黄金涨上天！高盛预测：明年金价剑指3000美元

智通财经10-31

智通财经APP获悉，高盛大宗商品策略师Lina Thomas表示，到2025年底，金价有望达到每盎司3000美元。随着新兴市场央行继续购买黄金，黄金价格在过去12个月里上涨了大约40%，至每盎司2700美元以上。由于黄金价格通常受到利率影响，投资者也开始消化美联储降息的影响。Thomas解释道：“作为一种不提供任何利息的资产，当利率较高时，黄金对投资者的吸引力通常会降低，而当利率下降时，它通常会...

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Goldman Sachs predicts: Gold prices will reach $3,000 next year","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"159831":1,"02099":0.9,"02899":0.9,"03330":0.9,"01787":0.9},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，高盛大宗商品策略师Lina Thomas表示，到2025年底，金价有望达到每盎司3000美元。随着新兴市场央行继续购买黄金，黄金价格在过去12个月里上涨了大约40%，至每盎司2700美元以上。由于黄金价格通常受到利率影响，投资者也开始消化美联储降息的影响。Thomas解释道：“作为一种不提供任何利息的资产，当利率较高时，黄金对投资者的吸引力通常会降低，而当利率下降时，它通常会更具吸引力。”各央行大量购买Thomas表示，黄金价格变化与利率变化之间的关系仍然存在，但自2022年以来，各央行大量购买金条已经重置了利率和黄金价格之间的关系。高盛估计，100吨的实物需求将使金价至少上涨2.4%。自2022年乌克兰危机导致俄罗斯央行资产被冻结以来，新兴市场央行的黄金购买量明显增加。Thomas还指出，发达市场的央行往往持有相对较高的黄金储备。美国、法国、德国和意大利的黄金储备占其储备的70%，而新兴市场国家的黄金储备所占比例较小。Thomas表示：“一些新兴市场的央行正在赶上发达国家的央行。”地缘政治对冲和ETF买入一些投资者还担心美国的债务可持续性，美国的债务约为35万亿美元，约占其GDP的124%。由于许多央行的大部分外汇储备都是以美国国债的形式持有的，一些政策制定者可能越来越担心自己面临的美国财政风险。高盛还表示，随着美国总统大选的临近，西方投资者正在重返黄金市场。该银行表示，黄金可能具有对冲潜在地缘政治冲击的作用，包括贸易紧张局势加剧、美联储的从属风险以及债务担忧。高盛表示，即使各央行减缓黄金购买速度，随着黄金ETF持有量开始上升，西方投资者对黄金的争夺可能会加剧。Thomas表示：“由于利率较低，长期投资者现在对持有黄金感兴趣。与此同时，各央行持有的黄金可能还会不断增加。”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2479726745"}