瑞银：大选后潜在的赤字扩大或导致债券相对于互换表现不佳

金吾资讯11-08

金吾财讯 | 瑞银(UBS)发布的报告分析了美国大选后可能的市场交易策略。报告认为，特朗普胜选对互换利差的影响最为明显，潜在的更大赤字可能会导致债券相对于互换表现不佳。报告预计，随着供应可能在明年加速，需求并未同比增长，债券可能会进一步贬值。报告还指出，澳大利亚和新西兰的10年期债券现金与隔夜指数互换（OIS）的利差可能会扩大至35个基点，而1季度远期合约的公允价值可能在-10个基点左右。此外，...

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