金十数据整理：核心PCE—美国通胀回落之路的“曲折”代表将顽固依旧？

金十财经11-27

【金十数据整理：核心PCE—美国通胀回落之路的“曲折”代表将顽固依旧？】1. 美国银行证券经济学家：核心PCE连续两个月环比0.3%的增长肯定会导致美联储的参与者重新评估他们的通胀和政策前景。尽管如此，我们仍预计美联储将在12月降息25个基点，但鉴于经济活动强劲且通胀居高不下，降息周期似乎更短。2. 巴伦周刊：美联储青睐的通胀指标的最新读数料证实，物价涨幅仍顽固地高于美联储的年度目标。事实证明，...

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Ameriprise Financial首席经济学家Russell Price：10月份更高的读数“并不会破坏长期趋势”，基数效应可能会导致10月份PCE通胀略有升高，2023年10月较低的通胀数字意味着本周的数据相比之下会显得更强。4. LPL Financial首席经济学家Jeffrey Roach：秋季通胀“挫折”可能是潜在的假象，我不认为这必然代表着趋势的变化，预计到2025年初，PCE通胀年率将会“看起来非常有利”。5. 法兴银行：我们预计核心PCE环比增长0.21%，同比增长2.7%，不足以对12月美联储会议降息或不降息的决定产生重大影响。6. 荷兰国际银行：预计核心PCE环比增长0.3%，这一数字仍过高，意味着我们需要在下周看到非农数据疲软，并在12月11日和12日看到低迷的核心CPI和PPI数据，美联储才会在12月降息25个基点。","kind":"live","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":true,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2486402838"}