美国原油库存上周大幅下滑 WTI大涨2.5% 摩根大通：均衡价格70美元

华尔街见闻07-18

美国能源信息署（EIA）周三公布数据显示，美股原油库存再度下滑，美国对加拿大石油进口增长创新高，美国油价在连续三日下跌后周三反弹，WTI涨幅一度超过2.5%。根据美国能源信息署的报告，7月12日当周，美国原油库存大幅减少了487万桶，降幅远逊于彭博用户预计的减少27.5万桶以及分析师预计的减少73.6万桶，同时这一降幅也大于美国石油协会（API）所指出的降幅；相比之下，之前一周减少344.3万桶...

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href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3719952><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国能源信息署（EIA）周三公布数据显示，美股原油库存再度下滑，美国对加拿大石油进口增长创新高，美国油价在连续三日下跌后周三反弹，WTI涨幅一度超过2.5%。\n根据美国能源信息署的报告，7月12日当周，美国原油库存大幅减少了487万桶，降幅远逊于彭博用户预计的减少27.5万桶以及分析师预计的减少73.6万桶，同时这一降幅也大于美国石油协会（API）所指出的降幅；相比之下，之前一周减少344.3万桶...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3719952\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4581","symbol_name":"高盛持仓","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3719952","article_id":"2452167022","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/f5693575-d629-4131-9076-caf724d10824.jpeg"],"rights":{"source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3719952","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2452167022","pubTimestamp":1721236074,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"美国对加拿大石油进口上月创新高。尽管石油需求疲软、OPEC+减产，虽然油价本月早些时候有所下跌，但全年仍上涨。不过，摩根大通分析师认为，美国原油的供需平衡价格在每桶70美元左右，因为如果油价太低不足以刺激产量反会导致价格飙涨，而若特朗普回归，则可能增加石油开采、增加产能。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"wallstreetcn.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU1670627923.USD":"M&G 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$70","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"WTI":1,"JPM":0.8,"LU":0.6},"content_text":"美国能源信息署（EIA）周三公布数据显示，美股原油库存再度下滑，美国对加拿大石油进口增长创新高，美国油价在连续三日下跌后周三反弹，WTI涨幅一度超过2.5%。\n根据美国能源信息署的报告，7月12日当周，美国原油库存大幅减少了487万桶，降幅远逊于彭博用户预计的减少27.5万桶以及分析师预计的减少73.6万桶，同时这一降幅也大于美国石油协会（API）所指出的降幅；相比之下，之前一周减少344.3万桶。目前总库存降至4.402亿桶，约比五年同期平均水平低5%，EIA表示。\n战略石油储备中的原油增加了65万桶，达到3.737亿桶。位于纽约商品交易所交割中心俄克拉荷马州库欣的原油库存减少了87.5万桶，降至3270万桶。同时，美国对加拿大石油进口增长80.7万桶/日，至441.8万桶/日，创历史新高。\n媒体报道，飓风贝里尔上周早些时候在德克萨斯州登陆，导致港口暂时关闭，但其影响似乎有限。EIA估计，原油日产量为1330万桶，与前一周持平，而原油进口量增加了27.7万桶/日，达到700万桶/日。原油出口量平均略低于400万桶/日，比前一周减少了3.5万桶/日。\n此外，炼油厂的运转率下降，产能利用率下降了1.7个百分点，降至93.7%。墨西哥湾沿岸的产能利用率从97%降至92.7%，但其他地区则有所上升。\n然而，汽油库存自1月以来增加最多，令夏季驾车季节的燃料需求受到质疑。数据显示，7月12日当周EIA汽油库存增加332.8万桶，远高于预期的减少123万桶，前值为减少200.6万桶。汽油库存达到2.33亿桶，略高于五年平均水平。汽油需求减少了61.5万桶/日，降至880万桶/日，这是在7月4日美国国情假期周之后的下降。\n蒸馏燃料库存连续第二周增加，增加了350万桶，达到1.281亿桶，约比五年平均水平低7%。预计蒸馏燃料库存将减少40万桶。\n受原油库存大幅下降影响，8月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格周三反弹，日内涨幅一度超过2.5%，午盘报每桶82.72美元。\n\n由于美油价格反弹至每桶82美元以上，WTI在100日移动平均线附近盘整，该移动平均线在一个月内一直作为支撑位。TD Securities的商品策略师在给客户的报告中写道，趋势跟踪算法自本周初以来一直处于卖出状态，大规模清仓的窗口仍然开放。\n尽管石油需求疲软、OPEC+减产，虽然油价本月早些时候有所下跌，但全年仍上涨。一些交易员对今年余下时间的前景仍持乐观态度，周二交易了一批看涨的石油期权。其中包括从WTI和布伦特原油价格上涨至100美元及以上中获利的合约。还有分析师表示，中东紧张局势将继续对油价形成支撑。\n然而，摩根大通分析师则在报告中表示，美国原油的供需平衡价格在每桶70美元左右。分析师说，60美元的油价太低，不足以刺激产量，那可能会造成油价在未来一年大幅上涨至100美元。而如果特朗普重新入主美国白宫，他可能会开启墨西哥湾和阿拉斯加新一轮（石油天然气）勘探和开采，以期实现增产300万桶/日的目标。风险提示及免责条款\n\n            市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"Business Data","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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