3000亿美元震荡来袭！期权市场押注英伟达绩后将波动近10%，“FOMO”情绪更浓厚

智通财经08-28

智通财经获悉，美国股票期权市场的交易员预计，全球最具主导地位的人工智能芯片制造商英伟达(NVDA.US)即将发布的财报将引发其自身股价逾3000亿美元的波动。分析公司ORATS的数据显示，期权定价表明，交易员预计该公司股价周四将出现9.8%左右的波动，该公司将于周三美股盘后公布业绩。ORATS的数据显示，这一波动幅度高于英伟达过去三年发布财报前的预期涨幅，也远高于同期该股8.1%的平均绩后波动幅度...

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href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1172945.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经获悉，美国股票期权市场的交易员预计，全球最具主导地位的人工智能芯片制造商英伟达(NVDA.US)即将发布的财报将引发其自身股价逾3000亿美元的波动。分析公司ORATS的数据显示，期权定价表明，交易员预计该公司股价周四将出现9.8%左右的波动，该公司将于周三美股盘后公布业绩。ORATS的数据显示，这一波动幅度高于英伟达过去三年发布财报前的预期涨幅，也远高于同期该股8.1%的平均绩后波动幅度...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1172945.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"IE00BMPRXR70.SGD","symbol_name":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc 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The options market bets that Nvidia will fluctuate nearly 10% after its results, and the \"FOMO\" sentiment is stronger","themeId":"e038d7ba70bb4e2d8f507756d0c4348e","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/add8781ad3100165707bcf059742bba5","symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1,"FOMO":1},"content_text":"智通财经获悉，美国股票期权市场的交易员预计，全球最具主导地位的人工智能芯片制造商英伟达(NVDA.US)即将发布的财报将引发其自身股价逾3000亿美元的波动。分析公司ORATS的数据显示，期权定价表明，交易员预计该公司股价周四将出现9.8%左右的波动，该公司将于周三美股盘后公布业绩。ORATS的数据显示，这一波动幅度高于英伟达过去三年发布财报前的预期涨幅，也远高于同期该股8.1%的平均绩后波动幅度。分析师说，考虑到英伟达的市值约为3.11万亿美元，该股9.8%的波动幅度将转化为约3050亿美元的波动，这可能是历史上任何一家公司在公布业绩后的最大预期波动幅度。根据LSEG的数据，这一波动幅度将使标普500指数许多成分股公司的市值相形见绌，例如奈飞(NFLX.US)与默沙东(MRK.US)的市值也仅约3000亿美元。高盛也表示，如果英伟达在周三财报公布后上涨，大多数投资者可能会措手不及。高盛交易部门周一在报告中表示，英伟达在周三公布第二季度财报后，其股票市值可能会出现高达近3000亿美元的大幅波动，这一估计基于的近期期权定价数据。无论向上还是向下，这种市值波动相当于这家市值超3万亿美元的芯片制造商股价可能超过9%的变化。英伟达保持着单日最大市值波动记录，即3300亿美元，这一记录发生在7月末，当时股价从长达数周的下跌中反弹。英伟达目前是标普500指数中第二大公司，权重约为6.5%，因此其业绩可能会对整个市场产生重大影响。事实上，盈透证券首席策略师Steve Sosnick强调了英伟达对于整个市场的核心作用。Sosnick在周二的一份报告中分析了盈透证券平台上最活跃的25笔交易，其中超过70%与英伟达有关联。英伟达的业绩对整个市场有重大影响，主要是由于该公司的芯片被广泛视为人工智能领域的黄金标准。今年以来，该股上涨了约150%，贡献了标普500指数今年以来18%涨幅中的约四分之一。Sosnick表示:“仅这一点就对标普500指数的整体盈利能力做出了巨大贡献，是该公司在支撑市场。”期权定价表明，交易员更担心错过英伟达的大幅上涨，而不是受到大幅下跌的冲击。根据Susquehanna Financial对期权数据的分析，交易员认为该股到周五涨幅超过20%的可能性为7%，而跌幅超过20%的可能性只有4%。Sosnick表示:“(在盈利之前)人们通常想要购买对冲，他们想要购买保险，但在英伟达的案例中，很多保险都是FOMO(害怕错过)保险。他们不想错过一次上涨。”期权交易员之所以为英伟达的大幅上涨定价，部分原因与该公司股价过去的波动程度有关。根据对Trade Alert数据的分析，英伟达今年的平均30天历史波动率(衡量股价在30天内滚动波动的幅度)约为其他所有市值超过1万亿美元的公司的两倍。英伟达证券做市商Susquehanna金融集团的策略师Christopher Jacobson称“期权只是反映了股票的实际走势。这只是对人工智能的持续不确定性/乐观情绪，以及机会的最终规模，再加上英伟达已成为机构和散户广泛追捧的股票。”","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2462489074"}