花旗分析师将小鹏汽车评级从买入调至卖出，其今年股价已累计跌近九成

界面新闻2022-10-31

《巴伦周刊》日前报道，花旗分析师Jeff Chung将小鹏汽车评级罕见地由买入直接调至为卖出，目标价从每股27.87美元跌至每股3.18美元，下调幅度达到88.59%。Chung在报告中写道：“我们认为小鹏汽车的车型周期在2023年会面临严峻挑战，正如其近期因销售和订单量不佳而失去市场份额所预示的那样。”目前，这名花旗分析师预计小鹏汽车2023年和2024年销量分别为12万辆和15.5万辆，但...

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精彩评论

JaneLiu0128
2022-10-31
JaneLiu0128
本来以为蔚来够蠢的，搞了一个定赔的换电站，无视电池技术的发展，今天看到小鹏的飞行汽车，这更蠢啊
- JaneLiu0128:
  当这么蠢的车主，不要不要
- JaneLiu0128:
  我的预测从来没有错，电池技术会不断进步，换电站只是鸡肋，你们看着吧，蔚来一定会倒闭
- 要发大财:
  应该没有开过电车，更没有开电车出远门。蔚来的换电站恰恰是充分考虑电池技术的发展，以及电车出行的便捷高效，所有车型都可以更换电池、升级电池。这对于车主来说是最大的好处。
- 晨灿__:
  你觉得人家蠢？ [开心] 谁规定制造一定要卖出去才有钱。我就举个例子制造了可不可以融资可不可以去征服拿高新企业减免 … 等等一系列的操作请问需要卖一台吗
- 程美_0461:
  肯定不是蔚来汽车车主没有体验过乱喷蔚来
自由随心飞
2022-10-31
自由随心飞
好绝望啊，短短两个月，从天上到地狱
- 鳄鱼十三:
  辛亏没入手吧

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Chung将小鹏汽车评级罕见地由买入直接调至为卖出，目标价从每股27.87美元跌至每股3.18美元，下调幅度达到88.59%。Chung在报告中写道：“我们认为小鹏汽车的车型周期在2023年会面临严峻挑战，正如其近期因销售和订单量不佳而失去市场份额所预示的那样。”目前，这名花旗分析师预计小鹏汽车2023年和2024年销量分别为12万辆和15.5万辆，但华尔街的共识为15万辆和25万辆。业内人士向界面新闻表示，分析师通常一次只有一个评级等级，从买入到卖出之间，还会有一个“持有”评级过渡。“直接从买入调为卖出，会比较少见。”更有业内人士称，“这是认为小鹏没有投资价值了”。对于正在经历“寒冬”的小鹏汽车而言，分析师评级不被看好无疑是雪上加霜。截至上周收盘，小鹏汽车美股6.89美元，今年累计跌幅86.31%。有分析认为，造车新势力估值存在一定泡沫。在2021年底，造车新势力市值均达到高峰，而相比之下，营业收入却并未跟上市值的步伐。截至2021年底，小鹏汽车市销率（市值与营业收入比值）为13.37，远高于行业平均水平，被明显高估。与之相比，同为新势力的理想汽车该比例为7.74，蔚来则为9.45。传统汽车方面，吉利汽车则为1.7，长城汽车为1.56。小鹏汽车近期正处于动荡之中。在新车G9上市不利后，何小鹏着手全面调整组织架构。内部人士向界面新闻透露，在内部大会上，何小鹏一度哽咽，并反思了执行上存在的问题。2022年8月和9月，小鹏汽车的交付量分别为9578辆和8468辆，其中8月交付量出现环比下降，9月交付量则是同比和环比双降。今年小鹏汽车25万辆的销量目标仅完成约40%。10月11日，中金发表研报指出，考虑到集团产品在替换期的销量有限，中金将小鹏汽车今明两年收入预测分别下调7%和17%，至324亿元和692亿元人民币。另外，由于规模缩减导致费用下降，今明两年非通用会计准则的纯利预测，由原来的亏损83.4亿元及23.7亿元人民币，降至76.6亿元及17.1亿元人民币。中金将小鹏H股股份目标价下调至80港元，评级维持跑赢行业。瑞银9月发布报告表示，小鹏G9与同行相比，没有明显的竞争优势。基于G9规格和定价，瑞银将小鹏汽车近期将月销量限制在5000辆，并认为其在销量和利润率前景方面仍面临一些基本挑战，维持对小鹏中性评级及目标价34美元。港交所数据显示，在花旗集团此次评级调整前，9月27日花旗集团减持了小鹏汽车56.37万股，持股比例由减持前5.01%减少至减持后的4.97%。但同时，摩根大通以每股均价55.3168港元，向小鹏汽车增持了281.79万股，涉资约1.56亿港元。增持后，摩根大通持仓比例由5.98%上升至6.19%。事实上，从8月26日至9月26日，摩根大通在近一个月的时间将小鹏汽车的持股量由6190万股增加至7858万股。按期间平均62.206港元估算，摩根大通约增持了10亿港元。《巴伦周刊》指出，华尔街其他投资者仍然看好小鹏汽车的股票。报道指出，总体而言，80%的分析师评级为买入，平均目标价接近每股30美元。为维持资本信心，小鹏汽车CEO何小鹏于公开市场购买小鹏汽车合共220万股美国存托股，耗资约2.1亿元人民币。对于何小鹏的此次增持，小鹏汽车董事会认为，收购事项显示何小鹏对公司前景及增长潜力充满信心，以及其对公司长期承诺。安永博智隆战略咨询合伙人章一超告诉界面新闻，考虑到这只是个案，没必要过于放大。“我个人看小鹏还是有投资价值，但要一下经历本次大的调整后，是否可以成功转身。”章一超表示，投资者可以关注小鹏接下来新车型的销量是否继续保持好的交付，以及下一代车型的SKU、营销策略、服务策略等，是否像何小鹏说的会大刀阔斧的改革。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":665600647,"gmtCreate":1667220444090,"gmtModify":1667222057127,"author":{"id":"3553287329671527","authorId":"3553287329671527","name":"JaneLiu0128","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553287329671527","authorIdStr":"3553287329671527"},"htmlText":"本来以为蔚来够蠢的，搞了一个定赔的换电站，无视电池技术的发展，今天看到小鹏的飞行汽车，这更蠢啊","listText":"本来以为蔚来够蠢的，搞了一个定赔的换电站，无视电池技术的发展，今天看到小鹏的飞行汽车，这更蠢啊","text":"本来以为蔚来够蠢的，搞了一个定赔的换电站，无视电池技术的发展，今天看到小鹏的飞行汽车，这更蠢啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665600647","repostId":2279769803,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7780126,"gmtCreate":1670839491666,"gmtModify":1670839613159,"authorId":3553287329671527,"author":{"id":3553287329671527,"idStr":"3553287329671527","authorId":3553287329671527,"name":"JaneLiu0128","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":665600647,"type":1,"supId":7720195,"prevId":0,"content":"当这么蠢的车主，不要不要","text":"当这么蠢的车主，不要不要","html":"当这么蠢的车主，不要不要"},{"id":7780122,"gmtCreate":1670839436152,"gmtModify":1670839449378,"authorId":3553287329671527,"author":{"id":3553287329671527,"idStr":"3553287329671527","authorId":3553287329671527,"name":"JaneLiu0128","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":665600647,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"我的预测从来没有错，电池技术会不断进步，换电站只是鸡肋，你们看着吧，蔚来一定会倒闭","text":"我的预测从来没有错，电池技术会不断进步，换电站只是鸡肋，你们看着吧，蔚来一定会倒闭","html":"我的预测从来没有错，电池技术会不断进步，换电站只是鸡肋，你们看着吧，蔚来一定会倒闭"},{"id":7721008,"gmtCreate":1667302100090,"gmtModify":1667302113410,"authorId":3536142996032783,"author":{"id":3536142996032783,"idStr":"3536142996032783","authorId":3536142996032783,"name":"要发大财","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbd1210e2edb777618933696509f591f","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.76%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":665600647,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"应该没有开过电车，更没有开电车出远门。蔚来的换电站恰恰是充分考虑电池技术的发展，以及电车出行的便捷高效，所有车型都可以更换电池、升级电池。这对于车主来说是最大的好处。","text":"应该没有开过电车，更没有开电车出远门。蔚来的换电站恰恰是充分考虑电池技术的发展，以及电车出行的便捷高效，所有车型都可以更换电池、升级电池。这对于车主来说是最大的好处。","html":"应该没有开过电车，更没有开电车出远门。蔚来的换电站恰恰是充分考虑电池技术的发展，以及电车出行的便捷高效，所有车型都可以更换电池、升级电池。这对于车主来说是最大的好处。"},{"id":7720760,"gmtCreate":1667282011522,"gmtModify":1667283357995,"authorId":3533734259635470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