成本面利空，PX价格延续跌势

金十财经10:42

【成本面利空，PX价格延续跌势】金十期货9月18日讯，1. 供应预测：PX装置无变动，预计周度产量70.05万吨附近。2. 需求预测：下游PTA珠海英力士2#预期重启，关注恒力3#待检装置检修。预计PX周度需求量93万吨附近。3. 成本分析：需求压力仍可能导致布油短暂跌破70美元，但飓风和美联储降息的利好有望形成积极支撑，预计国际油价整体或有小幅反弹，叠加石脑油套利到货减少以及天气转寒后对可替代性原料LPG需求减弱继而对石脑油的需求存在支撑，PX原料方面表现预计有所修复。4. 综合来看：成本有一定支撑，PX价格前期跌幅过快，市场存有一定反弹预期。预计PX市场整体在830-880美元/吨CFR中国震荡运行。

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