金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽

美港电讯09-18

【金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽】1. 巴克莱：料降息25bp，今年总共降息75个基点，明年降息125个基点。鲍威尔或发出进一步降息的信号，但不会就未来降息的时间和步伐提供明确指导。2. 裕信银行：料降息25bp，下调核心PCE通胀和GDP增长预测，上调失业率预测。点阵图将表明今年共降息75bp，明年降息100bp。声明将强调数据依赖。3. 野村...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2468634426?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2024-09-18 10:41","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2468634426","market":"hk","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽","media":"美港电讯","content":"<div>\n<p>【金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽】1. 巴克莱：料降息25bp，今年总共降息75个基点，明年降息125个基点。鲍威尔或发出进一步降息的信号，但不会就未来降息的时间和步伐提供明确指导。2. 裕信银行：料降息25bp，下调核心PCE通胀和GDP增长预测，上调失业率预测。点阵图将表明今年共降息75bp，明年降息100bp。声明将强调数据依赖。3. 野村...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.ushknews.com/\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"live_meigang","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-18 10:41 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.ushknews.com/><strong>美港电讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽】1. 巴克莱：料降息25bp，今年总共降息75个基点，明年降息125个基点。鲍威尔或发出进一步降息的信号，但不会就未来降息的时间和步伐提供明确指导。2. 裕信银行：料降息25bp，下调核心PCE通胀和GDP增长预测，上调失业率预测。点阵图将表明今年共降息75bp，明年降息100bp。声明将强调数据依赖。3. 野村...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.ushknews.com/\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SPXU","symbol_name":"三倍做空标普500ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.ushknews.com/","article_id":"2468634426","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468634426","pubTimestamp":1726627297,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"live_meigang","name":"美港电讯"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"【金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽】1. 巴克莱：料降息25bp，今年总共降息75个基点，明年降息125个基点。鲍威尔或发出进一步降息的信号，但不会就未","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"ushknews.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"161027":"证券","161121":"银行","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","LU0823417653.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"C\" (USD) ACC","PC":"Premium Catering (Holdings) Ltd.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","D05.SI":"星展集团控股","LU0831093199.SGD":"HSBC GIF MANAGED SOLUTIONS ASIA FOCUSED INCOME \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU0532188223.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - ASEAN Equity A (acc) SGD","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","LU2506951875.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) ACC","IE0031814969.USD":"FSSA ASEAN ALL CAP FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","BAC":"美国银行","HK0000934320.USD":"GF USD MONEY MARKET FUND CLASS C (USD) ACCUMULATION","LU2506952097.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (USDHDG) ACC","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","LU2506951958.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) INC","LU1496350502.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED DYNAMIC \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","0N4T.UK":"北欧联合银行","BK4588":"碎股","LU2506952170.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (USDHDG) INC","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","SH":"标普500反向ETF"},"translate_title":"Golden Ten Consolidation: Institutions look forward to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision-it may drop by 25bp for the first time, the dot plot will become the focus, Powell may release pigeons","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"161027":1,"161121":1,"PC":1,"SPY":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"ZTmain":1,"ZNmain":1,"BAC":1,"0N4T.UK":1,"ZFmain":1,"D05.SI":1,"US7Y.BOND":1,"TNmain":1,"UBmain":1,"ZBmain":1,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6},"content_text":"【金十整理：机构前瞻美联储利率决议——或首降25bp，点阵图势成焦点，鲍威尔恐放鸽】1. 巴克莱：料降息25bp，今年总共降息75个基点，明年降息125个基点。鲍威尔或发出进一步降息的信号，但不会就未来降息的时间和步伐提供明确指导。2. 裕信银行：料降息25bp，下调核心PCE通胀和GDP增长预测，上调失业率预测。点阵图将表明今年共降息75bp，明年降息100bp。声明将强调数据依赖。3. 野村证券：料降息25bp，点阵图表明今年再降息50bp，明年降息100bp。美指最初将上涨50点。鲍威尔有可能放鸽，强调劳动力市场恶化，逆转美指涨势。4. 美国银行：料降息25bp，美元或下意识走高。点阵图将表明今年共降息75bp。近期劳动力市场趋势使鲍威尔倾向于不回击市场的定价，为鸽派解读打开大门。5. 法农信贷：料降息25bp，今年共降息50bp，明年降息150bp。也看到了降息周期更加提前的明显风险，导致2024年的预测中增加第三次25个基点的降息。6. 星展银行：料美联储本周将降息25个基点，到2025年底将降息150个基点。市场反映的降息幅度似乎过大，激进的定价可能失望而归，并最终引发恐慌。7. 北欧联合银行：料首次降息25个基点，降息50个基点会发出错误信号。目前的基线预期是仅每季度降息一次，降息25个基点仍然是未来最有可能的路径。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":true,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.0","shortVersion":"4.29.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2468634426"}