外媒头条 | 世行再次下调全球增长预期

环球市场播报2022-06-08

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、世界银行再次下调全球增长预期警告称滞胀之痛可能持续数年2、美联储预测模型显示美国经济或处于衰退边缘3、美国财长耶伦：通胀将保持高位责任不在纾困计划4、贝莱德策略师建议投资短期债券和优质公司5、马斯克为收购推特安排新融资的工作因交易不确定性暂停6、IBM宣布退出俄罗斯市场已暂停在俄所有业务世界银行再次下调全球增长预期警告称滞胀之痛可能持续数年...

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精彩评论

pige
2022-06-08
pige
558
- 躺平躺到地狱了:
  [微笑]
荷兰猪
2022-06-08
荷兰猪
最丧的就是耶伦
- 土豆灰灰:
  哈哈

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警告称滞胀之痛可能持续数年世界银行进一步下调了对2022年全球经济增长的预测，警告称未来数年面临通胀高于平均水平而经济增长低于平均水平的局面，有可能破坏中低收入经济体的稳定。“世界经济再次处于危险之中，”世界银行行长戴维·马尔帕斯在周二公布的最新《全球经济展望报告》的前言中表示。“它同时面临高通胀和增长缓慢的局面。即使全球经济衰退得以避免，滞胀之痛也可能持续数年，除非供应大幅增加。由于能源和食品价格飙升俄乌冲突引发供应中断，以及全球央行将利率从极低水平上调，总部位于华盛顿的世界银行将今年全球增长预期下调至2.9%，之前1月和4月份时的预测分别为4.1%和3.2%。在新冠疫情引发第二次世界大战以来最严重的全球衰退之后，2021年世界经济增长5.7%。“对于许多国家来说，经济衰退将很难避免，” 马尔帕斯说。他还补充称，过去两年的负面冲击意味着，2023年约40%的发展中经济体的实际人均收入将继续低于疫情之前的水平。美联储预测模型显示美国经济或处于衰退边缘一项广受关注的美联储指标显示，美国经济可能连续第二个季度出现负增长。在周二发布的更新数据中，亚特兰大联储的GDPNow预测模型指向美国二季度的年化增长率仅为0.9%。GDPNow实时跟踪经济数据，并用其预测经济走向。该模型目前对二季度实际GDP增长（经季节性调整的年增长率）的预估为0.9%，低于6月1日的1.3%。预测模型将个人消费支出增幅从之前的4.4%下调至3.7%。此外，模型还将实际私人国内投资总额将从之前的下滑8.3%下调至下滑8.5%。在通胀飙升抑制企业利润前景的情况下，今年有关美国经济衰退的讨论迅速升温。许多华尔街人士仍预计，富有弹性的消费者和依然强劲的就业市场将使美国摆脱衰退。美国财长耶伦：通胀将保持高位 责任不在纾困计划美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦周二对美国议员表示，通胀率可能居高不下，其承认去年不应该将物价大幅上涨视作“暂时性”现象。耶伦在参议院财政委员会的听证会上继续为拜登的1.9万亿美元纾困计划进行辩护，共和党人指责该措施是导致通胀率达到四十年高位的元凶。“参议员先生，我们看到世界上几乎所有发达国家的通货膨胀率都很高，而他们的财政政策各有不同，”耶伦在回复蒙大拿州共和党议员Steve Daines的提问时说。 “不应该说通胀大部分是因为纾困计划造成的”。她再次承认自己和美联储主席鲍威尔2021年时都错误的预测高通胀不会持续。她说，“我们两人可能应该用比‘暂时性’更准确的术语来描述此事”。贝莱德策略师建议投资短期债券和优质公司贝莱德iShares美洲投资策略主管Gargi Chaudhuri表示，在回报低且波动较大的环境下，最佳投资策略是关注资产类别内的相对回报。这位策略师认为美联储将设法在避免衰退的同时降低通胀。美联储将监测就业，信贷状况和生产数据，以检查其是否与经济持续扩张保持一致。鉴于美联储的鹰派立场，预计美国国债和信贷市场的短期固定收益证券存在机会。在股市，青睐“有强大资产负债表和定价能力的优质公司”。该行还建议通过多元化的大宗商品池进行对冲，建议低配存在现金流困扰的科技和工业股，因为利率上升和增长放缓对质量较差和周期性的股票构成压力。马斯克为收购推特安排新融资的工作因交易不确定性暂停媒体援引知情人士报道，由于交易存在不确定性，特斯拉CEO埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）为收购推特安排新融资的努力已被搁置。消息人士称，马斯克一直在讨论从阿波罗全球管理公司 （Apollo Global Management Inc） 主导的一批私募股权公司安排20亿-30亿美元的优先股融资，但这些对话现在处于暂停状态，直到收购前景变得明朗为止。马斯克此前指责推特不提供有关垃圾和虚假账号的信息是在违反收购协议，威胁将因此终止交易，除非推特能够证明，如其在公开文件中所披露的那样，垃圾和虚假账号占比不到5%。马斯克曾估计，虚假账号占比至少在20%。推特则发布声明称，“已经并将继续与马斯克合作共享信息，”相信这份协议符合所有股东的最佳利益，并“打算完成交易，按照约定的价格和条款执行合并协议”。IBM宣布退出俄罗斯市场 已暂停在俄所有业务据今日俄罗斯报道，IBM当地时间6月7日宣布，由于俄乌冲突，公司将退出俄罗斯市场。公司首席执行官阿尔温德 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