持续悲观！美国消费者信心跌至8个月低点

金十数据07-29

由于高通胀持续对个人财务状况造成压力，美国7月消费者信心下降至八个月的低点。密歇根大学发布的数据显示，7月份的最终消费者信心指数从6月的68.2（修正前为66）降至66.4。消费者预计未来一年物价将以同比2.9%的速度上涨，为四个月来的最低水平，略低于6月预计的3%。此外，他们还预计未来5到10年的平均物价将上涨3%，与一个月前大致持平。自第一季度以来，消费者信心一直在下降，反映出高昂的生活...

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U.S. Consumer Confidence Falls to 8-Month Low","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abad3f26f7148535f65d522490087da0","symbols_score_info":{"EFFE":1,"MS":1,"US7Y.BOND":0.63,"US6M.BOND":0.63,"US5Y.BOND":0.63,"US3Y.BOND":0.63,"US30Y.BOND":0.63,"US2Y.BOND":0.63,"US10Y.BOND":0.63,"US12M.BOND":0.63,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6},"content_text":"由于高通胀持续对个人财务状况造成压力，美国7月消费者信心下降至八个月的低点。\n密歇根大学发布的数据显示，7月份的最终消费者信心指数从6月的68.2（修正前为66）降至66.4。消费者预计未来一年物价将以同比2.9%的速度上涨，为四个月来的最低水平，略低于6月预计的3%。\n此外，他们还预计未来5到10年的平均物价将上涨3%，与一个月前大致持平。\n自第一季度以来，消费者信心一直在下降，反映出高昂的生活成本和高企的借贷成本，导致人们当前对个人财务状况的看法和预期悲观。\n虽然通胀开始降温，但工资增长依然温和，许多美国人已经用光了疫情期间的储蓄。调查负责人Joanne Hsu表示，“消费者信心已比2022年6月的历史低点上升了33%，但仍然谨慎，因为高通胀继续拖累人们的信心，尤其是低收入人群。”\n当前状况指数降至62.7，创2022年底以来的最低水平，低于7月的64.1；预期指数降至68.8，与今年的最低水平持平；个人财务状况展望指数降至10月以来的最低水平；耐用品购买状况也降至2022年底以来的最低水平。\n周五发布的另一份报告显示，6月份通胀率温和上升，消费者支出保持健康，可能为美联储很快降息铺平道路。\nGlobal X的分析师斯科特•赫尔夫斯坦在一份报告中说，温和的通胀和富有弹性的经济增长表明，美国经济根本没有着陆。赫尔夫斯坦说，“增长远高于疫情前的趋势，价格保持稳定。忘掉软着陆吧，这是一个不着陆的经济。”\n摩根士丹利交易和投资主管Chris Larkin表示：\n\n“总的来说，这周对美联储来说是不错的一周。经济似乎处于坚实的基础上，PCE通胀基本上保持稳定。但下周降息的可能性仍然很小。虽然在9月份的FOMC会议之前，经济形势有足够的时间发生变化，但数据已经趋向于美联储所希望的方向。”","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"economic","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2454329254"}