贝莱德高管辣评“非农大修”：利率太高，美联储9月应“立减50”！

市场资讯08-22

财联社8月22日讯（编辑黄君芝）自美联储7月会议纪要发布以来，9月份降息似乎已经“板上钉钉”了。至于幅度，全球最大的资产管理机构贝莱德（BlackRock）呼吁称，美联储应以大幅降息的姿态拉开“首降”的帷幕。　　贝莱德全球固定收益部门的首席投资官Rick Rieder周三表示，美联储需要在9月份的会议上大幅下调利率，以重新刺激经济增长，减轻消费者的债务压力。　　“我（觉得）会降息50个基点，...

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黄君芝）自美联储7月会议纪要发布以来，9月份降息似乎已经“板上钉钉”了。至于幅度，全球最大的资产管理机构贝莱德（BlackRock）呼吁称，美联储应以大幅降息的姿态拉开“首降”的帷幕。\n　　贝莱德全球固定收益部门的首席投资官Rick Rieder周三表示，美联储需要在9月份的会议上大幅下调利率，以重新刺激经济增长，减轻消费者的债务压力。\n　　“我（觉得）会降息50个基点，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2024-08-22/doc-inckntrq0556829.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"FT_SY_TN","symbol_name":"超10年美债","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2024-08-22/doc-inckntrq0556829.shtml","article_id":"2461335712","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2024-08-22/doc-inckntrq0556829.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, 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Rieder周三表示，美联储需要在9月份的会议上大幅下调利率，以重新刺激经济增长，减轻消费者的债务压力。\n　　“我（觉得）会降息50个基点，”他说。\n　　本月早些时候，美国7月份公布的就业报告出人意料地疲软，令市场震惊。该数据引发了对经济衰退的新担忧，华尔街大佬纷纷呼吁美联储以更积极的步伐放松政策。而美国劳工统计局周三发布的报告更是令人为之一颤。\n　　报告显示，在截至今年3月的一年中，美国就业增长可能远没有先前报告得那样强劲。美国劳工统计局的初步基准修订显示，上述时期非农就业人数可能会下修81.8万人，按比例则折合每月减少约6.8万人。每个月的具体修正情况要到2025年2月才正式公布。\n　　修正后的数据显示，美国经济的实际就业增长比最初报告的要弱得多。这一修正可能会改变对经济增长的预期。就业市场一直是衡量经济健康状况的关键指标之一。如果就业增长不如预期强劲，这可能表明经济活动放缓的风险增加。\n　　对此，Rieder评论称，这种幅度的初步修正有助于证实近几个月来对就业市场疲软的一些担忧。这份最新报告最终强调了美联储双重使命中劳动力部分的重要性，并表明在通胀放缓和经济放缓的情况下，联邦基金利率的限制性过大。\n　　尽管如此，他仍然预计，美联储最终可能会在2025年之前的一系列会议上，以25个基点的幅度降息。\n　　但他强调，美联储这样做将会延长他在海量数据中看到的压力。\n　　“我昨天看到了信用卡拖欠或冲销，汽车贷款拖欠，就像你开始看到接近金融危机的数字一样。我们还没有到那个地步，但你已经开始看到这种显著的增长。”他补充说。\n　　高盛首席经济学家Jan Hatzius此前也表示，“经济衰退风险的降低加强了我们的预测，即（美联储）将在9月份的会议上仅降息25个基点。”\n　　Hatzius补充称，他预计今年将降息75个基点，最后一次降息将在12月。\n　　总而言之，可以肯定的是，在年底来临之际，美国经济为投资者描绘了一幅喜忧参半的画面。这基本上等同于美联储政策方向的不确定，本周举行的杰克逊霍尔全球央行年可能会体现出这一点。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：郭建","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"Policy And Regulatory,Economic Data","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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