OPEC与IEA打嘴仗！全球石油需求何时见顶

金融时报06-16

近年来，随着电动汽车以及清洁能源的迅速发展，各界对于全球石油市场的前景争论不休。国际能源署(IEA)在最新发布的2024年中期石油市场报告中表示，随着需求增长放缓和供应激增，预计到2030年全球石油市场将面临严重的供应过剩。　　 IEA署长法提赫.比罗尔表示，随着清洁能源转型推进，以及一些主要经济体经济结构转变，全球石油需求增长正在放缓，并将在2030年达到峰值。　　对于全球石油需求将在2030年...

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When will global oil demand peak","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":1,"QMmain":1,"DDG":0.6,"DUG":0.6,"DWT":0.6,"BZmain":0.6,"SCO":0.6,"UCO":0.6,"USO":0.6},"content_text":"近年来，随着电动汽车以及清洁能源的迅速发展，各界对于全球石油市场的前景争论不休。国际能源署(IEA)在最新发布的2024年中期石油市场报告中表示，随着需求增长放缓和供应激增，预计到2030年全球石油市场将面临严重的供应过剩。　　 IEA署长法提赫.比罗尔表示，随着清洁能源转型推进，以及一些主要经济体经济结构转变，全球石油需求增长正在放缓，并将在2030年达到峰值。　　对于全球石油需求将在2030年达到峰值的判断，石油输出国组织(OPEC)不屑一顾。OPEC秘书长盖斯撰文指出，OPEC在长期预测中认为石油需求不会达到顶峰，预计到2045年石油需求将增长到1.16亿桶/日，甚至可能更高。而IEA的报告则是“危险的评论，尤其是对消费者而言，只会导致潜在的前所未有的能源价格波动”。　　“根据我们目前观察到的实际趋势，我们预计在本十年末，石油需求并不会达到峰值。全球仍有数十亿人尚未获得能源，而石油需求的增长态势仍在继续。”盖斯表示。　　在最新发布的月报中，OPEC坚持其对2024年全球石油需求相对强劲增长的预测。具体而言，OPEC预计，2024年全球石油需求将增加225万桶/日，2025年将增加185万桶/日。\n关注同花顺财经（ths518），获取更多机会","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":317361508393232,"gmtCreate":1718520009380,"gmtModify":1718528840032,"author":{"id":"4607170689208","authorId":"4607170689208","name":"复利19","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/tiger_upload_file_1449419154.png","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c5ceab71416b120bab4604c0754b52a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4607170689208","authorIdStr":"4607170689208"},"htmlText":"欧美人说了算","listText":"欧美人说了算","text":"欧美人说了算","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/317361508393232","repostId":2443943094,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2443943094"}