外媒头条 | 美国仍处于技术性衰退中

环球市场播报2022-08-26

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、二季度GDP以修正后0.6%的速度萎缩表明美国仍处于技术性衰退之中2、杰克逊霍尔年会：多位美联储官员呼吁加息不能停超过4%也不无可能3、安联首席El-Erian：失败过的美联储对通胀不能再掉以轻心了4、桥水联席首席投资官：美联储缩表将导致股债市场下跌至多25%5、美国30年期抵押贷款利率升至5.55% 创6月以来最高水平6、Wedbush分析师...

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精彩评论

情封喉
2022-08-26
情封喉
别什么技术衰退衰退，衰退人家股票怎么会往上涨，天天发这个有意思吗？
薛定谔的猫a
2022-08-26
薛定谔的猫a
不影响它是世界老大，因为它不行就抢夺
发发发超
2022-08-26
发发发超
打卡
2461fbaf
2022-08-26
2461fbaf
太慢了，为何不会断崖下跌？
jakeyren
2022-08-26
jakeyren
技术性萎缩？！哈哈哈哈哈哈哈！
CHoe
2022-08-26
CHoe
Oooooooo

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表明美国仍处于技术性衰退之中二季度美国经济收缩速度略低于此前报告，但仍符合所谓技术性衰退的标准，因为剧烈的通货膨胀和更高的利率打压了支出。美国商务部周四表示，第二季度国内生产总值（GDP）同比下降0.6%，这低于最初报告的0.9%的跌幅。从1月到3月，GDP已经收缩了1.6%，这是自2020年春季以来最糟糕的表现，当时经济正处于新冠肺炎引发的衰退的阵痛之中。根据跟踪美国经济的国家经济研究局（NBER）的数据，衰退在技术上被定义为连续两个季度的负经济增长，其特征是高失业率、低或负GDP增长、收入下降和零售销售放缓。最近的经济下滑源于多种因素，包括私人库存、住宅和非住宅投资以及联邦、州和地方各级政府支出的下降。这些下降被净出口（美国出口与进口之间的差额）以及消费支出（占GDP的三分之二）的增加所抵消。杰克逊霍尔年会：多位美联储官员呼吁加息不能停 超过4%也不无可能多位美联储官员强调继续加息的必要性，圣路易斯联储行长James Bullard称官员们应该迅速采取行动，年底前将基准基准利率上调至3.75%-4%。他说，“我建议加息靠前发力，升息时间宁早勿晚，”他周四在杰克逊霍尔表示。“这样可以表明你对于遏制通胀是很认真的，你想让利率升到能给通胀带来下行压力的水平。我们目前利率在2.33%。这还不够高”。其他几位官员虽然不愿透露对下个月升息幅度的判断，但都认为有必要继续保持升息。堪萨斯城联储行长Esther George在杰克逊霍尔年会上表示，美联储尚未将利率提高到对经济构成压力的水平，可能不得不暂时将基准利率提高到4%以上。她在接受采访时说，“我们在沟通中要清楚的让外界了解我们将前往的目的地，这一点非常重要”。美联储主席鲍威尔周五将发表演讲，预计可能会重申有关继续收紧货币政策以应对通胀的决心。安联首席El-Erian：失败过的美联储对通胀不能再掉以轻心了安联首席经济学家Mohamed El-Erian近日表示，美联储在应对火爆的通胀时“不应再掉以轻心”，在不损害经济的情况下令通胀降温对主席鲍威尔而言是一个“巨大”挑战。El-Erian周四在接受采访时指出：“美联储行动太晚了，他们面临两个难题：一是怎么把通胀魔鬼重新塞进瓶子，二是在这个过程中怎样避免对经济增长和收入平等问题造成太大影响”。鲍威尔和美联储官员将在本周齐聚怀俄明州的杰克逊霍尔，鲍威尔将于周五发表演讲。鉴于美国物价涨幅仍徘徊在40年高点附近，市场普遍预计他将重申抗击通胀的决心。桥水联席首席投资官：美联储缩表将导致股债市场下跌至多25%桥水联席首席投资官杨森（Greg Jensen）近日预计美国股市将大幅下滑，从而达到与实体经济状况相一致的水平。他在接受采访时说，“总体而言，资产市场将下跌20%-25%”。Jensen预计，美联储的量化紧缩和加息将压低通胀和经济增长，“遗憾的是通胀将更加顽固。”当被问及如何投资这个市场时，他说“你无法完全避免这种情况。”美国30年期抵押贷款利率升至5.55% 创6月以来最高水平美国抵押贷款利率飙升至6月以来最高水平，加剧了住房市场的压力。房地美周四发布声明称，30年期抵押贷款利率均值从上周的5.13%升至5.55%，如果不算6月中旬的一周利率上升55个基点，这一次的房贷利率升幅为2013年以来最大。高房价和今年抵押贷款利率上升逼退了许多潜在买家，交易迅速趋冷，整个房地产行业都遭遇冲击。“抵押贷款利率上升和经济增长放缓在对房地产市场构成压力，”房地美首席经济学家Sam Khater在声明中表示。“住宅销售继续下降，物价放缓，消费者信心低迷。不过在需求下降的情况下，仍有潜在的购房者等待重新进入市场”。Wedbush分析师：拆股生效后 特斯拉股票有21%的上涨潜力据Wedbush分析师Dan 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