美国劳工统计局“承认”：非农就业增长“远没有表面那么光鲜”

华尔街见闻06-06

去年美国每月非农新增就业岗位约为25万，而覆盖95%以上美国就业岗位的季度就业工资普查(QCEW)数据显示，实际就业人数的月均增幅可能比非农低约6万人。美国就业市场可能远没有美联储认为的那么有活力。美国劳工局周三公布的数据显示，去年美国每月非农新增就业岗位约为25万，但另一份覆盖95%以上美国就业岗位的季度就业工资普查(QCEW)数据显示，去年美国就业人数的月均增幅可能比非农低约6万人。正值美联储...

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黑皮东东
06-06
黑皮东东
自己照照镜子，不用黑别人，这样才能进步。

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href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3716713><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>去年美国每月非农新增就业岗位约为25万，而覆盖95%以上美国就业岗位的季度就业工资普查(QCEW)数据显示，实际就业人数的月均增幅可能比非农低约6万人。美国就业市场可能远没有美联储认为的那么有活力。美国劳工局周三公布的数据显示，去年美国每月非农新增就业岗位约为25万，但另一份覆盖95%以上美国就业岗位的季度就业工资普查(QCEW)数据显示，去年美国就业人数的月均增幅可能比非农低约6万人。正值美联储...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3716713\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SH","symbol_name":"标普500反向ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3716713","article_id":"2441713065","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/057c3fd64a101c8cd42d10d80072c7f9"],"rights":{"source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3716713","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2441713065","pubTimestamp":1717677383,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"去年美国每月非农新增就业岗位约为25万，而覆盖95%以上美国就业岗位的季度就业工资普查(QCEW)数据显示，实际就业人数的月均增幅可能比非农低约6万人。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"wallstreetcn.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"SH":"标普500反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 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Knapp认为：月度企业就业调查很可能高估了劳动力市场状况，就业市场实际上比美联储预估疲软。彭博首席经济学家 Anna Wong在周二发布的一份报告中表示：美联储可能行动滞后，只有当劳动力市场深陷下行漩涡时才会降息。与此同时，其他人对在目前从QCEW数据中得出任何影响就业市场的结论保持谨慎。Burning Glass Institute 经济学家Guy Berger 认为：即使就业数据出现大幅下修，也只是将就业市场从“繁荣”修正为“健康”。穆迪分析公司首席经济学家Mark Zandi表示：QCEW数据会经常修正，今年2月份非农将面临大幅下修的担忧最终没有应验，结果显示截至2023年3月，在经过年度基准修正后，就业数据仅比初步估算值低约1.8万/月。此外，近期非法移民大量进入美国劳动力市场，也可能导致非农就业数据和QCEW数据出现差异。摩根士丹利经济学家Sam Coffin表示：由于QCEW数据基于就业保险缴纳记录，无法覆盖未获工作许可的人员，所以这一群体的变化更可能反映在非农数据中。明晚美国劳工局将公布5月非农数据，市场普遍预计新增就业岗位约18.5万个，环比4月的17.5万将略有增长。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[{"id":313997177086248,"gmtCreate":1717679767007,"gmtModify":1717679768289,"author":{"id":"4096729230922880","authorId":"4096729230922880","name":"黑皮东东","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dac9331f51f2ff89e3d7af0afb0e31ee","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4096729230922880","authorIdStr":"4096729230922880"},"htmlText":"自己照照镜子，不用黑别人，这样才能进步。","listText":"自己照照镜子，不用黑别人，这样才能进步。","text":"自己照照镜子，不用黑别人，这样才能进步。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313997177086248","repostId":2441713065,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":3,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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