美银：别信“5月卖出并离场”，小心错过大反弹！

金十数据2023-04-19

华尔街的古老格言“5月卖出并离场”还有很多不足之处，正确的说法应该是......根据美国银行周二发布的一份报告，遵循“5月卖出并离场”投资策略的投资者可能会错过股市的夏季反弹。“5月卖出并离场”是华尔街流传的一个古老格言：即股市在5月至10月的六个月期间一直表现疲软。美国银行技术策略师Stephen Suttmeier表示：“1928年以来的季节性数据表明，股市5月至10月的平均回报率和中值回报率...

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精彩评论

relx分销者
2023-04-20
relx分销者
这种帖子都出来了，再不跑就是脑子真的有问题了
刘_8083
2023-04-19
刘_8083
一月喊我不买五月喊我不卖谢谢你
龙腾虎乐
2023-04-19
龙腾虎乐
这是忽悠韭菜呢[捂脸] [捂脸]

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Suttmeier表示：“1928年以来的季节性数据表明，股市5月至10月的平均回报率和中值回报率是一年中最低的六个月表现。但标准普尔500指数在同期65%的时间里上涨，平均回报率为2.16%（中值为3.11%）。”Suttmeier说，事实上，在“5月卖出并离场”策略涉及的时间框架内，股市的平均和中值回报率并不是负值，该策略“还有很多不足之处”。此外，从历史上看，股市在夏季月份表现出强势迹象，尤其是在总统任期的第三年。Suttmeier补充道：“对于标准普尔500指数来说，5月可能是一个疲软的月份，但如果你信了‘5月卖出并离场’，你就可能会错过接下来的夏季反弹。”自1928年以来，股市6月和8月的平均回报率接近1%，并且有近60%的时间上涨，而7月的平均回报率为1.67%，60%的时间都在上涨。这与5月（-0.04%）和9月（-1.16%）的平均回报率形成鲜明对比。在总统任期的第三年，标准普尔500指数从6月到8月的平均回报率为3.26%，并且有70%的时间上涨。Suttmeier总结道：“月度季节性表明，在4月表现强劲的月份抛售、在5月避险情绪浓郁的月份且夏季反弹前买入、在7-8月抛售，而9月是一年中最疲软的月份。因此不应该是‘5月卖出并离场’，而应该是‘5月买入，7月或8月离场’。”","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":651591066,"gmtCreate":1681924298855,"gmtModify":1681927505339,"author":{"id":"3578029344203599","authorId":"3578029344203599","name":"relx分销者","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7eaa979376989e28bb9e6c34d588258a","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578029344203599","authorIdStr":"3578029344203599"},"htmlText":"这种帖子都出来了，再不跑就是脑子真的有问题了","listText":"这种帖子都出来了，再不跑就是脑子真的有问题了","text":"这种帖子都出来了，再不跑就是脑子真的有问题了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/651591066","repostId":2328387227,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":651234525,"gmtCreate":1681883213067,"gmtModify":1681883958341,"author":{"id":"4143413079078042","authorId":"4143413079078042","name":"刘_8083","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5677f6199498513bafccea77cfbeb447","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4143413079078042","authorIdStr":"4143413079078042"},"htmlText":"一月喊我不买 五月喊我不卖 谢谢你","listText":"一月喊我不买 五月喊我不卖 谢谢你","text":"一月喊我不买 五月喊我不卖 谢谢你","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/651234525","repostId":2328387227,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":651236949,"gmtCreate":1681880900682,"gmtModify":1681881170739,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/622fc56f7e67b5729addb4e78a195511","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3482550532367433","authorIdStr":"3482550532367433"},"htmlText":"这是忽悠韭菜呢[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"这是忽悠韭菜呢[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"这是忽悠韭菜呢[捂脸] 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