外媒头条 | 美股3月“开门黑”！美油创七年新高

市场资讯2022-03-02

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、WTI油价涨破105美元紧急投放能源储备难抑供应中断担忧2、鲍威尔将给议员们定心丸：美联储会遏制通胀同时灵活应对不确定性3、高盛策略师：市场低估了油价风险高估了俄乌局势对美联储的影响4、欧洲央行官员Rehn：欧央行在撤出刺激措施前应该先评估战争的影响5、格罗斯出版回忆录谈及被解雇经历警告投资者在高通胀之下应谨慎6、搭载大众集团4000辆汽车的...

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张张公子
2022-03-02
张张公子
可惜了这些车车
乖兔兔宝宝
2022-03-02
乖兔兔宝宝
世界好疯狂
plaispool
2022-03-02
plaispool
通胀严重
幸运无畏虎
2022-03-02
幸运无畏虎
热爱的都得到，得到的都热爱。
- 79bd8378:
  我爱你！！宝贝妞！
- 79bd8378:
  爱你吆！！ [喷血] [开心] [开心]
- 79bd8378:
  不错牛

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摩根士丹利和摩根大通在内的银行纷纷上调油价预测，预计供应可能中断。咨询公司OilX表示，俄罗斯海上原油和成品油供应中断的可能性正在上升，这可能推动油价升破每桶150美元。6000万桶储备油相当于俄罗斯不到6天的石油产量，交易员正在考虑其潜在影响。鲍威尔将给议员们定心丸：美联储会遏制通胀同时灵活应对不确定性美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将在本周设法让议员们放心，美联储会采取行动遏制四十年来最严重的通胀，同时灵活应对俄乌局势带来的不确定性。鲍威尔将于周三开始对众议院和参议院委员会进行半年度的货币政策证词陈述，可能暗示美联储将在3月推进加息计划。交易员将从中寻找关于加息幅度的线索。与此同时，他可能承认俄乌局势引发的风险使美联储工作变得复杂。官员们将不得不应对这场战争可能带来的滞胀效应。原油价格上涨可能导致加油成本上升，削弱消费能力进而压低需求，还可能推高整体通胀率。鲍威尔本人的状况更是增添了不确定性：对他连任主席的提名还有待参议院听证会确认，因此目前还是“临时”主席。对鲍威尔及其他理事的提名因共和党反对Sarah Bloom Raskin任美联储副主席而陷入僵局。高盛策略师：市场低估了油价风险 高估了俄乌局势对美联储的影响高盛策略师表示，投资者对乌克兰危机带来的油价风险正在变得过于自满，且对这场战争放慢货币紧缩步伐的能力过于乐观。“从油价看，市场可能低估了供应吃紧的风险，而这仍然是这场冲突的一个关键风险，因此我们认为这里的‘风险溢价’应该可能会更大，”Dominic Wilson牵头的高盛策略师在周一的报告中表示。“市场正在开始高估冲突对美联储轨迹的影响，”策略师预计前端利率可能会扭转近期的走势。油价已升破每桶105美元，乌克兰危机继续加剧全球供应中断的可能性。虽然美国和欧洲到目前为止都没有直接对俄罗斯大宗商品实施制裁，但随着银行撤出融资和运输成本飙升，这些原材料的贸易正在卡壳。俄罗斯是世界第三大产油国。从石油到天然气和小麦，战争颠覆了大宗商品市场，加剧了通胀压力并吓坏了股票投资者。由于对激进货币紧缩和增长复苏放缓的担忧，全球股市今年前两个月均下跌，而对俄制裁的经济影响又给投资者增加了一个忧虑。欧洲央行官员Rehn：欧央行在撤出刺激措施前应该先评估战争的影响欧洲央行管理委员会成员Olli Rehn表示，在继续退出疫情时代支持经济的措施之前，欧洲央行应该花时间来恰当评估俄乌战争的影响。芬兰央行行长Rehn表示，欧洲经济强劲反弹且劳动力市场走强，因此不需要额外的刺激措施。但是，为了避免过早收紧货币政策引发经济衰退，“审慎和选择性”是必要的。“在我看来，正常化的方向依然是适当的，”Rehn周二表示 。 “经济复苏相对强劲，就业正在增加。然而，考虑到新的形势，我们需要反思一下货币政策逐步正常化的速度和方式。”货币市场把对加息时点的押注从2023年的1月推迟到3月，然而就在几周前还在押注于年底前加息两次。欧洲央行管理委员会下周的会议料将重点关注创纪录的通胀水平，此次会议前，欧洲央行决策者正忙于衡量俄罗斯军事行动及随之对俄罗斯总统普京的政府实施制裁所造成的连锁反应。格罗斯出版回忆录谈及被解雇经历 警告投资者在高通胀之下应谨慎曾被称为“债市之王”的比尔·格罗斯在他自己出版的一本书中警告投资者要谨慎行事，并调低对回报的预期。这本书涉及了诸多话题，其中包括他从太平洋投资管理公司 （Pimco）离职的不愉快经历。现年77岁的格罗斯在这本名为《屹立不倒》（I’m Still Standing）的回忆录中写道，在政府债务不断膨胀的情况下，通胀率可能会保持高位，美联储2%的目标将成为“幻影”。格罗斯称债务是“现代资本主义的病毒”，他说，除非美联储继续购买债券，否则未来几十年美国10年期国债的收益率可能上升一倍以上。“股市，甚至债券都可以在低至温和的未来通胀环境下繁荣发展，”这位亿万富豪写道。 “但任何超过3%或更高的水平”都会威胁到市场。 “不要太兴奋。”美国1月消费者价格上涨7.5%，创下四十年来最大涨幅，也导致股票和债券出现罕见的同步下跌。彭博跟踪股票和债券各60-40配置比例投资组合的一项指数，今年以来已下跌6.7%，迈向2008年以来的最差年度回报率。燃烧中的“Felicity Ace”号货轮浓烟滚滚搭载大众集团4000辆汽车的货轮在燃烧逾一周后沉没船舶运营商表示，先前在大西洋上起火、载有约4，000辆大众集团汽车的“Felicity Ace”号货轮于当地时间周二上午九时许在距离葡萄牙亚速尔群岛海岸大约220海里处沉没，拖船未能成功令其脱困。据悉气候恶劣，货船遭海浪击打，右倾45度，随后意外沉没。该货轮运载着大众汽车品牌、保时捷、奥迪、宾利和兰博基尼品牌的汽车，从德国埃姆登港驶往美国罗德岛，于2月16日起火，据信持续燃烧了超过一周。大众汽车周二不予置评。海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP责任编辑：张玉洁 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