Evercore ISI喊出华尔街最高！上调标普500年底目标位至6000点

智通财经06-17

智通财经APP获悉，随着标普500指数创下一个又一个纪录，继高盛追平华尔街大行中最乐观的年底5600点目标位，Evercore ISI进一步突破新高。该机构称，到2024年底，该指数将再次出现两位数涨幅。首席股票和量化策略师朱利安·伊曼纽尔(Julian Emanuel)将其对标普500指数的年底预测上调至6000点，在Bloomberg追踪的主要股票策略师中排名第一，比该指数上周五收盘价高出约...

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Raise S&P 500 year-end target to 6,000","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":1,"VOO":1,"SPY":1,"EVR":1,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，随着标普500指数创下一个又一个纪录，继高盛追平华尔街大行中最乐观的年底5600点目标位，Evercore ISI进一步突破新高。该机构称，到2024年底，该指数将再次出现两位数涨幅。首席股票和量化策略师朱利安·伊曼纽尔(Julian Emanuel)将其对标普500指数的年底预测上调至6000点，在Bloomberg追踪的主要股票策略师中排名第一，比该指数上周五收盘价高出约10%。伊曼纽尔称，对经济复苏、企业盈利改善和美联储紧缩周期结束的乐观情绪推动标普500指数今年上涨了14%，通胀消退和人工智能热潮将推动美股进一步走高。值得注意的是，伊曼纽尔此次的新预期高于此前华尔街大行给出的最高年终目标：高盛的大卫·科斯汀(David Kostin)、瑞银的乔纳森·戈鲁布(Jonathan Golub)和蒙特利尔银行资本市场的布莱恩·贝尔斯基(Brian Belski)所预测的5600点水平。上周五，高盛的科斯汀刚刚追平了华尔街对标普500指数年底目标位的最乐观预期，第三次上调了年底目标位，反映出华尔街对盈利增长和美国经济的乐观前景。在华尔街各大银行中，摩根大通银行对标普500指数的年终目标最低，为4200点，这意味着该指数将比上周五的收盘价下跌20%以上。伊曼纽尔周日在给客户的说明中写道，“疫情改变了一切，创纪录的刺激政策、高现金余额和低杠杆率为消费者提供了支持，随后是人工智能。如今，GenAI在每项工作和每个行业的潜力都在发生变化。通胀放缓、美联储有意降息和经济增长的背景支持着‘金发姑娘’经济。”伊曼纽尔还将该指数在2024年和2025年的每股收益预期分别上调至238美元和251美元。他说，新的点位水平意味着利润将分别增长8%和5%。伊曼纽尔表示，标普500指数到12月底跃升至6000点，每股收益达到238美元，这将使该指数市盈率在跟踪基础上升至25倍。虽然从历史标准来看，市盈率定会升高，但仍将低于互联网泡沫高峰时期的28倍水平。此外，他还认为，到2025年底，标普500指数或达到7000点。伊曼纽尔说，虽然人工智能的繁荣已将估值推高到“1960年以来前10%的高位”，但标普500指数的市盈率或将在“较长一段时间”内保持在较高水平。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.24.2","shortVersion":"4.24.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2444590197"}