反思以太坊困境：创新乏力和竞争压力下的至难时刻？

链上观08-12

作者：Haotian 为什么市场唱衰以太坊的声音总是此起彼伏？简单来说：以太坊生态系统确实面对内忧外患的焦灼处境，内有layer2等扩展方案一直挺不起脊梁，外有Solana等杀手始终亡我坊之心不死，创新乏力和竞争压力下的以太坊迎来了至难时刻。接下来，简单谈谈我的看法：1）以太坊Rollups的大小生态系统已经成型，坎昆升级EIP-4844之后，以太坊短期技术层面的利好已然落定。更长期的分片链在...

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1Gwei，以此来讥讽以太坊layer2战略方向的失败，但换个角度看，这何尝不是以太坊靠layer2解决拥堵、Gas费高等问题的阶段性成功？只不过，糟糕的是layer2不仅没有以太坊带来预期的巨大生态和交易量，甚至还分流了一部分流量出走了。实际上，layer2在解决以太坊性能不足能力上算成功的，OP-Rollup和ZK-Rollup阵营的竞争内卷也到达的白热化的程度，但选阵营搞infra而非纯应用创新暴露了以太坊开发者社区一个很尴尬的现状：过度依赖VC融资驱动发币而并非真正的价值创新。尽管这是web3行业流入开发者人才越多，以及VC的资金流入趋多，进而竞争内卷加剧的直接结果。虽然创业门槛变高本来可以是市场趋于成熟的表现，在Crypto早期阶段，过度的内卷则成了项目高FDV扼杀创新的始作俑者。试想一个项目顶着巨大的FDV，一切努力只为快速Go to Market，怎么会有时间来沉淀价值创新。而to VC最有效的就是堆叠B端的商业叙事，C端应用这类紧迫但却不性感的方向则一直不温不火。所以，才让市场感知到infra> application的失衡吧。4）尽管，以太坊杀手的性感叙事已经在上一轮牛市中被证伪了，但这一轮Solana、Sui、Aptos、Sei等高性能公链都直戳以太坊EVM的“低性能”软肋。虽然都不再喊着杀死以太坊，但不可否认它们在性能上的高并发和特殊Move语言安全机制等层面确实能冲击到以太坊，尤其是可能成为新一代web3应用生态滋生的沃土，比如：DePIN、大型游戏、intent 交易、AI Agent等等。这是我认为新一代高性能公链最大的机会，不再堆叠infra预期，直接凭应用崛起来向以太坊宣战。或者说根本就无需宣战，用模块化思想把以太坊归置到“结算层”的单薄叙事上，用新模块化执行层，DA层、Unified 流动性层等对对以太坊过去建立的话语权体系进行重构，不也是一种竞合成功？对其他链是，对以太坊又何尝不是，然而，这是我在其他高性能链或模块化、链抽象链上看到的趋向，但似乎以太坊还只是“被动挨打”的姿态，即使在ETF这等超前性利好的前提下，也没能放下架子来应对。5）很多人还在对另一次DeFi Summer抱有期待，但反思以太坊layer2的不及预期，我很无奈的接受了，DeFi Summer或许永不复来的事实。 @VitalikButerin 自己也很清楚，以太坊最大的困局可能就是过度的金融属性，DeFi这种承载金融属性的完美载体，既往成功经验和DeFi组合的无限套娃属性都让它天然契合人的投机偏好。以太坊生态此刻要考虑的不是重塑DeFi Summer，而恰恰是走出纯DeFi文化阴霾。上一轮牛市横空出世的NFT，OpenSea由盛转衰也都未曾完全嵌套进DeFi框架内，但这并不影响NFT带领上一轮以太坊走出超强牛市，这一轮PolyMarket去中心化预测市场被重视，虽然并非新玩法，也不知道能不能掀起新生机，但好在，它也并非纯DeFi、或者说已经扩展重构了DeFi。如何把以太坊最大可能向web2世界融合，脱虚向实，才是大家应该真正预期的新Summer所在。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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