摩根士丹利基金投研手记：机器人是具身智能的理想载体，中国企业具备制造端优势

新浪基金2025-03-03

2025年是人形机器人产业化进程的重要一年。近年来，随着政策推动、技术进步以及产业生态逐渐完善，市场对于人形机器人赛道的关注度持续提高，以特斯拉Optimus为代表的主流人形机器人产品，每次重大技术突破和展示都会驱动美股和A股人形机器人指数的一轮上涨。经过了数年的探索、开发和方案迭代，目前全球大部分头部人形机器人产品都已经取得了阶段性成果，陆续投入实际生产场景进行试点测试。2025年会逐步进入量产...

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advantages","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MS":1},"content_text":"2025年是人形机器人产业化进程的重要一年。近年来，随着政策推动、技术进步以及产业生态逐渐完善，市场对于人形机器人赛道的关注度持续提高，以特斯拉Optimus为代表的主流人形机器人产品，每次重大技术突破和展示都会驱动美股和A股人形机器人指数的一轮上涨。经过了数年的探索、开发和方案迭代，目前全球大部分头部人形机器人产品都已经取得了阶段性成果，陆续投入实际生产场景进行试点测试。2025年会逐步进入量产阶段。\n　　劳动力市场的供需矛盾越发凸显，是人形机器人率先放量的背景。以汽车工厂为例，探讨人形机器人的应用潜力。工厂场景具备场景结构化、任务标准化特点，特斯拉等多家企业看好人形机器人在工厂的应用潜力。汽车当前车身外围的大件零部件生产已实现高度自动化，冲压、焊接、涂装、总装四个环节，总装环节车身的小件零部件装配依然依赖人工。空间限制、精细操作能力和通用能力是过去限制汽车工厂自动化程度提高的几大瓶颈。人形机器人具备更强的空间触达性、精细的灵巧手以及更强的通用性，有望解决工业机器人未能实现自动化的瓶颈环节。未来，人形机器人的空间进入性、精细操作能力、通用泛化性有望在更多的场景应用。\n　　目前海内外人形机器人产业主要分为3大势力：车企、机器人企业和互联网公司。特斯拉等人形机器人放量的首要诉求是规模化生产和降本能力。这正是国内厂商的最大优势。根植于数十年以来形成的高端制造能力，中国企业在机器人配套产业链上发展方向明确，具有一批专注于工业自动化产品研发的机器人配套公司。\n　　我们将重点关注人形机器人未来长周期在工业级、消费级等多场景应用的落地，我们认为国内优质企业有望在全球产业链占据更加核心的地位。\n　　（作者：摩根士丹利基金研究管理部 贾昌浩）\n\nMACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：石秀珍 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