为什么特斯拉建个上海新车间都能上热搜？

华尔街见闻2022-05-06

最近两天，特斯拉上海第二工厂传闻不断。起因是路透社报道的那封信，在感谢上海市政府帮助其复工复产的基础上，特斯拉提到将在一期工厂旁边再建一座「新工厂」，预计将增加45万辆汽车的年产能，包括Model 3和Model Y，成为「世界上最大的汽车出口枢纽」。加上目前上海工厂50万辆的年产能，临港或将成为特斯拉首座产量突破100万辆的工厂，同时也是全球第一座产量突破100万辆的纯电汽车工厂。目前舆论聚焦的...

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精彩评论

____Mr_Zhao_
2022-05-06
____Mr_Zhao_
上海已经这么富了还有必要养肥特斯拉吗特斯拉崛起能给中国带来什么?太依赖特斯拉到时候再来卡脖子吗
- ____Mr_Zhao_:
  所以你是想做穷光蛋还是土匪
- 里二外三:
  没有富人的社会都是穷光蛋。没有权利的制约都是土匪。
superkjp
2022-05-06
superkjp
只是看中了你廉价的劳动力和几乎不要钱的地皮而已，人家的核心技术你毛都碰不到，真以为在你这儿建个厂子就是你自己的产业了
- 昶_1338:
  哈哈
- mudou:
  Cx w
- mudou:
  抖的
- ghiblibli43:
  啦啦啦
下海寻妖
2022-05-06
下海寻妖
先数数上海大街上有几辆车在开吧
Jet2017
2022-05-06
Jet2017
前提是不再封，但可能吗？
晚风作酒
2022-05-06
晚风作酒
毕竟是流量密码

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factory当做特斯拉某一时期最大型的产品，那么我们可以简单总结出它在制造领域，某一时期的世界观，以及方法论。Fremont是特斯拉的老家，但可能永远不会是最先进的特斯拉工厂。对于Fremont来说，把车造出来，是优先度最高的任务——另外，Fremont未来一段时间内，会是特斯拉高端车型S/X的生产地。得州工厂是特斯拉一众「期货」产品的量产地，同时是「工厂即产品」思维的终极体现——把工厂做成芯片，各个环节之间的「信号延迟」最小化、生产效率最大化。至于上海工厂，则是特斯拉「刷经验」的地方。从2019年三季度马斯克访沪验收开始，特斯拉对上海工厂的描述一直都围绕在两个方面：积累大规模生产的经验、积累降本增效的经验。每家工厂独特而鲜明的分工，这是马斯克产品思维建车间的结果，而产品是有讨论度、有拉踩和追捧的，工厂没有。这在传统汽车世界根本不可想象——什么，工厂也有粉丝效应？Giga Texas和Giga Shanghai的粉丝因为4680电池打起来了？除了很互联网、很不汽车的制造思维，上海工厂本身，同样是此次全网热议的原因。2021年度财报文件里面，特斯拉对上海工厂的定义是「export hub出口枢纽」。而在路透社的报道中，同样提到上海工厂会成为「全球最大的汽车出口枢纽」。我们来看目前上海工厂的规划产能：＞45万辆，2021年实际生产了48+万辆，我们就算一期最大50万辆吧。这次路透社报道的工厂二期，预计也将增加45万辆产能，我们也算最终能达到50万辆，这意味着上海工厂拥有100万辆年产能的潜力。这与目前全球最大汽车工厂——现代韩国蔚山工厂153万辆年产能还有一点差距。但另一个数据是，蔚山工厂占地面积达到了500万平方米，特斯拉临港工厂目前接近50万辆的产能，只用了86万平方米。2023年，我们能见证上海以更高的效率，成为全球最大电动汽车出口城市吗？二、一间厂、一条链、一座城前几天讨论所谓「特斯拉中国第二工厂」的时候，一个很重要的议题是「为什么在上海？」，由此衍生出来的还有「为什么不在宁波/珠海/广州/沈阳？」，等等。为什么会出现这样的讨论？因为智能电动汽车作为新兴的制造业皇冠，对于一个城市甚至城市群的税收就业、产业带动、地区名片，都拥有无可替代的作用。举一个反例，2013年7月18日，底特律市政府申请破产。1950年代伴随着美国汽车走向全球，底特律人口达到185万的时候，没有人能想到60年后它会溃败成67万人口的小城，也没有人能想到传统美式汽车的消亡，会摧毁一座曾经的全球工业重镇。没有哪座汽车城想成为2013年的底特律，也没有哪座汽车城不想成为1953年的底特律，因此当智能化、电动化的机遇到来，闻风而动是必须的。上海已经享受过一次踩在风口上的滋味。2021年特斯拉上海工厂产量48.413万辆，占特斯拉全球总产量51.7%——换句话说，临港工厂创造了超过1500亿的汽车产值。另外两个数字是，上海2021年汽车产业总产值7585.55亿元，新能源汽车产业总产值1772.56亿元。除了最直接的数字，供应链集群同样是特斯拉为上海，乃至长三角城市群，甚至是国内新能源汽车供应链带来的优势。根据特斯拉发布的2021年度报告，中国地区生产的车型，其零件本土化率高居全球第一，达到了86%，北美老家也仅有73%。另外，根据开源证券的一份特斯拉国产供应链调查报告，特斯拉本土自产零件以外，第三方国产供应链平均单车价值贡献超过了10万元。这两组数据，会不会让你想到另一家企业？根据2021年公布的《2020供应商责任进展报告》，苹果全球200家主要供应商里面，中国占了98家，新增11家供应商，无论是总数还是新增，均位列所有参与苹果供应链的国家里最高，而且有155家苹果供应商在中国境内开设了工厂。苹果是移动互联时代的旗帜，苹果的崛起，同时也是移动设备供应链企业、乃至城市的崛起。深圳号称「苹果手机的尽头」，是上一个十年的苹果设备制造地，也是这一个十年国产手机的角斗场。为什么这样说？因为你能在华强北找到几乎所有手机所有零件的供应商，可以在数十个小店凑齐一部iPhone所有的零件。凭借苹果形成的深圳智能手机供应圈，早已是所有手机厂商必须拜的码头。之所以会出现「特斯拉工厂争夺战」这样的讨论，本质与深圳+苹果类似，在于新兴行业+领先企业+集群效应的「三重诱惑」。同样的道理，我们还看到了集聚蔚来、比亚迪、国轩高科、中航锂电的合肥；凑齐小米、理想、沙龙、百度的北京经开区。有人的地方就有江湖，有企业集聚的地方就有产业。三、从车间到趋势当我们为了特斯拉中国第二工厂的又一次传闻争论不休，我们本质上是在聊什么？答案包括了新工厂的产能、新技术、特斯拉距离2000万年销量的小目标又近了一些、自己喜欢的城市会不会拥有一座特斯拉工厂...等等。但从观察者的角度出发，一座新行业新公司建的新工厂，对于城市的吸引力，同样是此次特斯拉上海二厂风波我们观察到耐人寻味的点，更是此次争论愈发热烈的重要原因。智能电动汽车变革，其实不仅在于新老车企的更迭，还体现在抓住机遇崛起的勇敢城市。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":616502380,"gmtCreate":1651813741040,"gmtModify":1651813741040,"author":{"id":"3531319477825296","authorId":"3531319477825296","name":"____Mr_Zhao_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3776887e12339ec7b57b4e4dcd39987","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"上海已经这么富了&nbsp; 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