1. 摩根大通：将降息25个基点，不会就具体的降息幅度和时间给出明确信号，但隐含的信息将与12月（而非10月）采取下一步行动相一致。

金十财经09-12

1. 摩根大通：将降息25个基点，不会就具体的降息幅度和时间给出明确信号，但隐含的信息将与12月（而非10月）采取下一步行动相一致。将适度下调经济增长预期，并上调短期通胀预测。政策声明不太可能出现实质性变化。2. 美国银行：将降息25个基点，前瞻性指引不会发生变化。将下调经济增长预测，并上调短期核心通胀预测，中期前景不变。将重申数据依赖和逐次会议确定利率水平。3. 高盛集团：将降息25个基点，沟通...

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JPMorgan Chase: It will cut interest rates by 25 basis points. It will not give a clear signal on the extent and timing of the specific interest rate cut, but the implied message will be consistent with taking the next step in December (not October).","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"161027":1,"161121":1,"MFS":1,"ING":1,"ZTmain":1,"ZNmain":1,"ZFmain":1,"ZBmain":1,"UBmain":1,"TNmain":1,"FISI":1,"09668":1,"BAC":1},"content_text":"1. 摩根大通：将降息25个基点，不会就具体的降息幅度和时间给出明确信号，但隐含的信息将与12月（而非10月）采取下一步行动相一致。将适度下调经济增长预期，并上调短期通胀预测。政策声明不太可能出现实质性变化。2. 美国银行：将降息25个基点，前瞻性指引不会发生变化。将下调经济增长预测，并上调短期核心通胀预测，中期前景不变。将重申数据依赖和逐次会议确定利率水平。3. 高盛集团：将降息25个基点，沟通方式不会有重大变化。预计将对第三季度和第四季度的经济增长预期下调0.1%，2025-2026年的季度增长预测将保持不变。拉加德将强调数据依赖，不会特别评论10月降息的可能性。预测欧洲央行10月将暂停降息，12月进行第三次降息。4. 杰富瑞集团：将降息25个基点。预计将在接下来的会议上以每季度25个基点的渐进速度降息，将利率降至3%以下。预计欧洲央行的利率波谷在2.50%-2.75%左右。5. 花旗集团：将降息25个基点，同时提醒欧元区的通胀尚未完全克服，这意味着目前不太可能加速降息，10月降息不在计划之中。6. 瑞典北欧斯安银行：将降息25个基点，并再次重申数据依赖，不对任何特定的利率路径做出预先说明。很可能会下调短期经济增长预测，将坚持其6月对明后两年的预测。预计下一次降息将在12月。7. 野村证券：将降息25个基点，9月的经济预测将显示通胀预期与6月份持平或更低。拉加德将重申数据依赖的必要性，采取“逐次会议”的方式。8. MFS投资管理：将降息25个基点，可能维持依赖数据的做法，表示在宣布对抗通胀取得胜利之前，需要更多证据表明潜在通胀正在消退。9. 金融机构LMAX：将降息25个基点，同时可能仅会调整通胀和增长前景。欧洲央行将寻求做出一个没有争议的政策决定。10. 荷兰国际银行：将降息25个基点，不会有新的前瞻性指引。预计欧洲央行将在2025年上半年加速降息。11. DWS：将降息25个基点，12月将再次降息。2025年利率将每季度下降25个基点，直到2025年9月达到2.50%的目标利率。将下调对GDP增长的预期。12. 汉堡商业银行：将降息25个基点。欧洲央行会坚持此前的沟通方式，并且非常谨慎。13. 加皇银行：将降息25个基点，今年应会降息75个基点。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":true,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.28.0","shortVersion":"4.28.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2466494247"}