亚太市场大动荡，港A股能否一枝独秀？华尔街热议“东升西落”

格隆汇03-11

特朗普一张嘴，美股一夜惊魂，亚太股市也跟着吓懵了。周二，亚太市场集体下挫，泰股跌幅居前，日韩股市双双走低。截截至发稿，日经225指数跌1.14%，东证指数跌1.77%；韩国KOSPI指数盘中创下2月10日以来最低水平，韩国综合指数、MSCI亚洲新兴市场等纷纷下挫。港A股早盘低开高走，盘中一度翻红，随后又震荡回落。其中，恒生科技指数在跌超2%后率先翻红，现回落跌0.27%%；恒指、国指也纷纷在冲高后...

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Wall Street is hotly discussing \"rising in the east and falling in the west\"","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{},"content_text":"特朗普一张嘴，美股一夜惊魂，亚太股市也跟着吓懵了。周二，亚太市场集体下挫，泰股跌幅居前，日韩股市双双走低。截截至发稿，日经225指数跌1.14%，东证指数跌1.77%；韩国KOSPI指数盘中创下2月10日以来最低水平，韩国综合指数、MSCI亚洲新兴市场等纷纷下挫。港A股早盘低开高走，盘中一度翻红，随后又震荡回落。其中，恒生科技指数在跌超2%后率先翻红，现回落跌0.27%%；恒指、国指也纷纷在冲高后震荡，但较早盘跌幅均有收窄。A股三大指数则冲高回落，早盘创业板指、深成指曾双双拉升翻红，但后劲不足。特朗普会否救市？现在全球市场最大的黑天鹅，就是特朗普。昨晚，美股上演了其上任以来的最大单日跌幅，美国股市一夜蒸发了1.75亿美元。其中，科技七巨头市值单日缩水7500亿美元，特斯拉最为惨烈。值得一提的是，标普500指数也已较上月高位市值蒸发超4万亿美元。为何惨遭血洗？全因特朗普的一句话。日前，特朗普对美国经济衰退可能性避而不谈，并表示不能过分关注股市。他的番话也瞬间引爆了市场的恐慌情绪，美国经济衰退的担忧正弥漫华尔街。因为特朗普关税政策可能减缓经济活动并加剧通货膨胀。此前，美国针对加拿大、墨西哥和中国等主要贸易伙伴的关税措施已落地。虽然当下特朗普似乎又有反转的意向，但仍充满不确定性。在特朗普关税大棒乱舞之下，高盛大幅了下调美国经济预期。该行最新将2025年美国GDP增长预期从2.4%下调至1.7%。下调预测的原因是，贸易政策假设已经变得相当不利。高盛的团队预计，今年美国的平均关税税率将上升10个百分点，较之前的预测翻倍，是特朗普第一任期的五倍。前PIMCO首席执行官Mohamed El-Erian表示，他认为美国今年陷入衰退的概率已上升至25%-30%，而在特朗普政府关税政策出台前，这一可能性仅为10%。美股市场大跌之际，特朗普计划于本周二会见商界高管。据悉，特朗普与华盛顿“商业圆桌会议”的会晤将包括来自全国各地企业的首席执行官，其中包括华尔街金融巨头的掌门人。华尔街热议“东升西落”今年来，受益DeepSeek引发AI热潮，中国科技股“闪耀”全球。眼下，韩国散户在经历“特朗普痛击”后，开始跑步涌入中国资产。自2月中旬开始，韩国投资者大买小米集团-W 、阿里巴巴、比亚迪等中国资产。随着美股逐渐陨落，华尔街也在热烈讨论“东升西落”新趋势。其中，花旗将美国股市的评级从增持下调至中性，同时将中国股市的评级上调至增持。该行分析师威勒称，未来几个月，来自美国经济的消息可能不及世界其他地区，因此，至少从战术上讲，美国例外论不太可能卷土重来。他对美股的中性看法是在三到六个月的时间框架内，预计会有更多负面的美国数据。特朗普挑起关税战并继续削减开支，加剧了市场对美国经济的担忧，美股市场情绪正迅速恶化。今年到目前为止，标普500指数下跌了4.5%，而在香港上市的中国股票指数却飙升了20%，成为2025年表现最好的指数之一。高盛也表示，中国股市正迎来“史上最强开局”。若政策落实和盈利改善逐步兑现，市场上行空间依然可期。全球共同基金可能“重燃对中国股票的兴趣”。分析师们估计，如果全球共同基金将中国股票的配置比例提高1个百分点，市场可能会看到80亿美元的净买入。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.32.1","shortVersion":"4.32.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2518750782"}