峰    每经编辑 吴永久              今日（4月16日）A股跌多涨少，但上市的新股依旧亮眼，今日上市的肯特催化盘中最高涨幅300%，收盘上涨226%。而明日将又迎来一只新股，那就是在创业板上市的宏工科技，其深耕锂电行业自动化处理产线及设备，同时也是宁德时代、比亚迪等知名企业的小伙伴。那么，宏工科技明日上市会有怎样的表现？公开资料显示，宏工科技主营业务为粉料、粒料、液料、浆料等散装物料的自动化处理产线及设备的研发、生产和销售。公司物料自动化处理产线主要应用于锂电领域，也在持续拓展精细化工和橡胶塑料领域。公司是国内锂电行业物料自动化处理产线及设备的核心供应商之一，覆盖多数下游头部客户并占据较高市场份额。公司自2008年设立以来始终聚焦于物料自动化处理产线及设备的研发、生产，并于2015年成功开拓锂电池应用场景，报告期间来自锂电行业的收入占比稳居7成以上，公司也逐步成为国内领先的锂电行业物料自动化处理设备的核心供应商之一。截至目前，公司已与宁德时代、比亚迪、中创新航、蜂巢能源、亿纬锂能（维权）、欣旺达、赣锋锂业等锂电行业头部企业达成良好合作关系。精细化工领域，公司已成功开拓中南钻石、万华化学、浙江传化等客户。从行业方面来看，公司属于物料自动化处理行业。依据Fortune Business Insights数据，2018年全球物料自动化处理设备市场规模为336.5亿美元，到2019年市场规模已达358亿美元，同比增长6.39%；预计到2027年市场规模增至565.10亿美元，复合增长率为5.87%。从业绩方面来看，公司2022~2024年分别实现营业收入21.78亿元、31.98亿元、21.63亿元，同比增长率依次为276.06%、46.83%、-32.36%；实现归母净利润2.98亿元、3.15亿元、2.20亿元，同比增长率分别为494.10%、5.86%、-30.08%。根据公司管理层初步预测，公司2025年1~3月营业收入较上年同期变动-8.94%至11.30%，归母净利润较上年同期变动-36.35%至-22.21%。可以发现公司业绩波动较大。从募投项目来看，公司本次计划公开发行不超过2000万股新股，共募集资金5.32亿元。公司本轮IPO募投资金拟投入2个项目，以及补充流动资金项目。其中智能物料输送与混配自动化系统项目拟使用募集资金2.4亿元，研发中心建设项目拟使用募集资金0.92亿元，剩余2亿元募集资金拟用于补充流动资金。可见，宏工科技有不少亮点。那么，其在上市首日会有怎样的表现呢？首先，如果参考近一个月新股上市首日的表现，宏工科技在上市首日可能会有不俗的表现。每经资本眼专栏记者统计发现，近一个月A股上市的新股首日平均涨幅为272%，涨幅中位数为282%。而从宏工科技所在的创业板来看，创业板近一个月上市的新股平均涨幅为233.7%，涨幅中位数为244.5%。如果宏工科技在上市首日能够达到近一个月上市新股的平均涨幅或涨幅中位数，那么意味着其上市首日的涨幅重要参考区间是233.7%~282%。其次，从估值的角度来看，宏工科技估值优势明显。新股雷达数据显示，宏工科技的发行时的动态市盈率为9.66倍。宏工科技的可比公司为瀚川智能、先导智能、赢合科技（维权）、海目星。截至4月15日，剔除市盈率为负和指标异常的公司后，可比公司平均动态市盈率为30.79倍。可以发现宏工科技估值优势明显。如果宏工科技在上市首日的估值要达到可比公司估值的平均水平，意味着其要在上市首日上涨219%。再次，从发行价来看，宏工科技的发行价为26.6元，这个价格在近一个月上市的新股中处于偏高水平。每经资本眼专栏记者统计发现，近一个月上市的新股中，发行价在26.6元附近的4只新股在上市首日平均涨幅为191%。最后，从市场情绪来看，今日市场情绪有所下降，如今日上市新股肯特催化虽然有较多优势，但涨幅为226%，未达到近1个月新股平均涨幅和中位数涨幅。所以，考虑到宏工科技近两年业绩波动较大，一季度净利润有所下滑，且发行价和市场情绪无明显优势，宏工科技在上市首日达到近期新股的平均水平和涨幅中位数的较高者或许有一定难度。因此，对应的涨幅上限则可以参考282%。同时，其上市首日涨幅中值则可以参考可比公司平均估值对应的涨幅219%。因此，其上市首日涨幅下限则可以参考219%下浮61个百分点（282%~219%），即158%。综合以上分析，宏工科技上市首日的涨幅区间可以参考158%~282%，对应的参考价格区间则为68.6元~101.6元。免责声明：本内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。封面图片来源：视觉中国-VCG211223117604\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.0","shortVersion":"4.36.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2527264637","isCrawlerRequest":true}