美银喊话投资者：现在走人将错过夏季大涨！

金十数据05-08

美国银行驳斥了“五月卖出然后走人”的说法，并预计市场可能会在今年夏天大幅上涨。美国银行表示，投资者应该忽略有关5月抛售股票的说法，因为大选前的夏季大涨可能即将到来。该公司技术研究策略师斯蒂芬·萨特梅尔（Stephen Suttmeier）在周二的一份报告中告诉客户，“不要在‘五月卖出然后走人’”。这是一个众所周知但备受争议的说法，它源于这样一个事实：自1950年以来，道琼斯工业平均指数（DJI）在...

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精彩评论

我迟早都能吃上烧鹅
05-09
我迟早都能吃上烧鹅
好的，已卖[你懂的]
IT_6149
05-09
IT_6149
好事会轮到你吗？
火火先生
05-09
火火先生
在大选年，标普500指数在夏季上涨的概率约为75%，平均回报率为7.3%。坚定持有
kacydeen
05-09
kacydeen
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

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Suttmeier）在周二的一份报告中告诉客户，“不要在‘五月卖出然后走人’”。这是一个众所周知但备受争议的说法，它源于这样一个事实：自1950年以来，道琼斯工业平均指数（DJI）在5月初至10月底期间平均上涨0.8%，远低于11月1日至次年4月30日期间通常出现的7.3%的涨幅。然而，萨特梅尔从不同的角度看待这些数据。他指出，6月至8月是标普500指数（SPX）自1928年以来第二强劲的三个月表现。美国银行的数据显示，在这三个月里，大盘指数有65%的时间都在上涨，平均回报率为3.2%。这可能表明，如果历史重演，市场可能会在今年夏天大幅上涨。在萨特梅尔看来，有一个关键因素会让今年夏天的股市表现变得更好，那就是总统大选。在大选年，标普500指数在夏季上涨的概率约为75%，平均回报率为7.3%。在萨特梅尔做出上述预测之际，市场正处于不确定时期。继2023年和今年第一季度强劲上涨之后，由于美联储何时开始降息的前景更加变幻莫测，美股4月大幅回调。不过，美联储主席鲍威尔上周表示，尽管在抑制通胀方面进展甚微，使得政策制定者很难预测何时可以开始降息，但下一步行动不太可能是加息。这一言论部分缓解了市场的担忧。此外，萨特梅尔指出，衡量市场中期动能的28周威廉指标（W%R）已回到超买区域。不过，他指出，目前处于超买状态的美股仍然应该被视为健康的。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[{"id":304099319210000,"gmtCreate":1715264440994,"gmtModify":1715264442878,"author":{"id":"4107808642014150","authorId":"4107808642014150","name":"我迟早都能吃上烧鹅","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4107808642014150","authorIdStr":"4107808642014150"},"htmlText":"好的，已卖[你懂的]&nbsp;","listText":"好的，已卖[你懂的]&nbsp;","text":"好的，已卖[你懂的]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/304099319210000","repostId":2433072014,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":303975635062880,"gmtCreate":1715233054688,"gmtModify":1715233056595,"author":{"id":"3556152438437702","authorId":"3556152438437702","name":"IT_6149","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/654e3f66a2e0f0c9a4d1d16d5fd307f5","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3556152438437702","authorIdStr":"3556152438437702"},"htmlText":"好事会轮到你吗？","listText":"好事会轮到你吗？","text":"好事会轮到你吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/303975635062880","repostId":2433072014,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":303791004254368,"gmtCreate":1715187979687,"gmtModify":1715187981931,"author":{"id":"3573325047854143","authorId":"3573325047854143","name":"火火先生","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573325047854143","authorIdStr":"3573325047854143"},"htmlText":"在大选年，标普500指数在夏季上涨的概率约为75%，平均回报率为7.3%。 坚定持有","listText":"在大选年，标普500指数在夏季上涨的概率约为75%，平均回报率为7.3%。 坚定持有","text":"在大选年，标普500指数在夏季上涨的概率约为75%，平均回报率为7.3%。 坚定持有","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/303791004254368","repostId":2433072014,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":303782726201632,"gmtCreate":1715185960065,"gmtModify":1715186842780,"author":{"id":"3573547309123454","authorId":"3573547309123454","name":"kacydeen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27a2dd97278ef11fe01e1954782247b8","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573547309123454","authorIdStr":"3573547309123454"},"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/303782726201632","repostId":2433072014,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":2,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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