外媒头条 | 达利欧称现金仍然是垃圾，但股市更垃圾

环球市场播报2022-05-25

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、达利欧：现金仍然是垃圾但股市更垃圾2、亚特兰大联储行长Bostic敦促美联储谨慎收紧、避免鲁莽3、阿克曼：更激进的美联储或市场崩盘是击退高通胀的唯一方法4、美银：美国经济面临衰退或滞胀风险建议卖出10年期并持有30年期TIPS5、法国财长：全球数字税协议可能要到2024年初才能准备就绪6、苹果WWDC22全球开发者大会将于6月6日开幕达利欧：...

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精彩评论

旷野步行者
2022-05-25
旷野步行者
美联储感觉像三流医生，人身体里某个部位病了，你不能统一的对全身开刀啊。阿克曼更幽默，他说来一场台风就能把通胀吹走
- 新韭菜绿油油:
  已阅
- Ann行走江湖:
  学习学习
- 吉吉祥祥:
  阅
- 阿弥陀佛AMITFO:
  1
- 天一03:
  嗯
国际化超人
2022-05-25
国际化超人
👌
梧妤
2022-05-25
梧妤
债
踏浪擒牛
2022-05-25
踏浪擒牛
牛逼
呵呵呵auntie
2022-05-25
呵呵呵auntie
全都是垃圾

发表看法

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Minerd的观点一致，Minerd预计房地产和艺术品将在未来五年内跑赢股市。在经历了美股十年牛市之后，达利欧解释称，问题在于太多的投资者涌入股市。虽然过去几个月市场的特点是无情抛售，但在实现平衡之前，仍有大量泡沫需要从市场中清除。亚特兰大联储行长Bostic敦促美联储谨慎收紧、避免鲁莽属于鸽派阵营的亚特兰大联储行长Raphael Bostic敦促同事们在收紧政策的时候谨慎行事。“在我们迅速将货币政策恢复到更中性的立场、以使通胀率接近我们2%的目标时，我计划留意推进、避免鲁莽，”他在亚特兰大联储周二刊发的一片文章中写道。“我们在疫情期间看到，事件和市场转变可能很快发生。”美联储本月早些时候加息50个基点，主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔暗示在6月和7月会上还将采取类似幅度的加息行动。FOMC的鹰派和鸽派自那以来都拥护这个计划，以便为1980年代以来最热的通胀降温。转向收紧政策导致了金融市场的剧烈波动，投资者担心美联储行动过于激进将引发经济衰退，尽管价格上涨对企业利润率构成压力。鲍威尔在5月17日说，官员们将继续推进，直到看到通胀以明显且令人信服的方式下降。Bostic同意缓和价格压力是首要任务，但认为过分相信预测是有风险的。阿克曼：更激进的美联储或市场崩盘是击退高通胀的唯一方法亿万富翁对冲基金经理、潘兴广场资本创始人比尔-阿克曼（Bill Ackman）表示，只有当美联储采取更积极的行动或市场抛售变成全面崩盘时，猛烈的通胀才会消退。阿克曼周二在一系列推文中表示：“除非美联储大举加息，或股市崩盘引发经济崩溃和需求破坏，否则通胀没有实质性降低的前景。”阿克曼将2022年的市场调整归因于投资者对美联储压制40年来高点的通胀缺乏信心。他表示，只有美联储对飙升的价格“划清界限”，市场动荡才会结束。“如果美联储不履行职责，市场就会履行美联储的职责，这就是现在正在发生的事情，”阿克曼补充道。“阻止当今肆虐的通胀的唯一方法是积极收紧货币政策或经济崩溃。”美银：美国经济面临衰退或滞胀风险 建议卖出10年期并持有30年期TIPS美银认为，美联储加息有令经济陷入衰退或滞胀的风险，因此建议卖出10年期通胀保值债券（TIPS），并持有更长期的TIPS。Meghan Swiber和Mark Capleton等利率策略师在一份报告中写道，外界越来越担心美国经济会出现一段时间的增长疲软和通胀高企，“料导致盈亏平衡通胀率走高，实际利率走低，尤其是长期。”在这样的情况下，他们建议卖出10年期TIPS，并持有30年期TIPS，因为这一段曲线势将得益于经济硬着陆的情景，以及在通胀仍然高企的情况下，美联储“转向鸽派”的情景。随着债券市场计入美联储未来一年加息多次的预期，美国10年和30年期实际/通胀调整收益率最近几个月均已升破零。10年期实际收益率在0.2%左右，3月份一度达到-1.1%的低点，而30年期实际收益率从3月份的-0.32%升至0.64%。“随着增速的放缓，失业率的走高”，央行完全可以停止收紧政策，美银称其经济学家预计美联储会在2023年5月停止收紧政策，第二季度核心个人消费支出物价指数料在3.4%，到明年年底经济增速放缓至0.4%。法国财长：全球数字税协议可能要到2024年初才能准备就绪法国财政部长布鲁诺-勒梅尔（Bruno Le Maire）周二表示，全球数字税收协议可能要到2023年底或2024年初才能准备就绪，这标志着该改革的实施存在重大延误。官员们希望在今年年中签署该协议，旨在将向苹果和谷歌等大型科技企业征税的权利重新分配给最终客户所在的国家或地区。这是对跨境税收规则进行重大改革的两大支柱中的第一个，此外还包括对大型跨国企业征收15%的全球最低公司税的计划。“就第一支柱——数字税收而言——我们将不遗余力地说服国际社会和经合组织成员国尽最大努力在未来几个月内达成共识，”勒梅尔在布鲁塞尔举行的欧盟财长会议后表示。“可能是2023年底，也可能是2024年初，关键是要对国际税收制度进行全面改革，”勒梅尔补充道。苹果WWDC22全球开发者大会将于6月6日开幕苹果今日公布了WWDC22年度全球开发者大会日程，包括主题演讲和Platforms State of the Union，今年的WWDC大会将于美国当地时间6月6日，北京时间6月7日凌晨1点正式开幕，苹果公司邀请一小部分开发者到起总部Apple Park园区观看主题演讲。苹果公司表示，这将是一整天的体验活动，开发者也将受邀参观苹果公司新建的开发者中心。后者是在Apple Park建立一个专门的开发者中心。这次活动是免费的，苹果开发者计划和苹果开发者企业计划的所有成员都可以申请参加。邀请将通过随机选择过程分配，名额不能转让。WWDC22面向所有开发者免费开放，帮助开发者与设计师探索即将登陆iOS、iPadOS、macOS、tvOS 以及 watchOS的最新技术、工具与框架。为期一周的大会期间，开发者可通过实验室与Digital 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