贵金属继续狂欢！“鸽派”鲍威尔再引爆，金价下个目标2500美元？

格隆汇07-16

鲍威尔“鸽”声之下，贵金属周二继续“嗨”。截至发稿，A股晓程科技涨超5%，湖南黄金、银泰黄金、山东黄金等涨超4%。港股山东黄金涨超5%，招金矿业涨超4%。6月下旬来，A股贵金属板块开启上行模式，目前累计涨幅超16%。今日，现货黄金震荡向上，一度站上2430美元/盎司上方，现涨0.31%报2429.86美元/盎司。“鸽派”鲍威尔上周末，特朗普遇袭成为新的市场变量，美国大选的不确定性致避险资产开始升温...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2451535019?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"https://img3.gelonghui.com/c0657-7c151b90-bb24-457e-8a0e-521930449e03.jpg?guru_height=851&guru_width=1280","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2024-07-16 14:20","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","id":"2451535019","market":"hk","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"贵金属继续狂欢！“鸽派”鲍威尔再引爆，金价下个目标2500美元？","media":"格隆汇","content":"<div>\n<p>鲍威尔“鸽”声之下，贵金属周二继续“嗨”。截至发稿，A股晓程科技涨超5%，湖南黄金、银泰黄金、山东黄金等涨超4%。港股山东黄金涨超5%，招金矿业涨超4%。6月下旬来，A股贵金属板块开启上行模式，目前累计涨幅超16%。今日，现货黄金震荡向上，一度站上2430美元/盎司上方，现涨0.31%报2429.86美元/盎司。“鸽派”鲍威尔上周末，特朗普遇袭成为新的市场变量，美国大选的不确定性致避险资产开始升温...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/856693\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"gelonghui_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>贵金属继续狂欢！“鸽派”鲍威尔再引爆，金价下个目标2500美元？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n贵金属继续狂欢！“鸽派”鲍威尔再引爆，金价下个目标2500美元？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-07-16 14:20 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/856693><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>鲍威尔“鸽”声之下，贵金属周二继续“嗨”。截至发稿，A股晓程科技涨超5%，湖南黄金、银泰黄金、山东黄金等涨超4%。港股山东黄金涨超5%，招金矿业涨超4%。6月下旬来，A股贵金属板块开启上行模式，目前累计涨幅超16%。今日，现货黄金震荡向上，一度站上2430美元/盎司上方，现涨0.31%报2429.86美元/盎司。“鸽派”鲍威尔上周末，特朗普遇袭成为新的市场变量，美国大选的不确定性致避险资产开始升温...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/856693\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SH","symbol_name":"标普500反向ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/856693","article_id":"2451535019","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://img3.gelonghui.com/c0657-7c151b90-bb24-457e-8a0e-521930449e03.jpg?guru_height=851&guru_width=1280"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2451535019","pubTimestamp":1721110859,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"gelonghui_highlight","name":"格隆汇"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"特朗普遇袭也是市场新变量","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"gelonghui.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"300139":"晓程科技","600547":"山东黄金","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK0214":"IT设备","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","BK1592":"有色金属","BK0183":"MSCI概念","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK0012":"证金概念","002155":"湖南黄金","01818":"招金矿业","BK0196":"行业龙头","01787":"山东黄金","BK0182":"小金属","BK0127":"黄金珠宝","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK1198":"黄金","BK0242":"有色金属","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","LU0326950275.SGD":"Schroder ISF China Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","BK0028":"国家队","BK0125":"芯片国产化","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK0188":"融资融券","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK0070":"员工持股","BK0009":"债转股","BK0187":"一线龙头","LU0140636845.USD":"施罗德大中华区股票A Acc","BK0026":"智能家居","BK1544":"黄金股","000975":"山金国际","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"translate_title":"Precious metals continue to revel! \"Dovish\" Powell detonated again, and the next target of gold price is $2,500?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"300139":0.9,"600547":0.9,"SPY":1,"000975":0.9,"002155":0.9,"01787":0.9,"01818":0.9,"UPRO":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,".SPX":0.6},"content_text":"鲍威尔“鸽”声之下，贵金属周二继续“嗨”。截至发稿，A股晓程科技涨超5%，湖南黄金、银泰黄金、山东黄金等涨超4%。港股山东黄金涨超5%，招金矿业涨超4%。6月下旬来，A股贵金属板块开启上行模式，目前累计涨幅超16%。今日，现货黄金震荡向上，一度站上2430美元/盎司上方，现涨0.31%报2429.86美元/盎司。“鸽派”鲍威尔上周末，特朗普遇袭成为新的市场变量，美国大选的不确定性致避险资产开始升温，黄金及贵金属的看涨动力愈发强势。昨夜，“鸽派”鲍威尔再引爆黄金多头士气。鲍威尔称，过去几年经济表现出色，最近三次通胀数据确实增强了信心。他预计今年经济增长将放缓，通胀将继续取得进展。美联储不会等到通胀达到2%目标才降息，因为货币政策的影响具有滞后性，假如维持利率太久太高，会过度抑制经济增长。鲍威尔的这番表态，可能为未来降息铺平道路。据CME“美联储观察”工具最新显示，交易员们押注9月首次降息的概率高达89.4%，年内或有三次降息。此前美国6月CPI显示超预期放缓，现在叠加“鸽派”的鲍威尔，让市场开始加码降息交易。道明证券高级商品策略师Daniel Ghali指出，自由交易者正大量重返黄金市场。“鉴于这一群体目前已积累了本轮周期中最大的头寸，我们的代理人认为，鉴于未来一年美联储降息的数量已反映在利率市场上，宏观交易员在黄金中的持仓现在略高于预期。”他表示，目前黄金价格仍远低于美联储过去降息周期创下的最高点，这表明如果对即将到来的降息周期的预期继续加深，黄金还有进一步上涨的空间。自由交易商的多头仓位在过去几周也在增加，这与特朗普的交易一致，这也吸引了投资者对黄金的兴趣。“黄金技术面在我们的全球宏观雷达中也是表现最强劲的，这凸显了商品交易顾问 (CTA) 趋势追随者在被迫平仓更多头寸之前所面临的高门槛。尽管近期黄金的下跌已经催化了一些平仓，但 CTA 现在很可能会重返买盘，而不会出现 2370 美元/盎司以下的大幅逆转。”金价年底剑指2500美元？世界各国央行还在计划大肆储备黄金，这也是金价上涨的主要推动力之一。据世界黄金协会的2024年央行黄金储备（CBGR）调查，29%的央行受访者打算在未来12个月内增加黄金储备，这是自2018年开始这项调查以来观察到的最高水平。其中，新兴市场增持黄金尤为积极。数据显示，中国央行6月黄金储备为7280万盎司，与前两个月持平，而在此之前央行连续18个月增持黄金。印度央行6月增加了逾9吨黄金，这是自2022年7月以来的最高水平，意味着印度今年的黄金储备增加了37吨，达到841吨。澳新银行大宗商品策略师Soni Kumari和Daniel Hynes预计，今年印度的黄金需求强劲，这可能在今年下半年继续支撑金价。“印度央行今年已成为第二大黄金买家。上半年的购买量意味着，如果购买速度继续下去，今年的总购买量可能达到70吨以上。”他们预计，金价到今年年底将升至每盎司2500美元。FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia也表示，如果金价升穿2439美元/盎司，那将为金价测试年内迄今高点2450美元/盎司铺平道路。他指出，一旦有效攻克该位，预计将进一步上涨，下一个目标是2500美元/盎司。美银更是预计，未来12-18个月，金价可能会反弹至3000美元。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.26.2","shortVersion":"4.26.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2451535019"}