2000关口或仅是起点！金价2600美元在招手？

智通财经2023-03-22

随着全球银行陷入困境，适逢美联储将再次做出利率决定，金价可能有更大的上涨空间，有可能突破历史高点，并保持在这一水平。由于硅谷银行(SIVB.US)倒闭和瑞士信贷(CS.US)破产，欧美银行股近期受到重创，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和美国国债等避险资产。目前，现货黄金交易价格为每盎司1941.76美元。周一，金价一度突破2000美元，创下自2022年3月以来的最高水平。自3月初硅谷银行遭遇挤兑以来，金价已...

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laiqian
2023-03-22
laiqian
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Gold price of $2,600 is waving?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6},"content_text":"随着全球银行陷入困境，适逢美联储将再次做出利率决定，金价可能有更大的上涨空间，有可能突破历史高点，并保持在这一水平。由于硅谷银行(SIVB.US)倒闭和瑞士信贷(CS.US)破产，欧美银行股近期受到重创，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和美国国债等避险资产。目前，现货黄金交易价格为每盎司1941.76美元。周一，金价一度突破2000美元，创下自2022年3月以来的最高水平。自3月初硅谷银行遭遇挤兑以来，金价已上涨约10%。根据Refinitiv数据，金价的历史高点是2020年8月的2075美元。金融服务公司CMC Markets分析师Tina Teng表示:“由于美元和债券收益率可能进一步下跌，美联储加息政策的提前转向可能会导致金价再次飙升。”她预计金价将在每盎司2500美元至2600美元之间交易。来自各大央行的需求很可能会进一步推高其价格。贵金属流媒体公司Wheaton Precious Metals首席执行官兰Randy Smallwood表示:“央行继续购买黄金，对长期价格来说是个好兆头。”Smallwood预测金价将触及2500美元。根据世界黄金协会的数据，由于“央行的巨额购买”，黄金需求在2022年飙升至11年高点。各大央行去年购买了1136吨黄金，创下55年来的新高。惠誉也表示，黄金价格将维持在高位。3月底，Fitch Solutions预测，“未来几周”金价将达到2075美元的高点。该公司基于“全球金融不稳定”的展望，并补充称，预计黄金“在未来几年与新冠疫情前的水平相比将保持较高水平”。外汇交易公司Oanda高级市场分析师Craig Erlam同意惠誉乐观的前景。Erlam称：“我认为，未来几个月我们将看到黄金的强劲表现，这是非常合理的。利率处于或接近峰值，因银行业近期的发展，对降息的消化速度快于预期。这一动态将提振黄金需求，即使同时美元走软。”与此同时，投资者正在密切关注美联储的下一步举措及其对金价的影响。美联储将于北京时间周四公布利率决议，市场普遍预计美联储3月将加息25个基点。根据CME“美联储观察工具”，市场目前预期美联储3月加息25个基点的可能性约为86.4%，从而将联邦基金利率区间上调至4.75%-5%;预计暂停加息的可能性为13.6%。尽管如此，华尔街大行分析师的预测各不相同。德银、大摩、小摩与美银等预测美联储将加息25个基点，但高盛与富国银行却预计美联储将暂停加息。贵金属公司MKS Pamp金属策略主管Nicky Shiels表示：\"总体而言，美联储将不得不在通胀上升和经济衰退之间做出选择，而这两种结果都对黄金有利。\"她预计金价将涨至每盎司2200美元。汇丰银行首席贵金属分析师James Steel表示，美元走软可能会支撑金价，他预计美联储将加息25个基点。Steel指出：“我们上周早些时候看到的是黄金和美元同时上涨的事件。这是相当不寻常的。这种情况并不经常发生，但一旦发生，这总是投资者担忧加剧的迹象。”金价和美元之间通常呈反比关系。但在金融压力时期，投资者往往同时喜欢美国国债和黄金的避险属性。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":650470218,"gmtCreate":1679474380034,"gmtModify":1679474381463,"author":{"id":"3582268321817486","authorId":"3582268321817486","authorIdStr":"3582268321817486","name":"laiqian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97411d4fd4077b97e6e36d934186585e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650470218","repostId":2321939742,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.26.2","shortVersion":"4.26.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2321939742"}