华尔街即将突破历史新高，预示着更深的回调？

FX168全球投资2025-02-18

美国投资者结束长周末后，可能会看到股市即将突破新的历史高点。但任何突破新高的走势，可能都预示着一波“更深的回调”，因为负面的季节性因素即将发挥作用。BTIG的技术分析专家Jonathan Krinsky在周日发布的一份报告中表示，标普500正处于一个转折点，持续多月的交易区间接近尾声。标普500在上周五收盘时距离1月10日创下的5827.04点历史最高收盘价仅差0.07%。尽管市场曾因通胀持续高企...

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href=\"https://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2025/02/18130548220799.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4093","symbol_name":"化肥与农用药剂","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2025/02/18130548220799.shtml","article_id":"2512003183","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["http://imgcloud.jrjimg.cn/2025/02/weixin/one_20250218130529355.png"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2512003183","pubTimestamp":1739855108,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"jinrongjie_highlight","name":"金融界"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"但任何突破新高的走势，可能都预示着一波“更深的回调”，因为负面的季节性因素即将发挥作用。标普500在上周五收盘时距离1月10日创下的5827.04点历史最高收盘价仅差0.07%。这些波动使得标普500的图表呈现出一个顶部水平的旗形图案，这通常意味着资产价格会突破区间的上限。Krinsky担心，尽管标普500接近新高，但市场上不到60%的成分股位于50日均线上方，表明市场中有相当一部分股票没有享受到上涨的趋势。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"jrj.com.cn","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"BK4093":"化肥与农用药剂","IP":"国际纸业",".SPX":"S&P 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pullback?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"BYD":1,"STLD":1,"UPRO":0.6,"DKNG":1,".SPX":0.6,"CTVA":1,"SDS":0.6,"VOO":0.9,"IP":1,"IVV":0.6,"VMC":1,"OEX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"LVS":1,"SPY":0.9,"PENN":1,"OEF":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"ACEL":1},"content_text":"美国投资者结束长周末后，可能会看到股市即将突破新的历史高点。但任何突破新高的走势，可能都预示着一波“更深的回调”，因为负面的季节性因素即将发挥作用。BTIG的技术分析专家Jonathan Krinsky在周日发布的一份报告中表示，标普500正处于一个转折点，持续多月的交易区间接近尾声。标普500在上周五收盘时距离1月10日创下的5827.04点历史最高收盘价仅差0.07%。尽管市场曾因通胀持续高企和关税不确定性出现抛售，但企业盈利好于预期帮助市场反弹，导致标普500波动处于一个越来越窄的区间。这些波动使得标普500的图表呈现出一个顶部水平的旗形图案，这通常意味着资产价格会突破区间的上限。（来源：BTIG）Krinsky表示：“标普500在过去几个月大部分时间都在一个相当窄的区间内波动。虽然创下新高并不意味着看空，但标普500有望突破这个多月来的交易区间，但我们正进入一个季节性较弱的时期，动能也较弱。”Krinsky担心，尽管标普500接近新高，但市场上不到60%的成分股位于50日均线上方，表明市场中有相当一部分股票没有享受到上涨的趋势。（来源：BTIG）此外，市场的小盘股未能在这波反弹中表现出色，其表现相对标普500也有所下滑。这一点可以通过iShares Russell 2000 ETF与S&P 500的对比图表看出，该图表显示Russell 2000自去年7月以来跌至最低水平。（来源：BTIG）不过，Krinsky对一些板块持乐观态度，特别是材料板块。他表示，材料股已经突破多周的区间，他看好Corteva（CTVA）、International Paper（IP）、Steel Dynamics（STLD）和Vulcan Materials（VMC）的走势。此外，Krinsky认为，经过一段时间的横盘整理后，赌场和博彩类股票也有望迎来上涨突破。他看好DraftKings（DKNG）、Accel Entertainment（ACEL）、Boyd Gaming（BYD）、PENN Entertainment（PENN）和Las Vegas Sands（LVS）等股票的表现。\n\n\r\n            责任编辑：栎树","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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